Batten down the anchors: Responding to another negotiator’s first offer

Drawing from a wealth of negotiation research, my previous installment of Negotiating Life advised negotiators to make the first offer if they can. But sometimes they can’t. Sometimes, despite a negotiator’s best efforts, the other side moves first. In this article, I provide a framework for responding to another negotiator’s first offer, suggesting that the appropriate response varies markedly depending on the quality of the offer. This provides a more comprehensive strategy for making and managing early offers in a negotiation.     

世界速递业发展及对中国的启示

随着经济的发展和社会的进步，原来归于传统邮政业务中的速递业务逐渐向产业化的方向发展。与中国的速递业一样，世界各国的速递业发展仍处于刚开始并且相当不成熟的阶段。探讨各国速递业的发展现状和特点，并用产业组织学的市场结构理论分析中国速递业的现状，提出调整中国速递业市场结构的建议。     

积极倡导 创建和谐公共图书馆

进入21世纪以来,我国的经济得到了迅速的发展,在发展经济的同时更应当注重文化素质的培养,而图书馆为提高广大人们群众的整体素质提供了平台和媒介。在提倡和谐以及可持续发展的今天,建设可持续发展的图书馆已经成为社会的焦点。文章从以人为本,改变管理现状及对策、服务理念转变与服务创新、提高馆员素质增强主人翁责任感三方面进行阐述。如何创造和谐公共图书馆是一个比较大的课题,文章作者就此问题愿与图书馆同仁共同探讨。     

我国城市社区体育发展现状及趋势分析

本文通过查阅文献资料、逻辑分析等方法,对我国城市社区体育产生的背景、发展现状及趋势进行全面阐述,以便为今后我国城市社区体育稳定、良性的发展提供一定的理论参考依据。     

The determinants of the volatility of returns on cross-border asset holdings

Using both panel and cross-sectional models for 28 industrialized countries observed from 2001–2009, we report a number of findings regarding the determinants of the volatility of returns on cross-border asset holdings (i.e., equity and debt). Greater portfolio concentration and an increase in assets held in emerging markets lead to an elevation in earning volatility, whereas more financial integration and a greater share held in Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development countries and by the household sector cause a reduction in the return volatility. Larger asset holdings by offshore financial corporations and non-bank financial institutions cause higher market volatility, although they affect volatility in the equity and bond markets in the opposite way. Overall, both panel and cross-sectional estimations provide very similar results (albeit of different magnitude) and are robust to the endogeneity problem.     

北京奥运后陕北少儿体校发展现状研究

北京奥运我国金牌总数首登第一,取得了举世瞩目的成绩,国人为之振奋,这些成绩的取得与各级体校的贡献是分不开的,北京奥运后各级体校应如何发展决定着后备人才的培养情况,笔者对陕北各级体校办学现状进行调研,客观分析了存在的问题,提出一些较符合陕北实际的有利于各级体校发展的建议,旨在为陕北各级体校的可持续发展提供参考。     

The asymmetric relationship between returns and implied volatility: Evidence from global stock markets

We investigate the asymmetric relationship between returns and implied volatility for 20 developed and emerging international markets. In particular we examine how the sign and size of return innovations affect the expectations of daily changes in volatility. Our empirical findings indicate that the conditional contemporaneous return-volatility relationship varies not only based on the sign of the expected returns but also upon their magnitude, according to recent results from the behavioral finance literature. We find evidence of an asymmetric and reverse return-volatility relationship in many advanced, Asian, Latin-American, European and South African markets. We show that the US market displays the highest reaction to price falls, Asian markets present the lowest sensitivity to volatility expectations, while the Euro area is characterized by a homogeneous response both in terms of direction and impact. These results may be safely attributed to cultural and societal characteristics. An extensive quantile regression analysis demonstrates that the detected asymmetric pattern varies particularly across the extreme distribution tails i.e., in the highest/lowest quantile ranges. Indeed, the classical feedback and leverage hypotheses appear not plausible, whilst behavioral theories emerge as the new paradigm in real-world applications.     

Measuring Serious Leisure in Chess: Model Confirmation and Method Bias

The serious leisure inventory and measure (SLIM) was tested with 348 chess players to confirm the factors, assess the effects of method bias, and propose a set of the best-performing items for the 18 factor SLIM. The 54-item SLIM demonstrated acceptable fit and reliability values. The effect of method bias was evidenced in the sample and explained one-third of the variance. Inspection of factor loadings, when controlling for method bias, yielded one best-performing item per factor. Findings indicate method bias continues to be problematic for self-report measures such as the SLIM.     

基于个体差异的报童群体决策研究

通过实验研究群体决策和大五人格对报童订购的影响。研究表明大五人格中开放性维度能很好地预测个体和群体决策者的订购行为。在个体实验中，开放性越高的个体更不易产生锚定效应，其他四种人格特性与锚定偏差无显著关系；在群体实验中，群体的开放性得分均值、群体中高开放性成员所占的比例与锚定偏差呈负相关关系。通过比较两种实验结果，发现群体锚定倾向明显小于个体锚定倾向，而群体决策并没有优于个体决策。该研究结果对企业人员招聘、构建决策团队及降低决策偏差有一定参考价值。     

浅谈古琴艺术的发展与现状

古琴经历了一个漫长的历史过程,从远古时期的各种传说到周代正式登上历史舞台,从此琴学兴盛。直至文化大革命元气大伤而从此不为后人所知。古琴是世界非物质文化遗产,我们要保护它,发扬它,让它重新登上舞台。为了不让它从此沦为博物馆中的艺术品,我们的民族音乐家们和音乐爱好者一直在努力改革。