Research on the Present Situation and Countermeasure of the Development of Chinese Architectural Industry

Along with the development of Chinese social economy and the innovation of government policy, Chinese Architectural Industry is playing a more and more vital role in the entire national economy. This paper first abstracts the connotation and basic characteristic of the Architectural Industry, then discusses the present situation of the development of Chinese Architectural Industry and carries on the analysis on the entire construction industry. Finally discusses the development tendency of Chinese architectural industry, and put forward the corresponding policy proposals to its developmental strategy.     

养老保险金替代率研究

养老保险金替代率是指一定地区当年离退休(含退职，下同)人员的养老金平均水平与该地区当年职工平均工资水平的比率，其是否合理，将影响到养老保险制度安排和政策取向。养老保险金替代率目标的确定，将受到一个国家或者地区的社会保障水平和经济发展水平等因素的影响。按照中国对基本养老保险制度改革的总体思路，未来基本养老保险金替代率目标确定为60％左右。目前，中国基本养老保险金替代率目标已经接近制度改革的目标，北京市的基本养老保险金替代率明显低于全国水平。企业退休金的替代率又明显低于事业和机关单位的退休金替代率，并呈现持续下降的趋势，应当设法进行遏止。     

SELECTION BIAS CORRECTIONS BASED ON THE MULTINOMIAL LOGIT MODEL: MONTE CARLO COMPARISONS

Abstract.  This survey presents the set of methods available in the literature on selection bias correction, when selection is specified as a multinomial logit model. It contrasts the underlying assumptions made by the different methods and shows results from a set of Monte Carlo experiments. We find that, in many cases, the approach initiated by Dubin and MacFadden (1984) as well as the semi-parametric alternative recently proposed by Dahl (2002) are to be preferred to the most commonly used Lee (1983) method. We also find that a restriction imposed in the original Dubin and MacFadden paper can be waived to achieve more robust estimators. Monte Carlo experiments also show that selection bias correction based on the multinomial logit model can provide fairly good correction for the outcome equation, even when the IIA hypothesis is violated.     

顾客关系营销的应用研究

在综述关系营销内涵及其与传统交易营销的区别的基础上,对国内外企业顾客关系营销的应用进行了研究,分析了我国企业应用顾客关系营销过程中存在的问题,提出了应采取的对策。     

浅谈企业内部控制制度

企业会计造假、会计信息失真现象屡禁不止,尤其是美国“安然”事件的发生,给世人敲了警钟:加强企业内部控制制度的建设迫在眉睫。本文从企业内控的现状入手,对企业加强内控建设提出了几点建议。     

对西部贫困地区教育现状的人文思考

西部贫困地区教育的发展是贫困地区脱贫致富的关键所在。在西部教育现状中,尝试人文思考与探索,将会对西部教育发展起到一定的指导作用。在西部教育中注重对教育主体的人文教育,是建立社会主义和谐社会的要求。     

欧元之父--罗伯特·蒙代尔的经济学贡献

蒙代尔是最优货币区域理论的首创者,他分析了不同汇率体制下财政政策与货币政策的合理配置理论,从货币角度研究国际收支理论及供给学理论,促成了欧元的出台,被尊称为"欧元之父".蒙代尔对中国改革和发展给予了高度关注,并提出许多有益的建议.     

"上证"A股市场情绪的关键影响因素

文章从投资者认知偏误视角,研究提出了"上证"A股市场情绪的四维量表,系统整合了18个关键影响因素,形成中国证券市场情绪的关键影响因素概念模型.采用"上证"A股市场中152家企业的调研数据,进行验证性因子分析和拟合优度检验.结果表明,12个理论因素按预期模式加载,形成了认知偏误、有限套利、交互传染和本土特性等四个维度,对认识中国证券投资者的决策行为具有一定指导意义.     

Researching Preferences,Valuation and Hypothetical Bias

A number of recent papers in environmental economics have focused on the process of researching preferences – agents are uncertain about preferences but with effort may narrow their uncertainty. This issue has arisen in formulating bids in contingent valuation (CV) as well as the debate over the divergence between WTP and WTA. In the context of CV, it has been suggested that the hypothetical nature of the preference elicitation process biases responses. This paper provides both a theoretical model and experimental evidence to contribute to this debate. The model is a model of competitive bidding for a private good with two components that are particularly relevant to the debate. The first component is that bidders are unsure of their own value for the private good but may purchase information about their own value (researching preferences). The second component is that there is a probability that the auction is hypothetical – that the winning bidder will not get the private good and will not pay the winning bid. The experiment tests this theoretical model of bidding equilibrium and analyzes the effects of variations in the parameters (hypotheticalness, information costs and number of agents) on the endogenous variables (such as the proportion of bidders who become informed and the winning bid). Experimental results suggest that an increase in the hypotheticalness of an auction tends to decrease the likelihood that bidders pay for information on their valuation with an ambiguous effect on the winning bid.      

对我国物流园区发展现状的思考

分析了我国物流园区的现状,指出我国物流园区存在的问题,并借鉴国外先进经验提出拉动式物流园区建设模式、政府宏观规划与审查、以客户需求为导向运作园区等建议.