A STRUCTURAL RISK‐NEUTRAL MODEL FOR PRICING AND HEDGING POWER DERIVATIVES

We develop a structural risk‐neutral model for energy market modifying along several directions the approach introduced in Aïd et al. In particular, a scarcity function is introduced to allow important deviations of the spot price from the marginal fuel price, producing price spikes. We focus on pricing and hedging electricity derivatives. The hedging instruments are forward contracts on fuels and electricity. The presence of production capacities and electricity demand makes such a market incomplete. We follow a local risk minimization approach to price and hedge energy derivatives. Despite the richness of information included in the spot model, we obtain closed‐form formulae for futures prices and semiexplicit formulae for spread options and European options on electricity forward contracts. An analysis of the electricity price risk premium is provided showing the contribution of demand and capacity to the futures prices. We show that when far from delivery, electricity futures behave like a basket of futures on fuels.     

一种基于差分相干积累的扩频信号开环同步捕获方法

将全数字接收机的结构引入到扩频接收机中,用一种前向的并行处理结构来代替传统码延迟锁定环的反馈结构,采用差分相干积累的方法捕获低信噪比扩频信号的伪码相位.仿真结果表明,这种方法能快速可靠地捕获低信噪比扩频信号的码同步,可以应用于开环的全数字扩频接收机中.     

动态助词“过”的语法化历程

动态助词"过"一般分为"过1"和其中"过2","过1"表示动作的完结,"过2"表示曾然。其语法化历程为:一般动词"过"→趋向动词"过"→动态助词"过1"→动态助词"过2"。动态助词"过1"和"过2"的演变又可分别区分为两个阶段,即演变发生和演变扩散。就形成机制而言,"过1"的产生主要是受隐喻、类推以及重新分析的作用,趋向动词"过"的形成是"过1"产生的关键;而"过2"是"过1"吸收了助词"来"及其经常出现的句法环境的语法意义而产生的,可以说是"过1"在特殊语境下的产物。     

西方财政学在近代中国的传播

西方财政学在近代中国的传播历经清末、北洋政府和国民政府几个历史时期,日渐深入。清末,西方财政学的传播基本上仅限于常识层面;北洋政府时期,深入到理论层面;国民政府时期,西方财政学在中国的传播达到相对成熟的阶段。西方财政学在近代中国的传播呈现出鲜明的特征:首先,瓦格纳强调以财政政策改善收入分配状况的财政理念对国人的影响特别大;其次,西方财政学的传播服务于近代中国的财政改革运动。     

Measuring the cost of liquidity in agricultural futures markets: Conventional and Bayesian approaches

Estimating the cost of liquidity in agricultural futures markets is challenging because bid‐ask spreads are usually not observed. Based on an ability to reflect simulated data from Roll's spread model, we assess the effectiveness of conventional and Bayesian bid‐ask spread estimators under different market conditions. Conventional serial covariance and absolute price change spread estimators appear to be biased. Hasbrouck's Bayesian estimator generates small costs of liquidity whose values depend on the correlation and noise in the data. The absolute value Bayesian estimator is precise and works well under conditions of high levels of noise and correlation usually found in agricultural futures markets. Using data from live cattle (LC) and lean hog (LH) contracts, we find similar patterns of performance that produce economically meaningful cost of liquidity differences.     

一种通用数字中频正交扩频调制器的实现

提出了一种适应于宽带扩频通信系统的数字中频调制的实现方案,它基于正交调制、DDS、数字上变频和数字内插等技术,采用通用硬件平台,可以生成多种中频调制信号,可广泛用于数字化扩频通信电台、宽带CDMA、软件无线电、遥控遥测等通信系统中。     

基于时域分割的DS/FH信号参数估计

针对时频分析方法在直扩/跳频(DS/FH)混 合扩频信号参数估计中存在时频分辨率受限、交叉项干扰、实时性差等缺点,通过分 析DS/FH信号的时频特性,提出了一种新的DS/FH信号参数估计方法。该方法从待测信号的时 域分析出发,利用不同跳频点对应的周期数不相等的性质,完成了对DS/FH信号的时域分割 ,最后结合DS/FH信号性质完成了对待测信号跳频周期、驻留时间、跳频频率的估计。仿真 结果表明,该方法针对DS/FH信号的参数估计精度高,运算速度较快,且没有干扰频率。     

扩频测控系统的抗干扰能力分析

扩频测控系统抗不同形式干扰的性能有较大差异,就此进行了重点研究。通过理论分 析和仿真比较了扩频系统对多种干扰信号的抗干扰机理和抗干扰容限,并给出了具有抗干扰 能力的扩频接收机的设计思路与建议。研究结果可为扩频系统的设计和抗干扰试验提供参考 。     

两宋时期儒学在贵州的传播

两宋时期,今贵州经制州、羁縻州和藩国并存,纳入了宋王朝大一统治理之下。贵州土著民族首领延纳儒士,兴办教育,奖掖书院。＂蛮荒子弟多读书攻文字＂,儒学进一步传播,科举中式乃至中进士者不乏其人。儒学的传播,增进了各民族之间的了解和认同,推动了地域文化、经济、社会的进步。     

An Analysis of the Deposit-taking Market of Hong Kong

This paper analyzes the deposit-takingmarket in Hong Kong prior to the deregulation ofinterest rates in 1994. We argue that bankingregulations, in the forms of branching restrictionsand interest-rate ceilings, had created amonopsonistic market for short-term bank deposits. Asa result, banks in Hong Kong had earned asubstantially wider interest-rate margin than banks inother Asia-Pacific countries and the United States. We provide procedures to estimate the economicsignificance of the foregone interest and find themonopsonistic rent to be in the order of 1% of theGross Domestic Product of Hong Kong for the period1987 through 1994.