对中国可转换公司债券发展路径的评析

中国可转换公司债券的发展经历了探索期、试点期和发展期三个阶段，各阶段具有各自的经验教训。当前利用可转债融资在企业特性、行业选择和发行时机方面存在误区，基于经济理性假设，不同类别的企业以及企业发展的不同阶段，应根据自身的发展战略、市场状况以及融资成本来选择是否采用可转债融资。     

波兰市政债券的发展及其对我国的启示

波兰作为一个转型经济国家，其发展过程中表现出的特点对于中国具有参考意义。在市政债券方面，它比我国早发展。考察波兰市政债券市场的建立与发展将对于我国市政债券市场的形成具有一定价值波兰的市政债券市场是在非常有限的条件下发展起来的，而比较来看，我国更具优越性，而且现实也需要我们建立市政债券市场。因此，我国应在借鉴世界其他国家发展市政债券市场的经验教训的基础上，有步骤地有选择的发展市政债券市场。     

企业债券市场波动性研究—基于ARMA-GARCH模型的实证分析

基于交易所企债指数,利用ARMA-GARCH模型分析市场波动性。结果表明ARMA（1,1）-GARCH（1,1）模型可以合理解释企业债券市场波动存在的持续性、丛集性和杠杆效应。场外冲击对条件方差的影响具有持久性,反向冲击比等量的正向冲击会导致更高的下一期的条件方差。EGARCH（1,1）-M模型回归结果表明,市场存在正的风险溢价,但是预期条件波动对预期收益仅有微弱补偿。     

企业债券市场波动性研究——基于ARMA-GARCH模型的实证分析

基于交易所企债指数,利用ARMA-GARCH模型分析市场波动性。结果表明ARMA(1,1)-GARCH(1,1)模型可以合理解释企业债券市场波动存在的持续性、丛集性和杠杆效应。场外冲击对条件方差的影响具有持久性,反向冲击比等量的正向冲击会导致更高的下一期的条件方差。EGARCH(1,1)-M模型回归结果表明,市场存在正的风险溢价,但是预期条件波动对预期收益仅有微弱补偿。     

When Does Relational Exchange Matters? Social Bond,Trust and Satisfaction

Purpose: The extant literature on business-to-business relationship has shown that trust, relationship duration, and social bond are the key drivers of relationship satisfaction. Notwithstanding, studies on the examination of when and why these variables translate into successful relationship are still scarce and need further exploration. This research investigates the conditions under which trust and social bonds influence satisfaction in a business-to-business relationship.

Design/methodology/approach: The data were collected from 159 footwear producers using a structured questionnaire. Four hypotheses were developed and tested using hierarchical multiple regression.

Findings: The authors found support for all hypotheses. Social bonds and longevity are crucial in enhancing supplier relationship satisfaction. Likewise, the role of social bonds in inducing supplier satisfaction heightens over time. However, the positive association between exchange partner trustworthiness and supplier satisfaction works well only in high degree of dependence situation.

Research limitations/implications: The study was based on the report on monadic data and cross-sectional design. Future research should adopt longitudinal design to overcome the shortcomings.

Theoretical implications: This study advances the social exchange theory (SET) by elucidating the condition in which social bonds and trust fail to produce relationship satisfaction. Social bonds fail to enhance relationship satisfaction at the beginning of the relationship. Moreover, trust alone cannot be good enough to boost relationship satisfaction in a lose dependence context.

Managerial implications: This study acclaimed a relationship-driven approach as the best choice for those firms who aspire to build a good relationship with their exchange partner. Managers should understand how and when to develop a strong social relationship with their trading partners, and recognize the situations in which to deal with honest and fair business partners in an exchange relationship.

Originality/Contribution: This is one of the very few studies, which have been conducted to investigate the conditions under which the relational variable influences satisfaction in a business-to-business relationships context. It expanded the boundary of the current literature as it investigated the moderating role of relationship duration and dependence in the relationship between relational constructs and relationship satisfaction.     

地方政府债务融资管理的现状、问题与对策

随着近年来对财政风险的日益关注，地方政府的债务融资风险也受到了人们越来越多的重视，笔者认为，我国现行地方政府债务融资管理制度所存在的种种缺陷，是造成这一风险加剧的重要因素之一，必须及时加以规范和完善。     

The determinants of secondary market prices for developing country loans: the impact of country risk

With better-defined variables based on Euromoney country risk data as explanatory variables, the determinants of the prices of the debts of less-developed countries (LDCs) in the secondary market are estimated. With the use of cross-sectional data on 27 countries for the years 1992, 1993, and 1994, the regression results indicate that sovereign credit ratings constitute the most important variable influencing prices; other significant variables include the level of external indebtedness and the amount of debt in default. Separate results have been obtained for each of the two categories of countries grouped according to the level of economic development. These results are more meaningful than those of previous studies because the model includes, in addition to debt-servicing capacity, other variables that best explain the prices of LDCs' debt within the context of a risky debt instrument.     

可转换债券发行条款的设计:基于控制权利益的视角

从控股股东角度出发考察在有控制权利益的情形下我国可转换债券发行条款的设计,分析了可转换债券的债券条款、转股条款以及回售、赎回和转股价格向下修正条款等5个主要条款,发现我国可转换债券发行条款的设计本意是,维护控股股东（非流通股股东）的利益,迎合投资人的需求,损害流通股股东的利益,并没有实现流通股股东、非流通股股东与投资人之间利益的平等保护。     

公司债券的违约风险度量技术及应用

随着我国资本市场的进一步发展,公司债券已经成为我国资本市场重要的金融工具。因此,公司债券的违约风险已经成为投资者关注的重要因素。本文系统地论述了度量公司债券违约风险的三类主要方法：信用评级法、数理模型法和保险思想法。在此基础上,论述了我国发展债券市场提高公司债券违约风险度量技术的基本思路是重点利用信用评级方法,积极开发数理模型方法,创造条件利用保险思想模型。     

Corporate bond liquidity before and after the onset of the subprime crisis

We analyze liquidity components of corporate bond spreads during 2005-2009 using a new robust illiquidity measure. The spread contribution from illiquidity increases dramatically with the onset of the subprime crisis. The increase is slow and persistent for investment grade bonds while the effect is stronger but more short-lived for speculative grade bonds. Bonds become less liquid when financial distress hits a lead underwriter and the liquidity of bonds issued by financial firms dries up under crises. During the subprime crisis, flight-to-quality is confined to AAA-rated bonds.