河北省分税制财政体制改革研究

河北省分税制改革运行 6年来 ,取得了一定的成效 ,但由于政府职责划分不清 ,收入、支出和转移支付方面还存在不少问题。因此 ,应在明确政府职责划分原则基础上 ,合理界定收入、支出范围 ,完善转移支付制度 ,并建立相关的配套措施 ,以规范河北省的分税制管理体制。     

Stock Market Volatility in an Emerging Market: Further Evidence from the Athens Stock Exchange

We investigate the time series properties of the daily and weekly returns from the Athens Stock Exchange (ASE) index for the years 1987 to 1997. We investigate whether important time-series characteristics have changed significantly over time. The Greek market has recently undergone major changes including complete capital flow liberalization, the implementation of computerized trading, as well as significant increases in market volume and capitalization; we thus contrast the 1987–90 and 1991–97 periods. Our findings suggest the dynamics of the ASE composite index returns have changed as the market has developed.     

Do Inflation‐Linked Bonds Still Diversify?

The diversifying power of inflation-linked (IL) bonds relative to traditional asset classes has changed significantly. In this paper, we study the dynamics of conditional volatilities and correlations for three asset classes, IL bonds, nominal bonds and equities, in the USA and Europe. Using a DCC-MVGARCH for the period 1997–2007, we highlight the change that took place in 2003. Although IL bonds once had definite diversification power, they are now highly correlated with nominal bonds and have reached similar volatility levels. As a result, the two asset classes are practically substitutable. This seems to be due to more stable inflation expectations and to a more liquid IL bond market. Although diversification was a valuable reason for introducing IL bonds in a global portfolio before 2003, this is no longer the case. Dynamic portfolio optimisation using our estimates of conditional correlations and volatilities clearly demonstrates that the optimal weight of IL bonds in a portfolio decreased sharply in 2003 in favour of nominal bonds and equities.     

On the Predictability of the Stock Market Volatility: Does History Matter?

This study compares the performance of the ISD, the GARCH (1,1) , the historical volatility estimates and of two lagged trading volume measures for predicting the Swiss Stock Market Index's (SMI) volatility. The ISD has a superior daily informational content than the GARCH (1,1) estimate and retains unbiased but decreasing explanatory power over up to 20 days ahead horizons. Mean and spread daily volume measures play a significant correcting role when forecasting stock market volatility over daily and longer intervals respectively and clearly dominate the GARCH (1,1) forecasts. Their significance emphasises heterogeneous horizon traders' influence on the SMI volatility time series properties     

Performance Volatility and Wage Elasticity: An Examination of Listed Chinese A-share Enterprises

The management of future financial risk on the part of managers and changes in firm finances are two of the fundamental reasons for upward and downward rigidity of wages. The proxy variable for firm financial risk is volatility, the past performance of which is among the principal indicators of wage rigidity. In firms whose current performance is on the upswing, the greater the volatility in past performance, the smaller the elasticity ratio and the more acute the upward rigidity; the more stable past performance, the larger the elasticity ratio and the more acute the upward elasticity. In firms in which current performance is declining, greater past performance volatility leads to a larger elasticity ratio and more acute downward rigidity, whereas more stable such performance leads to a smaller elasticity ratio and more acute downward rigidity.     

促进节能、环保的财税政策机制研究

目前,我国经济发展面临着资源与环境的双重压力,节能减排是实现经济可持续发展的必然途径。而节能、减排具有明显的正外部性,是市场失灵的领域,因此需要政府采取一系列经济、法律以及必要的行政手段来对此进行干预和调控,而财税政策则是政府实行宏观经济调控的重要政策手段之一,对建立健全资源有偿使用制度和生态环境补偿机制有着重要影响。     

The Impact of Deregulation on Casino Win in Atlantic City

This paper examines the impact of deregulation on thedemand for casino gaming in Atlantic City. Specifically, the paper analyzes the impact ofexpanded operating hours and floor space devoted toslot machines. Using monthly win data between June1978 and July 1996, the analysis reveals that expandedfloor space had a significant, positive impact on win,resulting in an average monthly increase of over \$2million. This shows the importance of developing aregulatory structure rigid enough to ensure thehonesty and integrity of the gaming industry, butflexible enough to allow management to respond tochanging market conditions.     

Volatility‐Spillover Effects in European Bond Markets

Volatility spillover from the US and aggregate European bond markets into individual European bond markets using a GARCH volatility‐spillover model is analysed. Strong statistical evidence of volatility spillover from the US and aggregate European bond markets is found. For EMU countries, the US volatility‐spillover effects are rather weak (in economic terms) whereas the European volatility‐spillover effects are strong. The bond markets of EMU countries have become much more integrated after the introduction of the euro, and in recent years they have become close to being perfectly integrated. The main driver of the integration appears to be convergence in interest rates.     

全球不均衡货币、金融体系下的危机与对策

"布雷顿森林体系"崩溃后,形成的以美元为主的全球不均衡货币、金融体系,是国际流动性膨胀的根本原因,也是金融系统性风险的重要因素。基于这个背景,本文着重阐述在这个体系下,国际短期资本流动、汇率问题、资产价格波动对金融系统性风险的影响。     

价格、时间敏感性供应链收益混合分配契约模型研究

供应链企业通过何种契约方式进行协同合作，以达到整体目标的最优，是供应链管理的一个重要研究课题。在一个两阶供应链系统中，面对价格和响应时间敏感性市场需求，文章通过引入供应商的激励——响应时间函数和市场关于价格和响应时间的需求函数，构建了供应链的收益混合分配契约模型，最后文章给出了算例分析，验证了该模型的可行性。