工商银行山东分行的区域发展机遇与发展战略选择

区域经济是区域金融发展的基础,区域经济的发展特征决定了区域金融的有效需求和层次,并要求区域金融的发展与之相适应,区域金融又反过来影响着区域经济的发展.山东经济发展较快、独立性较强,具有区域发展战略清晰、"群象"经济突出、对外经贸和民营经济发展迅速、区域发展不均衡以及县域经济发达等特征,为工商银行山东分行的发展提供了广阔的发展空间,同时也带来了各种挑战.这要求工商银行山东分行依据区域经济发展特征和自身实际做出正确发展战略选择,明确市场定位和发展方向,并制定相应的战略措施,实现各项业务的健康稳定发展,提高区域金融市场的竞争力.     

试论公平原则在我国IPO中的理解与适用

公平原则是民法和商法的基本原则，也是我国证券法的基本原则，其理论基础的核心是证券发行人或者上市公司应当平等对待所有投资者。笔者从民商法、证券法中公平原则的涵义分析入手，针对我国现行首次公开发行股票的几项具体制度，论述了如何正确理解公平原则对我国首次公开发行股票的指导意义，指出了由于僵化理解公平原则而导致的我国股票首次公开发行制度中的缺陷，根据公平原则的合理内涵以及国内外殷票发行的实践提出了完善我国首次公开发行股票制度的建议．     

和谐财政理论:评述与研究

和谐财政是我国生产建设财政退出历史舞台、公共财政框架尚未完善之间的一个过渡性财政运行模式,是中国所独有的一种财政模式,其发展方向是公共财政,其运行的基础是我国经济社会发展处于关键但社会矛盾比较严重的现实,时间可能不会太长,但具有特别重要的意义。和谐财政要体现三大基本内容:一是财政与经济运行之间的和谐,体现帕累托最优原则;二是财政与社会公平之间的和谐,确保和谐社会的建立;三是经济与社会之间的和谐,确保再生产环节的有效衔接。     

International lease-accounting reform and economic consequences: The views of U.K. users and preparers

In response to perceived difficulties with extant lease-accounting standards in operation worldwide, the G4+1 issued a discussion paper which proposes that all leases should be recognized on the balance sheet [ASB (1999). Leases: Implementation of a new approach, discussion paper. London: Accounting Standards Board]. Leasing is now on the active agenda of the IASB. A major difficulty faced by standard setters lies in overcoming the preparer/user lobbying imbalance and obtaining ex ante evidence on the likely impact of regulatory reform. This paper contributes to the ongoing international debate by conducting a questionnaire survey of U.K. users and preparers to assess their views on proposals for lease-accounting reform and on the potential economic consequences of their adoption. The results, based on 132 responses, indicate that both groups accept that there are deficiencies in the current rules, but they do not agree on the way forward and believe that the proposals would lead to significant economic consequences for key parties. The impact on respondents' views of familiarity with the proposals, level of lease usage, and company size, is also examined.     

交易费用视角下的金融集聚效应

从交易费用视角看,产业集聚可以扩大市场广度,增加市场深度,从而拓展市场范围,促进分工的进一步发展并实现分工的利益.金融集聚作为产业集聚的一种形式,通过和当地服务业、制造业的互动拓展了金融产业的市场广度;通过金融企业之间的竞争合作关系增加了金融产业的市场深度,对区域金融产业产生积极的集聚效应,促进了地区金融业的良性发展.     

个人理财市场细分及客户群差异性分析

目前我国商业银行个人理财业务尚处于初级阶段,个人理财市场的细分还很简单,尚没有进行更深入的、多层次的分析。针对这一情况,本文借鉴“家庭生命周期”的分析思路,选取人口统计变量和家庭生命周期变量等综合指标作为客户细分变量,对给定的调查样本实施市场细分。为此,本文利用方差分析探讨了一般客户、重要客户、未来潜力客户和战略客户4组客户理财个性的差异性以及对银行理财服务质量期望的差异性。同时,还分析这组客户对主要理财工具、理财产品的需求特点,并在市场细分的基础上制定出4差异化的、有针对性的营销策略。     

Value-at-Risk Prediction: A Comparison of Alternative Strategies

Given the growing need for managing financial risk, risk predictionplays an increasing role in banking and finance. In this studywe compare the out-of-sample performance of existing methodsand some new models for predicting value-at-risk (VaR) in aunivariate context. Using more than 30 years of the daily returndata on the NASDAQ Composite Index, we find that most approachesperform inadequately, although several models are acceptableunder current regulatory assessment rules for model adequacy.A hybrid method, combining a heavy-tailed generalized autoregressiveconditionally heteroskedastic (GARCH) filter with an extremevalue theory-based approach, performs best overall, closelyfollowed by a variant on a filtered historical simulation, anda new model based on heteroskedastic mixture distributions.Conditional autoregressive VaR (CAViaR) models perform inadequately,though an extension to a particular CAViaR model is shown tooutperform the others.     

发展政策性金融有待解决的三大难题

我国未来政策性金融的发展前景取决于三大难题的解决,即政策性金融的生存空间、业务领域、保障机制。本文认为,政策性金融是市场机制有益的和必要的补充,政策性金融的存在使一国的金融体系得以完善。市场的不足内生了政策性金融的生存空间和具体的业务领域,政策性金融作为一种特殊的金融制度安排,具有战略意义,但政策性金融的可持续发展有赖于专门法律制度的构建和完善。     

公共财政:渊源、内涵与属性

在我国,看待"公共财政"问题,必须有一个特定的历史视角,即不能简单照搬西方,而应在我国特定的国情下理解"公共财政"的涵义,它标识着一种与以往不同的、适应于社会主义市场经济体制的新财政模式。     

Trade Credit, Corporate Groups, and the Financing of Belgian Firms

We investigate the role of trade credit as a source of financing. Using a sample of 661 large non-financial Belgian firms for the 1989–1991 period, we find that the amount of trade credit a buyer takes is determined by his need for funds and the internally available funds. Trade credit is primarily used to finance short-term assets. As such, it seems to be an important alternative not only for short-term bank debt but also for long-term financial debt, including intragroup debt. We find no evidence that the amount of trade credit taken is influenced by affiliation with the supplier.