The innovative bureaucrat: evidence from the correctional authorities in Washington State

Bureaucracies are usually regarded as inefficient, wasteful mechanisms. Contrary to this deeply rooted perception of bureaucracy, this paper documents the case of the correctional authorities in Washington State, a bureaucracy that acted with a considerable degree of innovation and professionalism. Their task was to administer a risk assessment instrument that measured the level of risk posed by offenders by way of a numerical score. They used that score to identify the level of supervision offenders were to receive once released into the community. In analyzing the data, I discovered an unusual application of the instrument that resulted in many offenders being bumped to a higher supervision level. Using a regression discontinuity design, I uncover the mechanics of the bumping-up process and I generate an instrument that is cleansed of the manipulation. I find that the manipulated instrument predicts serious recidivism events better than the cleansed instrument, especially when these events involve high-risk offenders, thus providing evidence that the authorities had good reason to undertake the manipulation.     

我国流域生态补偿标准实践:模式与评价

"十一五"期间,我国流域生态补偿实践探索加快。据统计,有15个省份开展了类型多样的流域生态补偿实践探索。补偿标准设计是流域生态补偿政策制定的核心。将我国流域生态补偿标准实践归结为三种模式:基于流域跨界监测断面水质目标考核的生态补偿标准模式,基于流域跨界监测断面超标污染物通量计量的生态补偿标准模式;基于提供生态环境服务效益的投入成本测算的生态补偿标准模式,并细致分析了三种不同模式的特征。在此基础上,对我国流域生态补偿标准实践总体状况进行了系统解析和评估,并提出了为将来推进我国流域生态补偿标准实践开展深入探索的政策建议。     

中国风险投资基金运作的操作思路及政策性建议

风险投资基金是２０ 世纪以来全球金融领域最成功的创新成就之一, 亦为当前中国金融深化的一个热点。其有效的运作原则包括： 正确地选择投资项目, 认真地缔结投资协议,以可转换股权或债权方法注入资本,相机引进新资本的介入,而构塑一种连续性的评估机制则是分步推进的基础。     

高校思想政治理论课考核方式改革探析——以毛泽东思想和中国特色社会主义理论体系概论课程为例

增强思想政治理论课的实效性是目前高校思想政治理论课改革面临的主要现实问题。改革和完善思想政治理论课考核方式,其意义在于通过考核方式改革带动教育教学方式的改革,实现教与学良性互动,从而增强思想政治理论课的实效性。文章以河北工业大学毛泽东思想和中国特色社会主义理论体系概论课程为例,对其考核评价体系的改革进行分析和总结,以期达到更好的育人效果。     

高校贷款融资风险评估与预警模型研究

创新高校贷款风险评估与预警模型,共筑财务系统防火墙。通过深入剖析高校债务风险凸显成因、影响路径及其特殊性,探索建立一套系统性强、涵盖面广、操作性强的风险评估与预警模型。并实证研究分析福建省A高校实施新校区项目所面临贷款规模、风险评估等问题,切合实际提出对策建议,为政府、高校和银行共同防范债务风险提供理论与实证依据,形成防范债务风险合力,促进高校健康、稳定、可持续发展。     

Measuring Women's Quality of Life: A Discussion of Alternative Approaches

This paper reports our experiences with the application of a number of alternative approaches to a study of women's economic circumstances and quality of life in a typical western city. The important work of, especially, Martha Nussbaum on the capabilities approach to evaluations of “quality of life” has highlighted pitfalls associated with the use of a narrow informational base in studies of women's lives and has emphasized the value of qualitative methods in these evaluations. However, to date, most discussions of the relevance of plural approaches to studies of women's lives have been conducted in the context of developing countries. This paper contributes a practical, current example of the relevance of such approaches to assessments of the lives of women in western countries as well. The research findings reported in the paper also cast further light on the importance of several, related themes in the literature on the capabilities approach, namely the importance of understanding how women's aspirations and expectations change with their economic and social experiences; and the importance of appreciating the social uses of language and how this affects the way in which women describe their lives.     

基于风险矩阵的风险投资项目风险评估

在对国内外风险投资项目风险评估方法进行分析的基础上,主要对风险矩阵方法在风险投资项目风险评估中的应用进行了探讨,构建了用于风险投资项目风险评估的风险矩阵,设计了利用风险矩阵进行风险评估的基本流程,以期为风险投资项目的风险评估提供一种科学、合理、简单易行的评估方法。     

区域休闲农业旅游开发的风险评价——以浙江省为例

风险是区域休闲农业旅游开发不可回避与亟待探究的问题。为深化区域休闲农业旅游开发风险的认识与实践,研究以休闲农业旅游开发较为成熟的典型地浙江省为案例,运用数据包络与因子分析方法,在对区域休闲农业旅游开发当前效率与未来潜力进行评价与分析的基础上,借助合图法以效率与潜力为聚类指标,通过两者比较对浙江省休闲农业旅游开发风险进行整体分析和评价,并将其划分为休闲农业旅游低风险积极开发、较低风险适宜开发、一般风险适度开发和较高风险整合开发等4类区域。最后,总结浙江省休闲农业旅游开发风险特征为:(1)开发风险与区域经济发展水平和区位优势条件存在明显的相关关系;(2)区域间经济社会相关联系程度影响开发风险分布方向;(3)开发水平在空间上存在较强的收敛性特征,并从中提炼出明确区域休闲农业旅游开发方向、营造良好区域交流与合作环境和构建区域休闲农业旅游开发风险协同管理机制等开发风险规避策略。     

物联网产业联盟风险评估——基于变权理论与可拓理论的结合

将变权理论与可拓理论相结合,构建了用于评估物联网产业联盟风险的变权可拓模型。用物元概念和可拓集合来判断联盟风险属于某等级风险的程度,利用距函数定义关联度,从而使识别定量化和精确化;运用变权理论,根据不同条件取适当的指标权重以反映其本质属性,克服了传统常权赋值的局限。最后,以无锡"感知中国"物联网联盟为例,运用提出的风险评价方法对其风险进行评估。结果表明,该方法具有科学性和有效性。     

When Paradigms Meet: Interacting Perspectives on Evaluation in the Non‐Profit Sector

This study examines a public debate in Australia, arising from a national government report, around how social contribution in the nonprofit sector should be assessed. Guided by several meta‐perspectives on evaluation, we identify connections between foundational assumptions and normative positions on evaluation espoused by non‐profit organizations (NPOs), and examine the ways in which the inter‐paradigmatic context of the non‐profit sector contributes to the emergence of NPOs’ different normative positions on evaluation. We conclude that particular paradigmatic orientations of NPOs (positivism, interpretivism, constructivism) lead to particular perspectives on how NPOs should engage with alternative paradigms (monism, impartial pluralism, radical pluralism).