实体经济发展困境及政策建议:从制造业视角

近年来,在虚拟经济高回报率的吸引下,中国经济出现了“脱实向虚”的现象,导致实体经济发展受到极大的冲击,许多制造业企业面临着成本居高不下、人才匮乏、融资困难、专利维权效益不高和舆论环境出现偏差等系列问题。因此,本文通过分析中国实体经济发展存在的问题,提出营造有利于实体经济发展的舆论环境,提出降低实体经济企业成本、加强金融财税支持、强化人才保障、推动研发创新和加强知识产权保护等系列政策建议,以促进实体经济平稳快速发展。     

实际汇率、外国收入对出口的影响——中国对美国出口的实证分析

文章在中关两国1979—2004年数据基础上研究中国对美国出口与人民币实际汇率和美国收入水平之间的关系,通过实证分析,发现出口与实际汇率和收入之间具有相同的变化趋势,进而对三者进行单位根检验和协整检验,确定具有长期均衡关系,这表明中国对美国的出口在很大程度上取决于实际汇率和美国的收入水平。     

齐齐哈尔市房地产市场细分优化分析

进行准确的市场细分从而锁定目标市场是齐齐哈尔市房地产企业楼盘畅销的先决条件.作者运用层次细分模型结合系统聚类分析法,对齐齐哈尔房地产市场细分中的细分变量进行了分类和筛选,并针对市场特点得出了具有普遍适用性的细分变量,在进行聚类分析时使用了SPSS,使计算过程更快捷,结果更为清晰、明了.     

基于流程重组的中小型房地产企业文化重塑

房地产企业在对企业进行流程重组的同时,更要强调企业文化与流程的对接。中小型房地产企业应加强优化流程为平台的企业文化重塑,重塑后的企业文化将会有利于房地产企业的业务流程重组科学进行,促进房地产行业的健康发展。     

The 4% rule: Does real estate make a difference?

This paper examines the wealth maximisation and preservation effects of including commercial real estate in retirement-phase portfolio management. Prior research addresses the role of real estate during the wealth-accumulation phase of the investor lifecycle; however, little is known about the contribution of real estate during the invest-and-spend, or decumulation, phase. To address this issue, we estimate short-fall risk based on the widely known 4% Rule. We use pricing data for multiple asset classes and simulation techniques, combined with a robust correlation structure, to examine: short-fall risk sensitivity to alternative spending rules; the impact of public vs. private real estate allocations; wealth preservation as an investment objective; and the effect of real estate on upside, or wealth maximisation, potential. We find short-fall risk in a decumulation portfolio decreases with substantial allocations to real estate. This result holds for a portfolio including either public or private real estate. Additionally, and under most conditions, the best performing decumulation-phase portfolios include a real estate allocation with both public and private real estate exposure. These results have significant implications for investors, whether they be retirees, plan administrators or endowments, as well as financial economists studying the lifecycle of investment decisions.     

关于房地产证券化的若干思考

房地产证券化是中国金融业发展的需要 ,是房地产业进行社会融资的直接方式 ,是金融业与房地产业相结合的产物 ,实行房地产证券化将有利于拓宽国内房地产开发和经营的融资渠道。     

房地产与商业银行博弈分析的研究综述

房地产与商业银行两者的发展直接影响到我国整个国民经济的发展趋势。而房地产与商业银行又是共生共存的依赖体,商业银行是房地产资金来源的重要提供者,房地产是商业银行资金的主要投资领域。通过对我国房价、对策、宏观调控及风险管理的研究,探讨房地产与商业银行的关系;明确博弈分析是研究房地产与商业银行关系的重要方法等方面文献的回顾和整理,以期能够为进一步的研究提供一定的借鉴。     

矿业权价款“异化”及其陆止建议

矿业权价款“异化”的主要表现：“异化”为国家资源收益;“异化”为矿产资源有偿使用;“异化”为地方政府“以矿生财”,经营或变相经营矿权;“异化”为政府“一口价”,或市场公开叫“价”。价款“异化”的主要影响：地方政府截留和挤占全民所有的资源权益,并使其造成隐性损失;抑制着矿业权有效需求;成为出资勘查者能动性发挥的严重障碍,制约着矿产勘查开采发展;严重影响着地方政府形象。消除价款“异化”的建议：进一步加强对地方政府相关人员矿业法律法规及相关政策的宣传教育;推进矿产资源税费改革,完善矿产资源补偿费收取标准;规范地方政府矿业权出让行为,防止经营或变相经营矿业权。     

城市轨道交通对房地产价值影响研究综述

发展城市轨道交通的核心问题是筹集资金,而轨道交通的建设会促进沿线房地产的增值,如何将轨道交通的这种外部效益转化为内部效益是需要进行研究的课题。通过对国内外学者关于轨道交通引起房地产价值增加的研究成果,以及轨道交通与土地利用综合开发的实例论述,结合我国的发展实际与存在问题,提出了基于轨道交通的土地利用、增值与返还策略。     

Investment decision-making under economic policy uncertainty

It is widely established that economic policy uncertainty (EPU) affects investment decisions and performance, yet research in this area has overlooked the direct property investment market. This article seeks to rectify this and proposes a multistage multilevel analytical framework to offer new insights and a richness of findings. Using a news-based measure of EPU in the United Kingdom, and controlling for economic conditions, a national-level analysis reveals some evidence of Granger-Causality between EPU and total returns, indicating that pricing is responsive to uncertainty. These findings suggest that EPU is an important risk factor for direct property investments, with pricing implications. Differences in data and performance measure are important, however, with income returns unresponsive. A micro-level investigation begins to reveal some of the asset-pricing decisions underpinning the national results, indicating investors’ concerns for income streams are consistently high, regardless of varying EPU. Pricing can also cause changes in EPU, such as in the retail and industrial markets (increasingly linked through logistics) reflecting sector-specific stakeholder groups and newsworthy issues. This evidence highlights how important it is for policy-makers to understand the complex and bi-directional relationship, that indecision can undermine investment confidence and cause investment market volatility, in turn raising EPU.