举家外出的农民工融入城市问题研究 ——对在北京务工的500个农民工家庭的访谈数据分析

本文对目前在北京就业的农民工融入城市的现状和程度进行了实证分析，分析数据来源于2004年开始的、每2年进行一次的、在京就业的500个“80后”农民工市民化程度的跟踪调查和入户访谈。在对2010年11月-2011年3月调研数据进行描述性统计的基础上，笔者选择了因子分析方法，量化分析了农民工融入城市的程度，得出了制度上的限制、流动就业的类型和个人的资源禀赋条件是影响农民工融入城市的主要因素的结论。     

我国农村小额信贷未来发展路径探析

建设社会主义新农村需要大量的资金投入,特别是小额农贷对农民致富持续发展无疑又是举足轻重。本文首先分析了我国农村小额信贷存在的问题,进而指出了其未来的发展路径。得出邮政储蓄银行在农村小额信贷业务方面大有可为。最后分析了邮政储蓄银行农村小额信贷风险的防范措施。     

农民专业合作经济组织发展问题探析

发展农民专业合作经济组织是解决农民增收问题最有效的途径。本文在借鉴国内外农民合作经济组织发展情况的基础上,分析了目前影响我国农民专业合作经济组织存在的普遍问题,并有针对性地提出了建议和对策。     

Social Mobility in Nineteenth Century Rural Sweden – A Micro Level Analysis

Abstract

Pre-industrial rural societies have often been pictured as stationary and immobile both in geographical and social terms. In the last decades this image has begun to change, especially as regards geographical mobility, while our knowledge of social mobility of rural pre-industrial Europe is still rudimentary. This study focuses on social attainment and mobility in a rural community of nineteenth-century southern Sweden, making use of high quality micro-level demographic and socioeconomic data. We show that intergenerational social mobility was quite frequent. Downward mobility was more prevalent than upward, and also increased over time. Social attainment and mobility were determined by a combination of inherited factors and individual agency. Social origin was of major importance, and so was the social origin of the spouse, which points to the crucial role played by partner selection in determining individual social outcome. Availability of networks as measured by place of birth also played a role in social achievement.     

我国当前通货膨胀的成因及应对策略

在回顾了改革开放以来几次通胀的基础上,重点分析了本轮通胀的成因。从深化金融体制改革、转换政府职能、推进收入分配制度改革、转变经济发展方式、加强统计的科学性等几个侧面,探讨了治理通胀的对策建议。     

城乡居民收入分配及城镇化对总消费的影响研究

城乡收入分配对总消费的影响，受制于城镇化水平的高低。建立考虑人口因素的城乡收入分配影响总消费模型，分析我国农村居民收入占总收入比重以及城镇化率与总消费的关系，结果表明：我国农村居民收入比重的扩大和城镇化率的提高都有助于扩大我国居民总消费，但城镇化率超过一定水平时不利于城乡收入分配调节。因此，基于我国城乡收入差距大且农村收入比重下降的情况，我国扩大内需的战略选择应是：先调整收入分配结构，增加农村居民收入比重，提高农村居民工资性收入，从而提高总体消费水平；再在此基础上提高城镇化率，进一步增加总消费。     

The Struggle for Alternatives: NGOs' Responses to the World Development Report 2008

This paper analyzes the response by NGOs to the 2008 World Development Report (WDR08). It does so at two levels of analysis, which in turn reflect two possible ways of reading the WDR08. The first is to read the WDR08 as a document for policy guidance on 'agriculture for development'. In this respect the paper shows how NGOs expose and challenge the WDR08's optimism for the benign impact of unregulated agribusiness investment on poverty reduction, and put forward a convincing alternative. The second, and politically more fertile, way of reading the WDR08 is to make sense of its numerous internal contradictions. These contradictions are functional to the World Bank's hegemonic effort of establishing a common, and broader, agenda for rural development. Having highlighted the WDR08's incoherent messages on (i) rural labour markets and their role in poverty reduction and (ii) what constitutes the most promising driver of poverty reduction in agriculture (returns from wage labour vs from own account farming), the paper documents NGOs' failure to detect and politically exploit these contradictions.     

The employment environment for youth in rural South Africa: A mixed-methods study

South Africa has high youth unemployment. This article examines the predictors of youth employment in rural Agincourt, Mpumalanga Province. A survey of 187 out-of-school 18 to 24 year olds found that only 12% of women and 38% of men were currently employed. Men with skills/training were significantly more likely to report employment, mostly physical labour (adjusted odds ratio: 4.5; confidence interval: 1.3, 15.3). In-depth interviews with 14 of the youth revealed that women are perceived more suitable for formal employment, which is scarce, informing why women were more likely to pursue further education and yet less likely to be employed. Ten key informants from local organisations highlighted numerous local youth employment resources while, in contrast, all youth in the sample said no resources were available, highlighting a need for the organisations to extend their services into rural areas. Because these services are focused on entrepreneurship, programmes to increase financial literacy and formal employment opportunities are also needed.     

金融信用法律规制的理论探讨

金融信用交易随着金融业的勃兴而迅速发展,金融信用的发展要求有健全的法律制度,这已成为金融业持续发展的共识。作为规制金融信用的法律制度,其基本价值取向是保障金融信用行为的秩序与安全,这是制度的逻辑起点也是制度建构的基本目标。要实现这个价值目标,就要建立以金融产权法律制度和信用风险控制法律制度为核心的金融信用法律体系,同时还要从司法实践出发以整体主义的思维来推进金融信用的法治化。     

对社会主义新农村建设的思考

我国是一个农业大国,13亿人口中有8亿生活在农村,研究和思考中国的一切重大问题,都必须从这一实际情况出发,否则就不能真正解决中国的问题。改革开放以来,我国的经济获得了前所未有的发展动力,沿海各大城市为农民提供了就业的机会,农民的收入迅速得到提高,通过几年或者十几年的打工赚钱,打工农民都有能力回家建房,部分农民有了回家办小型或者中型企业经济实力。文章从社会主义新农村建设内涵,农民打工情况调查,农村发展的现状出发,来思考社会主义新农村建设。