财务困境、政府干预与管理者自利

文章运用处理效应(treatment effect)模型,从财务困境视角研究了政府干预对管理者自利行为的影响。研究发现,当政府干预程度较低时,相对于未发生财务困境的公司,困境公司管理者的自利行为会有所减弱;但当政府干预程度增强时,困境公司管理者自利行为减弱的程度将趋缓。对于政府控制的公司,当金融机构信贷决策受到政府干预的影响较弱时,财务困境期间管理者自利行为会有所减弱;随着政府对金融机构信贷决策干预程度的加强,困境公司管理者自利行为趋于严重。对于非政府控制的公司,困境期间管理者自利行为对金融机构信贷决策的自主性并不敏感。     

Involuntary excess reserve and bankers’ remuneration: evidence from Chinese banks

This article analyses the effects of involuntary excess reserves (IER) on bankers’ remuneration and the penalty associated with bank risk-taking if discovered. The study finds that IER help conceal tail risks, improves bankers’ performance and remuneration. However, the risks once discovered result in heavy penalties on bankers’ remuneration. The study extends the agency theory to the context where banks hold large IER.     

宁夏引黄灌区现代农业发展问题研究

宁夏引黄灌区现代农业的发展,是我国西北地区农业现代化的重要组成部分。文章通过对宁夏引黄灌区农业发展现状的研究,总结出灌区内现代农业发展的示范性模式,并针对灌区农业现代化过程中出现的部分问题进行对策探讨,以期为西北地区现代农业的发展提供理论参考。     

Intraday bidirectional volatility spillover across international stock markets: does the global financial crisis matter?

This article studies volatility spillover between the US and the three largest European stock markets (Frankfurt, London and Paris) around the time of the recent Subprime crisis. In order to investigate the impact of the latter, we break our sample down into two sub-periods: a pre-crisis period and a post-crisis period, using a structural break test that has the advantage of endogenously testing for further breaks in the data. Unlike previous studies that have frequently investigated this issue using low frequency data, our article makes use of intraday data. Accordingly, using Threshold generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH) model estimations, we find weak evidence of volatility transmission between the two regions before the Subprime crisis. However, during the post-crisis period, we record returns and volatility spillover from US to European markets and vice versa at different times of the trading day, indicating that the two regions became more dependent during the recent Subprime crisis, a finding that supports the contagion hypothesis between the US and European stock markets.     

Technological forecasting at the Korean stock market: A dynamic competition analysis using Lotka–Volterra model

The purpose of this paper is to attempt to analyze the dynamic relationship between the Korean Stock Exchange (KSE) and Korean Securities Dealers Automated Quotation (KOSDAQ), two competing markets at the Korean stock market, in the viewpoint of technological forecasting of competition. The Lotka–Volterra system of equations, one well-known competitive diffusion models, is adopted to represent the competitive situations of the Korean stock market and it is estimated using daily empirical index data of KSE and KOSDAQ during 1997–2001. The results show that there existed a predator–prey relationships between two markets in which KSE acted as a prey for the time being after the emergence of KOSDAQ. This interaction was altered to symbiotic relationship and finally to pure competition relationship. We also perform an equilibrium analysis of the estimated Lotka–Volterra equations. As a result, we find that there is an equilibrium point in a dynamic sense. However, the equilibrium point could be unstable in the latest pure competition relationship.     

沪市不同行业间信息的溢出效应研究

通过向量自回归模型和多元GARCH-BEKK模型对沪市工业、商业和地产行业之间的均值过程和条件方差过程的信息溢出效应分析发现,三个行业间存在收益过程的单向溢出效应,且除工业类对商业类股价波动的溢出效应不明显之外,其它均存在显著的波动双向溢出效应。     

股市风险及其防范策略

目前东南亚地区发生的金融危机一波未平,又起波澜。金融风险成为人们讨论的热门话题。本文就我国股市风险产生的原因及防范策略阐述自己的看法。     

农业供应链金融创新与践行——基于龙江银行农业产业金融创新调研

改善农村金融服务,创新金融产品和服务,必须有创新的理念.龙江银行在创新理念指导下,创新了农业供应链金融的五种模式和六种金融产品,有效地促进了农业发展,实现了农业供应链的各经营主体共赢,各得其所.创新的农业供应链金融模式及其配套新产品的践行,取得了一定的经济和社会效益,具有重要的推广价值.     

住房公积金贷款的风险与防范

住房公积金贷款是职工使用住房公积金的重要方式,具有其它使用方式无法比拟的优点。但住房公积金贷款制度在运作过程中也存在着一系列潜在风险。针对这些风险,主要应当从改革和完善委托贷款管理机制、完善贷款审批制度和贷款抵押管理、建立健全个人信用制度、构建贷款风险的政策化解机制等方面加强防范。     

创业网络的概念发展——一个系统的三维模型

创业网络研究已经取得了较为丰富的成果,但是对于创业网络概念本身还缺乏系统化的概念框架。本文对创业网络概念进行了界定,并且从关系主体、关系属性、关系产出三个维度对创业网络概念内涵进行了探讨,基于上述分析,本文提出了一个系统的创业网络三维概念模型。