风险评估标准和儿童用品风险评估研究

本文对国内外的风险评估相关标准进行了研究，分析了标准术语、适用领域方面的差异，总结了产品质量安全风险评估的一般过程，并提出了儿童用品质量安全风险评估的构想。     

Assessing impact of regulatory risk on shareholders’ wealth

Research indicates that regulatory risk increases required return on investment by investors and causes underinvestment in industries with high sunk costs. The effects of regulatory changes may be measured by estimating the abnormal returns associated with the event. The results may suggest to regulators what should be encouraged or avoided. This article utilizes a fixed effects regression to examine abnormal returns from changes in Philippine nationalization regulations. The results are consistent with extant literature. Supreme Court decisions, which increased uncertainty and regulatory risk, produced negative abnormal returns. The initial release of draft implementing rules did not produce statistically significant effects, but a succeeding draft favouring liberalization, produced positive abnormal returns.     

New insights into an old problem – enhancing student learning outcomes in an introductory statistics course

Many students enrolled in first year introductory statistics courses believe learning statistics is a waste of time and fear they will fail. In this study, we explored the impacts on learning outcomes for students in an introductory statistics course by allowing students to arbitrarily choose their own sequence of learning from three key learning activities, namely tutorials, Peer-Assisted Study Sessions and Computer-Managed Learning quizzes. Unlike the old regime where the learning activities followed a strict, rigid sequence, a new regime allowed students to freely choose when, where and how they engaged with the course learning activities. This allowed increased opportunities for students to receive relevant and timely feedback. Using a total of 1187 students enrolled in semester 2 of 2011, 2012 and 2013, data were collected on students’ scores from 7 assessment tasks. Our experimental design ensured as many course features as possible remained constant between the control cohorts (of 2011 and 2012) and the experimental cohort (2013), thereby avoiding potential sample selection problems. The findings showed student learning outcomes in the new regime improved significantly. Interestingly, the effects were found to be greatest in the lower percentile of the score distribution.     

How to deal with dissent among experts. Risk evaluation of EMF in a scientific dialogue

This article describes the results of a scientific discourse which aimed at exploring the reasons for differences in expert health risk assessment of radio frequency electromagnetic fields of mobile telephony.

It starts with describing the structure of the discourse. Then, the reasons for the conflicting risk assessments are discussed. Differences are due to the selection and evaluation of relevant scientific studies by applying different scientific quality standards, to the methods used for generating a research synthesis and an overall risk evaluation. Consensus could be achieved regarding the selection of and the quality requirements for the scientific studies used for risk assessment as well as their significance for risk evaluation. However, dissent remained about the synthesis of scientific evidence into an overall risk evaluation and about the relevance of the precautionary principle for risk evaluation and its implications for the risk assessment framework.

Based on the analysis of these problems, a transparent, consistent and rational procedure for risk assessment is suggested to facilitate a risk characterization which better meets the demands of policy making and the public for an appropriate risk evaluation.     

大型交叉安全风险识别与评估

大型交叉施工具有建筑结构复杂、设备集中、人员密度大、环境密闭等特点,一旦结构发生安全事故,后果严重,而风险识别和评估可以结合施工的实际情况,对其中的各种危险源进行分类,并进行定量与定性评价。文章从风险特点及类型、风险分析依据及步骤、风险评估流程,最后得出风险识别与评估结论:工程项目风险识别与评估应是一个经常性反复循环的活动,是一个动态的过程。     

企业人员招聘中存在的问题与对策研究

当今社会,人才已经成为企业最宝贵的财富,招聘是企业人力资源配置的前提和首要工作,人才招聘实施的成功与否,事关企业的生存与发展。     

建筑电子商务项目启动评估可行性研究

项目启动阶段是项目实施全过程的的一个重要环节,其核心内容之一是可行性评估。具体阐述可行性评估中重要因素:成本效益评估、金融方法测量、技术可行性、运行可行性和组织可行性的风险评估,以期建立建筑企业电子商务项目可行性研究的理论模式。     

浅谈我国资产评估管理中存在的若干问题及相应对策

从经济学角度系统分析资产评估业现状及其存在的弊病，使之适应市场经济发展的要求，成为真正履行独立、客观、公正原则的，具有国际水平的社会中介服务行业。     

GPT3模型计算中国大陆对流层天顶延迟精度分析

为了评估GPT3模型计算中国大陆对流层延迟改正的精度和可靠性,利用2017-2018年欧洲中期天气预报中心的ERA-Interim大气廓线资料和中国地震局提供的陆态网对对流层延迟产品进行了对比验证分析。结果表明,在中国大陆,GPT3-ZTD模型值的年均偏差(Bias)小于0.6 cm,均方根误差(RMSE)优于3.53 cm。ZTD模型值的精度总体呈现出从中国西北(RMSE3 cm)到东南地区(RMSE5 cm)逐渐降低的趋势;在中国东南地区,GPT3模型低估了对流层天顶延迟,其量级处于-2.0～0.5 cm。ZTD模型值的精度与测站高程呈非线性相关,随着高程增加而精度不断提升。此外,GPT3-ZTD的精度具有明显季节性变化,RMSE基本维持在1～6 cm,ZTD模型值精度的季节性变化与大气中水气含量和变化剧烈程度相关。GPT3模型对中国大陆的对流层天顶延迟计算有较好的精度和可靠性,可为中国大陆对流层延迟改正建模提供一定参考。