西部地区高校技术创新评价指标体系设计方法研究

西部地区是我国少数民族的主要聚居区,高等学校在西部地区技术创新活动中起着举足轻重的作用。论文首先阐明设计西部地区高校技术创新评价指标体系的现实意义以及当前我国技术创新评价指标体系研究存在的主要问题;接着着重分析设计西部地区高校技术创新评价指标体系的基本原则,并在此基础上提出设计西部地区高校技术创新评价指标体系的基本框架。     

幸福指数测量方法研究

本文从幸福的根本内涵谈起,叙述了不同学科对幸福的度量方法并对它们进行了比较、辨析,然后详细介绍了经济学对幸福的测量过程,力求把幸福指数测量的思想脉络梳理清晰,希望能对幸福指数的研究有所帮助。     

Improving the estimation of total factor productivity growth: capital operating time in a latent variable approach

Measuring labor and capital services accurately is essential to obtaining reliable estimates of production functions and total factor productivity (TFP) growth. Using data on the operating time of capital, a series that exists for the French business sector, greatly improves the measurement of effective capital services in production. The ensuing estimation results are consistent with Cobb–Douglas technology under constant returns to scale, with the factor elasticities not statistically different from their income shares. In the same framework, TFP growth is estimated as a latent variable and found to be less volatile than accounting residuals, negatively correlated with employment, and free of cyclicality. It is statistically best estimated as a first-order autoregressive process, with an autoregressive coefficient of 0.95. Total factor productivity growth was estimated to have declined steadily between the mid-1970s and mid-1990s, but the rate of decline has diminished since then.     

The generation of stock market cycles

This paper demonstrates that the relation between stock market and business cycle dynamics can be conceptualized using a dividend discount model. The interaction of changes in earnings and interest rates throughout the economic cycle are shown to cause changes in the level of stock prices. This implies that monitoring and forecasting these factors can help explain and possibly predict stock price behavior over time.     

期货最优套期保值比率研究评述

套期保值、价格发现、资产配置是期货市场的三大基本职能。而在这三种职能中，最为重要的是套期保值，它是期货市场得以生存和发展的关键动因。在国内外套期保值研究中，最优套期保值比率的估计是套期保值研究最为核心的问题。而运用期货套期保值理论进行实践更是随着套期保值比率估计模型的不断优化、完善而向前发展的，本文通过对国内外套期保值研究相关文献进行分类，整理，综述，梳理出最优套期保值比率估计的研究思路和相关实证技术路线，概括出国内外最优套保比率的研究框架，以此来向国内相关研究学者指出未来的进一步研究方向，同时对国内期货交易主体进行套期保值操作提供了估计模型的选择建议。     

Recent research in tourist behaviour

The study of tourist behaviour has become an active and significant contributor in the overall analysis of tourism. This paper considers recent research work at James Cook University, an institution whose researchers have had a long interest in tourist behaviour topics. A review of a number of recent research projects in tourist behaviour by the Australian research team is provided and the value of four integrating concepts linking this research is specified. The four concepts highlighted are the travel career ladder which is an approach to tourist motivation, cognitive steps and mindfulness, which are conceptual organisers of how people think and process information and social situations which provides an integrative view of key factors to consider when describing social behaviour. The paper concludes by highlighting some recent commentary on tourist behaviour trends by prominent tourism analysts noting that the specific stream of tourist behaviour studies reported in this article do not fully support the general trends noted by the commentators. The potential value of tourist behaviour studies as a benchmark for understanding tourism futures is noted     

DOES MONOPOLISTIC COMPETITION EXIST IN THE MENA REGION? EVIDENCE FROM THE BANKING SECTOR

The goal of this paper is to empirically assess the level of banking competition in selected Middle East and Northern African (MENA) countries. The analysis employs the estimation of a non‐structural indicator (H‐statistic) introduced by Panzar and Rosse and draws upon a panel dataset of eight MENA countries (Algeria, Egypt, Israel, Jordan, Morocco, Oman, Saudi Arabia, and United Arab Emirates) over the period 1997–2012. The empirical findings are robust towards three different panel data econometric techniques (Ordinary Least Squares, Pooled Generalized Least Squares with Fixed Effects, and Generalized Method of Moments) and consistent with other similar studies, providing sufficient evidence in favour of a banking monopolistic competition regime. Furthermore, the estimation of three other alternative measures of competition (Lerner index, adjusted Lerner index, and conduct parameter) provides similar results, revealing that the banking sector in the MENA region is characterized by a low level of Significant Market Power (SMP). Overall, the analysis shows that, despite similarities in the process of financial regulatory reforms undertaken in the eight MENA countries, the observed competition levels of banks vary substantially, with Algeria and Morocco consistently outperforming the rest of the region.     

Big Data and Dietary Trend: The Case of Avocado Imports in China

ABSTRACT

The advancement of data science and technology presents a unique opportunity to understand rapidly evolving dietary trend around the world. In this case study, we show that the Baidu index, a measurement of the intensity of user searches for specific words, helps explain and forecast the growth of avocado imports in China. Specifically, we find that China’s avocado imports rise by 8% in response to a 10% increase in the Baidu index. Furthermore, the inclusion of the Baidu index in a standard demand model reduces the prediction error by 2.7%.     

现行政策下商业地产的发展趋势

一、现行宏观政策对商业地产的影响 从2004年起，鉴于政策导向，商业地产开发变得炙热起来。由于商业地产的利润比住宅开发要平均高出5％N10％，吸引了越来越多的投资者转向商业地产的开发。2005年1月1日开始，跨国零售商已开始在中国的全方位扩张。外资的到来推动国内商业市场发展，为商业地产带来巨大商机。2006年至2008...     

上市公司同业竞争法律问题探讨

股份公司在上市的过程中,由于公司控股股东投资多元化,经常会遇到控股股东同时投资于相同或相近行业而产生同业竞争问题。同业竞争问题处理得当与否关系到股份公司能否顺利上市以及上市后的正常经营活动,是值得深入研究的课题。本文从法理上对同业竞争问题的法律性质进行定性分析,并结合目前我国上市公司对此问题的具体解决方案进行实证研究,最后得出在我国现有的法律框架内同业竞争问题解决的最佳方案,以期能为拟上市公司的实践提供理论支持。