From T-Bills to Stocks: Seasonal Anomalies Revisited

This paper employed eleven data series which consist of stocks, bonds, bills, equity premiums, term premiums, and various default premiums to investigate whether January seasonality reported in existing literature is robust across different states of the economy as this has important trading implications. For the periods 1926–1990, small stocks, small stock premiums, low grade bonds, and default premiums (spread between high grade, low grade and government bonds) reveal January seasonality and that the seasonality is robust across different states of the economy except for low grade bond returns and default premiums. January seasonality for low grade bond returns and low grade bond default premiums are primarily driven by results found during periods of economic expansion. Overall, January seasonality is more evident during the economic expansion periods although the magnitude of default premiums is larger during periods of economic contraction. Furthermore, prior findings of strong summer equity returns are primarily driven by the results found during the periods of economic contraction. It is also found that equity returns are generally higher during periods of economic expansion.     

Are Securitizations in Substance Sales or Secured Borrowings? Capital‐Market Evidence*

Two standard‐setting approaches have emerged globally to guide the choice of accounting for securitizations: the control and components approach (SFAS No. 125 and SFAS No. 140) and the risks and rewards transfer approach (IAS No. 39). A lack of consensus about derecognition accounting is a major impediment to achieving convergence in global standards that must be resolved. Thus, both SFAS No. 140 and IAS No. 39 will be reexamined, and evidence pertinent to the debate is timely and important. In this study, we present evidence consistent with the view of credit‐rating analysts, who view many securitizations as, in substance, secured borrowings. Specifically, for a sample of originators applying sale accounting guidance in SFAS No. 125 / 140 during the period 1997‐2003, we show that off‐balance‐sheet debt related to securitizations has, on average, the same risk‐relevance for explaining market measures of risk (that is, CAPM beta) as on‐balance‐sheet debt. We also find that, in a returns and earnings association framework, the pricing multiple on securitization gains declines as the amount of off‐balance‐sheet debt increases, implying that investors take off‐balance‐sheet debt into account when assessing the valuation‐relevance of such gains. For those who advocate the control and components approach to securitization accounting, our results suggest that, at least for frequent securitizers, the put option arising from implicit recourse is a “missing piece” that is not currently accounted for when calculating securitization gains. Our results challenge the extant measurement standards in SFAS No. 140.     

Futures and forward price differential and the effect of marking‐to‐market: Australian evidence

The objective of this paper is to examine the effects of marking‐to‐market of futures contracts on the price differential between futures and forward contracts based on the predictions of the Cox, Ingersoll and Ross (1981) (CIR) model. Cox et al ., (1981) derive a series of propositions with respect to the relationship between futures and forward prices and a set of testable implications. These are tested empirically in this paper using Australian data from November 1991 to June 1997. The results provide evidence of the presence of significant futures and forward price differences, where the futures price is consistently below the forward price. Only partial support is found for the Cox et al ., (1981) propositions, implying that the effect of marking‐to‐market is not able to fully account for the price differential. Therefore, it is not possible to rule out the influence of other institutional factors on the futures‐forward price difference.     

Use of Statistics in the Monetary Policy of the Czech National Bank: The Case of a Country in Transition

In the presented text the authors judge the importance of statistics in the monetary policy of the Czech National Bank (CNB) over the course of the economic transformation process, with particular consideration of changing statistical needs and the possibilities and limits of statistical data exploitation in the monetary analyses. The importance of statistics lies on the level of collection and processing of statistical information and on the level of use of statistical methods to analyse data. Since the start of the 1990s the requirements for statistics were significantly influenced by monetary policy. In the period 1990–1997, monetary targeting was the primary influential factor. Since 1998, the monetary policy is influenced by inflation targeting. Statistical priorities switched from monetary data to economy and financial market data. Much progress has been made in the use of statistical methods for analysing data. Statistics available at present cover the CNB's standard monetary-policy requirements and are on par with those in developed countries. Its further development will reflect the standard changes taking place in the more advanced countries.     

存货计价会计舞弊行为的审计

作为费用成本核算链上的重要一环——存货，是企业流动资产中占用比例最大、流动性最弱的项目。其种类繁多，收发频繁，经历采购、入库、保管、领发、使用等一些列生产经营过程，在企业滞留时间长，核算使用的账户多，内部流转和结算关系复杂，利用存货虚增资产、虚减税金、虚计损益的舞弊极易形成，而存货核算舞弊的手段之一便是利用存货计价的可选择性进行账户调节。因此，通过专门的审计方法与技巧来查找存货计价的舞弊原因与手段，对遏制会计信息失真有着重要意义。     

优化我国产融生态链的若干思考

现代经济已日趋复杂，经济风险也日益增大。寻找产融生态链新形式的必要性已经 不仅仅是为了筹集资金，更增加了一层防范风险的需要。为此，政府必须努力改善产融生态链，重塑金融机构和企业的关系。在借鉴发达国家产融生态链的经验基础上，提出了优化我国产融生态链几点建议。     

略论行政不作为违法的国家赔偿问题

实践中，行政不作为违法给公民、法人及其他组织的合法权益造成的损害程度不亚于行政作为违法，我国的《国家赔偿法》在此方面的规定存在不足。本文将从该法有关行政不作为违法的立法缺失入手，肯定国家对此应当承担赔偿责任，浅析此举的意义，最后分析了如何将《国家赔偿法》中行政不作为违法纳入国家赔偿机制。     

中小企业财务管理创新之我见

面对经济全球化和中国加入世贸的新形势 ,中小企业财务管理创新滞后 ,已经严重影响了中小企业的快速、健康发展。本文阐述了中小企业财务管理方面存在的问题 ,剖析了这些问题产生的原因并在此基础上有针对性地提出了解决相应问题的对策。     

事业单位财务内部控制刍议

本文针对事业单位财务管理现状与问题 ,提出加强财务内部控制的四条改革措施。     

资金时间价值解读--关于资金时间价值计算的归纳分析

资金时间价值是现代财务管理的重要价值观念,因此,个人和公司的大部分财务决策都要考虑资金的时间价值。对于资金时间价值的计算,在财务管理教科书中虽然已作了讲解,但作进一步归纳分析仍有必要。本文正是在上述基础上,结合对财务管理的学习,尽可能地利用标有相关现金流量的时间轴对资金时间价值的计算予以归纳分析,描述虽不够完整,但希望对财务管理初学者有一点帮助。