H1N1 – the social costs of élite confusion

In May 2011, the World Health Assembly will receive the report of its International Health Regulations Review Committee examining responses to the outbreak of the 2009 H1N1 pandemic influenza and identifying lessons to be learnt. This will emphasise the need for better risk communication in future. But risk and communication are not objective facts; they are socially mediated cultural products. Responses to crises are not only simply determined by the situation at hand, but also through mental models developed over protracted periods. Accordingly, those responsible for advocating the precautionary approach and encouraging the securitisation of health, that both helped encourage a catastrophist outlook in this instance, are unlikely to be held to account. These élite confusions have come at an enormous cost to society.     

关于高校贷款证券化的前瞻性思考

高等教育对我国经济社会的可持续发展具有积极的推动作用.发展我国的高等教育事业需要资本市场的强力支持,而启动高校贷款证券化则可以拓宽我国高等教育融资的渠道并促进债券市场的发展.我国高校贷款证券化在起步阶段应以资产抵押证券这种结构形式为主,在发展阶段则以转付证券这种结构形式为主.目前我国实施高校贷款证券化还存在诸多的约束,政府需要采取一系列的配套措施来消除高校贷款证券化的制度和市场障碍以促进我国银校合作的进一步发展.     

Debt,Equity and Hybrid Decoupling: Governance and Systemic Risk Implications

We extend here our prior work, which focused on equity decoupling ( Hu and Black, 2006, 2007, 2008 ), by providing a systematic treatment of debt decoupling and an initial exploration of hybrid decoupling. Equity decoupling involves unbundling of economic, voting, and sometimes other rights customarily associated with shares, often in ways that may permit avoidance of disclosure and other obligations. We discuss a new U.S. court decision which will likely curtail the use of equity decoupling strategies to avoid large shareholder disclosure rules. Debt decoupling involving the unbundling of the economic rights, contractual control rights, and legal and other rights normally associated with debt, through credit derivatives and securitisation. Corporations can have empty and hidden creditors, just as they can have empty and hidden shareholders. ‘Hybrid decoupling’ across standard equity and debt categories is also possible. All forms of decoupling appear to be increasingly common. Debt decoupling can pose risks at the firm level for what can be termed ‘debt governance’? the overall relationship between creditor and debtor, including creditors' exercise of contractual and legal rights with respect to firms and other borrowers. Widespread debt decoupling can also involve externalities and therefore create systemic financial risks; we explore those risks.     

资产证券化:振兴东北老工业基地融资的新途径

资产证券化是近三十年来世界金融领域最重大、发展最迅速的金融创新手段.针对东北老工业基地投融资的现状,资产证券化对于改善银行资本结构,盘活银行不良资产和缓解企业过度负债的压力,促进国有企业改革,振兴东北老工业基地都有重大的理论和现实意义.     

国有商业银行不良资产证券化可行性分析

四大国有商业银行的巨额不良资产,不仅关系到自身的生存与发展,还关系到我国金融体系的稳定,必须尽早化解。本文论述信贷资产证券化作为一种转移信用风险、提高资产流动性、安全性和效益性的金融创新工具,能有效地化解不良资产,促进金融市场的发展,从而有助于防范金融危机。我国应借鉴国际经验并结合本国国情,将信贷资产证券化运用到国有商业银行不良资产的实际化解工作中。     

借助资本市场发展我国商业银行的策略探讨

商业银行与资本市场之间存在一种既竞争又融合的关系.本文首先分析了当前我国资本市场的发展现状,在此基础上重点讨论了资本市场的发展对商业银行构成的挑战和机遇:资本市场的发展分流了商业银行信贷客户和存款资金,使商业银行面临更大的经营风险和竞争压力;同时,资本市场的发展有利于商业银行负债业务、资产业务和表外业务的拓展、资产质量的改善和资产结构优化.作者最后提出了借助资本市场发展商业银行的具体策略,包括负债业务证券化、积极争取同业存款、创新信贷业务品种、大力拓展表外业务、信贷资产证券化、银行资本证券化、完善信息技术系统建议、加快人才培养和创新市场营销等.     

后金融危机时代的商业银行不良资产证券化研究

美国金融危机触痛了我国资产证券化的神经,但商业银行不良资产的处置,仍需要凭借证券化这一衍生工具。本文分析了我国商业银行的不良资产现况,论述了资产证券化与次贷危机的关系,提出了证券化化解我国商业银行不良资产的政策建议。     

解决林业投资问题的新思路——商品林资产证券化

资产证券化是近30年来世界金融领域最重要的金融创新之一。从资产证券化在中国的应用角度,结合林业融资的现状和林业自身的特点,提出了林业资产证券化的可行性和模式,为商品林的投融资渠道提供了一个新思路,对于解决我国林业资金投入不足问题具有较强的现实意义。     

信贷资产证券化中的资产选择博弈分析

资产证券化是近20年来,最重要的金融创新之一,信贷资产证券化中的资产选择存在着投资风险。将博弈论分析方法应用于信贷资产的选择上,建立信贷资产选择的混合策略纳什均衡模型,在给定的信息结构下,当不同决策主体进行决策时,为实现风险-效益最大化提供科学的方法。