On the global supply of basic research

In a two-country Schumpeterian growth model, we study the incentives for basic research investments by governments in a globalized world. A country׳s basic research investments increase with the country׳s level of human capital and decline with its own market size. This may explain why some smaller countries invest so much in basic research. Compared with the optimal investments achievable when countries coordinate their basic research policies, a single country may over-invest in basic research. However, the total amount of decentralized basic research investments is always below the socially optimal investment level, which justifies policy coordination in this area.     

Services as drivers of economic growth. Is there an opportunity for Latin America countries?

ABSTRACT

Considering the recent improvements in services innovation and productivity performance, the aim of the article is to analyze if they can act as a new growth driver for Latin American countries. For that, we review the literature on services and structural change in two stages. First, we apply a bibliometric methodology to identify the main trends in literature. Second, we analyze in-depth a smaller set of papers in order to extract the main lessons regarding three aspects of our question: (i) services and productivity growth, (ii) new opportunities for innovation in services and (iii) relation between services and manufacturing through servitization process. The results show that productivity and innovation growth in services are concentrated in only a few branches. Besides this, services performance depends on their links with manufacturing activities. We conclude that the current Latin American servitization process clausure opportunities for developing instead of opening them.     

青海省普惠金融发展对经济增长影响研究

为研究青海省普惠金融发展对经济的影响,本研究结合青海省2015-2020年的统计资料来分析普惠金融的发展对经济增长的影响,分别从国内生产总值、三次工业增加值所占的比重来衡量青海省普惠金融在经济中的发展现状;用金融机构的存款余额及其贷款余额、财政厅专项资金的投入情况来衡量青海省普惠金融的发展现状。得出结论为:普惠金融的发展对经济增速具有正向作用。     

2007中国宏观经济走势与长三角模式未来

中国经济在2007年将延续自2003年以来增长的势头。但与高速增长伴随而来的物质生产份额与价值实现份额的“大分流”现象并未消除。通过对我国单位GDP能耗和美国1949年的单位GDP能耗进行对比,可以看出这种“大分流”现象是由中国经济尤其是长三角区域的“车间经济”式的发展模式引致的。如果继续这种发展模式,中国经济的未来定位将会是以传统制造业群为主——走向蓝领经济,占据世界价值链的低端环节。如果要改变这种命运,必须转变发展模式,走向指数与信息经济时代。中国将在一个较短的时间内完成大国经济的崛起过程。     

中国外贸增长方式转变的评价指标体系与实证研究

从外贸规模、外贸结构、外贸效益、外贸可持续发展、外贸竞争力五个方面建立外贸增长方式及其转变的评价指标体系,以中国1995—2008年的数据,对外贸增长方式转变成效进行了实证研究表明,从总体上来看,外贸增长方式转变已有成效;规模指标显示外贸规模不断扩大;结构指标显示外贸结构在波动中优化,但优化程度与规模增长相比显得不足;效益指标、可持续发展指标、外贸竞争力指标,都有一定程度的上升。但贸易结构有待进一步优化,贸易条件需要进一步改善,环境、资源指标需要进一步提高,外贸增长方式转变的任务仍然十分艰巨。     

高技术产品、出口贸易和经济增长：来自吉林省域经济的经验证据

依据1978~2009年吉林省出口贸易和经济增长数据,考察吉林省出口贸易发展基本趋势并对比评价吉林省出口贸易省域竞争力。回归分析评价吉林省高技术产品出口与出口贸易关联性,发现高新技术产品对出口贸易增长作用明显。利用HP滤波分解出吉林省出口贸易和经济增长三类成分的作用关系检验,结果发现,滞后期的出口贸易与国内生产总值的三类成分Granger因果关系显著,表明出口贸易可以通过经济体内要素耦合作用而作用于经济增长。而同期仅水平序列的出口贸易与国内生产总值有明显的相关性,表明出口贸易对经济增长拉动作用明显但二者同步性有限。     

Diminishing effects of location? Some evidence from Swiss municipalities, 1950–2000

This paper analyzes how location has affected, in the second half of the twentieth century, the population growth of 2889 municipalities in Switzerland. The analysis demonstrates the temporal relativity of location attributes, even for small territorial divisions, such as the Swiss cantons. However, we also show that, both absolute and relative location attributes have weakened over time as population growth predictors, apparently due to improving road infrastructures, and growing motorization. The study has been made possible by a detailed historical population and accessibility database available for Swiss municipalities. To the best of our knowledge, no database of such scope and quality is available for any other European country.     

我国外汇储备增长过快的深层次原因及其优化路径分析

通常而言,国际收支的顺差是外汇储备的主要来源,是导致外汇储备过快增长的直接原因,其实国际收支顺差背后的一些深层次问题是导致我国外汇储备增长更为根本的原因。通过对这些深层次原因的全面剖析,提出了抑制我国外汇储备过快增长的对策性建议。     

新疆地区税收与经济增长之间的实证分析

本文以新疆地区1994年-2009年间税收收入与经济总量GDP的发展现状为例,探讨了税收增长与经济增长的相关性,并提出了通过调整产业结构和税收政策的方式促进经济与税收之间的协调发展。     

长三角层级式产业链构筑的路径分析

从价值角度分析,产业链本质上是一种价值的分布,即价值链。在价值分布非均衡状态下,如何占领价值制高点成为长三角今后一个时期产业链整合和提升的基本方向。文章以此为契点,提出长三角产业链整合的基本模式和发展路径。