选择人民币作为广西对越南蔗糖贸易结算货币的探讨

改革开放以来,广西与越南的贸易量逐年攀升.随着中国-东盟自由贸易区的建立,广西与越南的经济和金融往来关系将进一步得到提升,为两地具有实力的企业（集团）发挥资金和技术等比较优势,扩大市场占有率,取得区域贸易的主动权和定价权,并在两地的贸易中选择本币作为主要结算货币奠定坚实的基础.本文以广西与越南蔗糖贸易为视角,分析广西对越蔗糖贸易的优势和存在问题,提出推动在广西与越南蔗糖贸易中选择人民币作为主要结算货币的意见和建议.     

The returns to education and wage penalty from overeducation: New evidence from Vietnam

This study intends to estimate the rate of returns to education in Vietnam, the distributive effects of education on wages, and the wage penalty from the incidence of overeducation in the Vietnamese labor market during 2004–2016. This study employs a pseudo-panel approach to address omitted variables bias and the unconditional quantile regression to identify the heterogeneity of returns to education across the income distribution. Our main finding indicates that the estimated rate of returns to education in Vietnam is approximately 6.5%, showing a downward bias from previous estimates. The returns vary across wage distributions, where a lower rate of return is observed in lower quantiles and a higher rate among those individuals at the higher quantiles. The returns to education have declined since 2008, confirming the oversupply of highly educated workers in the Vietnamese labor market with an estimated wage penalty of 17%. Government assistance measures are needed to reduce the overeducation and the wage penalty issues in the Vietnamese labor market.     

Poverty and Inequality Maps in Rural Vietnam: An Application of Small Area Estimation

The objective of the present paper is to estimate poverty and inequality for rural Vietnam at different levels of aggregation by combining the Vietnam Household Living Standard Survey from 2006 and the Rural Agriculture and Fishery Census from the same year. Using the small area estimation method, estimates at the regional, provincial and district level are produced, and both expenditure and income based measures are considered. It is found that all provinces across the country have experienced a noticeable reduction in rural poverty during the period 1999–2006. Some of the largest reductions in poverty are observed for provinces with poverty rates close to the national average. The poorest provinces are experiencing reductions in poverty, albeit at a more modest pace. Provinces and districts with a larger poverty reduction in the period 1999–2006 tended to have a lower level of inequality in 2006. Results based on expenditure poverty estimates are found to be very similar to those based on income poverty estimates.     

Do community-sanctioned social pressures constrain microenterprise growth? Evidence from a framed field experiment

We conduct a framed lab-in-field experiment to explore the hypothesis that a number of stylized facts about microenterprise behaviour in developing countries – including product market homogeneity and lack of growth and innovation – can be explained by a social institution in which microentrepreneurs share the market to “buy a job.” 280 present or prospective market trader women across four communities in rural Vietnam are anonymously randomized into pairs to play three “market game” treatments. The interactions are framed to simulate real-world retail market competition. The participants compete in an effort task, with performance determining market returns. A highly incentivized individual round allows us to extract a measure of individual “ability” in the effort task. The subjects then compete in successive treatments, where in the final treatment the losing participant in a round can elect to “burn” their competitor’s output, which is framed as the application of social pressure. The behavioural responses are significant and fitting with a theoretical model of the social institution we have in mind: even though subjects are from the same community they are willing to punish (“apply social pressure”), the probability of punishment is increasing in the gap in ability in the pair, and this leads to a decrease in performance from higher-ability individuals. The study provides an example of the use of framed lab experiments to shed light on market behaviour in developing countries, for which full-blown RCTs may face serious feasibility or ethical challenges.     

红河学院越南留学生体育消费情况调查与分析

本文在综合运用文献资料法、访谈法和问卷调查等方法的基础上,对红河学院越南留学生体育消费从水平、结构、动机三个方面进行研究,发现越南留学生在中国高校学习期间体育消费的群体性特征。     

CAN VIETNAM ACHIEVE THE MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOAL ON POVERTY REDUCTION IN HIGH INFLATION AND ECONOMIC STAGNATION?

An important aspect of the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) to which Vietnam is committed is to reduce overall and food poverty. Although Vietnam has achieved remarkable reductions in poverty during recent years, Vietnam may not achieve its MDGs on poverty reduction because of high inflation and economic stagnation. This paper uses three recent Vietnam Household Living Standard Surveys (VHLSSs), in 2002, 2004, and 2006, to forecast poverty in 2008 and 2010 to examine whether Vietnam can achieve its MDGs on poverty reduction. The forecast takes into account high inflation in 2008 and economic stagnation during 2008–09. It is found that Vietnam may be able to achieve its MDGs on reduction of overall poverty; however, the MDGs on food poverty reduction may not be achieved.     

金融危机下中越经贸合作之探讨

随着席卷全球的金融危机向实体经济的蔓延,我国的传统出口市场美欧等国及地区的需求大幅下降,从而使拉动中国经济快速增长的三套马车之一出口遭受了严重下滑。在这样的形势下,寻找新的经济增长点,努力提升与其他新兴市场的贸易份额,不失为实现今年GDP增长保8的有效措施之一,而加强与我们最重要的邻居之一——东盟成员国越南的经贸合作无疑为我们的一项重点。本文探讨了中越经贸合作的历程、现状,中越开展经贸合作的优势、存在问题、解决方法以及合作的重点领域,具有一定的现实意义。