国际贸易商务协同环境下业务执行模式研究

结合国际贸易商务协同环境的基本情况,分析商务协同机制的特点,并在此基础上研究国际贸易业务执行模式现状和商务协同环境下业务执行模式的特点。     

决策执行者个人成本对决策执行有效性影响的分析——由一次企业调查引发的管理思考

企业决策是管理活动的重要内容之一,如何保证决策的有效执行是企业管理者的责任。考虑到决策执行者个人执行成本。是个人选择执行决策行为方式的关键影响因素之一,本文分析了决策执行者个人执行成本对于决策执行行为方式选择的影响。本文认为,树立决策执行者个人执行成本的概念并设计有效的制度安排以降低和隔离这一成本,将会保证企业决策有效执行。     

落实科学发展观 提升行政执法水平

科学发展观是马克思主义关于发展的世界观和方法论,也是各级质量技术监督部门必须坚持和贯彻的重要指导方针。本文根据科学发展观的要求,就质量技术监督系统行政执法中存在的问题与改进对策作一粗浅探讨。     

建立和完善企业规章制度 促进企业和谐稳定发展

依法建立和完善劳动规章制度,是保证用人单位各项工作顺利进行的必要措施。文章以广西柳州钢铁(集团)公司钢星公司为例,分析了用规章制度规范企业与员工的劳动行为,维护企业和谐稳定的具体措施。     

浅谈如何提高企业执行力建设

本文主要阐述了电力企业的发展问题,并详细介绍提高企业执行力的建设,为企业的发展注入活力。     

An empirical investigation of multiperiod tail risk forecasting models

In the context of multiperiod tail risk (i.e., VaR and ES) forecasting, we provide a new semiparametric risk model constructed based on the forward-looking return moments estimated by the stochastic volatility model with price jumps and the Cornish–Fisher expansion method, denoted by SVJCF. We apply the proposed SVJCF model to make multiperiod ahead tail risk forecasts over multiple forecast horizons for S&P 500 index, individual stocks and other representative financial instruments. The model performance of SVJCF is compared with other classical multiperiod risk forecasting models via various backtesting methods. The empirical results suggest that SVJCF is a valid alternative multiperiod tail risk measurement; in addition, the tail risk generated by the SVJCF model is more stable and thus should be favored by risk managers and regulatory authorities.     

Autocratic governors in public procurement

The personal role of sub-national rulers is crucial for regional development in countries with weak institutions. This paper studies the impact of regional governors’ tenure in office and their local ties on procurement performance in Russia. To identify the causal effect, we construct instruments for governor’s tenure by exploiting the regional vote share of ruling party in past parliament elections. We find the evidence that governors who do not have pre-governing local ties in the region (outsiders) demonstrate predatory behaviour, compared to governors with local ties (insiders). Namely, governors-outsiders restrict the competition at awarding stage significantly more than governors-insiders. Moreover, for governors-outsiders this restriction becomes stronger with tenure in office, while governors-insiders do not demonstrate such negative tenure effect. We argue that this restriction of competition by governors-outsiders cannot be explained by the intention of better contracts execution: the delays in execution and the probability of contract termination either increase or keep stable with tenure for governors-outsiders and these outcomes decrease with tenure for governors-insiders.     

实践、比较与选择——政府采购执行模式分析

对政府主导模式、市场化运作模式和混合模式三种政府采购执行组织管理模式的实践效果比较和案例分析表明现段阶采用混合采购制更适宜。混合式采购模式在推行过程中,要加强对分散采购项目的控制,严格采购程序加强监督工作,科学确定分散采购范围。     

Calibrating the Magnitude of the Countercyclical Capital Buffer Using Market-Based Stress Tests

This paper proposes a novel methodology to calibrate the magnitude of the countercyclical capital buffer (CCyB) using market-based stress tests. The macroprudential authority in our paper aims to contain the possibility of a breach of a minimum capital ratio in the event of a severe system-wide shock within a certain permissible failure probability. We apply the methodology by stress-testing major banks in six advanced economies on a quarterly basis over a period of 27 years. The estimates suggest that the cap on the CCyB should not be less than around 1.7% of total assets. Its potential normal-times level is estimated at approximately 0.8% of total assets.     

国家审计如何促进政府预算执行绩效的提升

以2007—2020年我国省级面板数据为样本,研究国家审计与政府预算执行绩效之间的关系及其作用机理。从实证角度验证了国家审计对政府预算执行绩效的提升作用,发现政府预算执行绩效具有空间自相关特性,同时国家审计对政府预算执行绩效的影响存在正向空间溢出效应;国家审计通过直接和间接两条路径促进了政府预算执行绩效的提高,政府效率和市场环境在间接路径中发挥了双重中介作用;2013年全国地方政府债务审计对政府预算执行绩效产生了明显的事件冲击效应;地方发展和审计强度差异均会对国家审计提升政府预算执行绩效产生明显的调节作用。