FDI对我国地区金融增长的非线性影响及其区域间差异

利用2001-2010年省级面板数据,分别考察外商直接投资对中国各区域金融增长的影响。研究结果发现：FDI对中国金融增长的影响是非线性的,且存在区域差异效应。根据中国区域经济和金融发展存在明显梯度差异的特性,提出了FDI对区域金融增长的倒“U”型假说。建议各地区根据本地区金融和经济发展程度差异的实际情况采取不同引资政策。     

Anthropology and tourism: A science-industry evaluation

The anthropological contribution to touristic study derives from this discipline's holistic perception of human culture and its comparative methodology. Renewed use of the “national character” approach, applying traditional field methods to industrial societies, would serve to identify elements stimulating tourism in the donor area and the needs within the recipient region. A tourist region is defined as a marketable destination with the surrounding support zones to supply requisite visitor services. The relationship between tourism and regional development needs to be assessed in terms of the economy theory of multiplier effect, as money, goods, services and people flow between the regional core and its support zones. Models illustrate internal development as well as donor-recipient relations. Science and industry share common goals in development and management of tourism, noted by efforts to educate the decision-makers as well as the tourist.     

中国企业集团多样化经营战略研究——西方近期研究成果之借鉴

Lang和Stulz (1994 ) ,Berger和Ofek (1995 )以多样化企业集团的市场价值与集团各部门所在行业中所有单一企业组合的价值之和相比较,发现企业进行多样化经营后会降低其价值。由此,引发了西方理论界对多样化经营同企业价值间关系的大讨论。目前,中国的企业集团正蓬勃发展,随着企业集团的不断强大,企业过剩的资本会流向不同的产业部门,形成多样化集团。中国作为新兴的市场,与西方的成熟市场不一样。所以在借鉴西方理论以及研究成果为我所用的同时,更要结合中国的实际情况,提出切合实际的中国企业集团多样化经营战略。     

中国养老保险制度对城镇居民消费的影响--基于OLG模型和2012年中国省际横截面数据的实证分析

通过建立世代交叠模型探讨我国现行基本养老保险制度对城镇居民消费的影响,指出在现行的现收现付制和完全基金制混合模式下,养老保险对居民消费的影响是有两种不同的效应：人口年龄结构的变化和资金成本的变化。尤其是人口老龄化会改变制度约束从而抑制消费。根据2012年中国省际横截面数据实证分析说明,城镇离退休人员养老金支出对城镇居民消费具有负面影响,说明人口老龄化可能已经开始削弱养老保险制度的社会保障功能。     

“五水共治”的体制、机制、制度创新

"水危机"的本质是制度危机。针对"多龙治水"弊端要加强部门整合和统筹,针对"条块分割"弊端要加强"条"的功能和"块"的责任,针对"单打一"决策弊端要加强科学的综合决策,针对"运动员"与"裁判员"合一弊端要建立第三方检测体制。水资源配置和水环境保护往往面临政府失灵、市场失灵和社会失灵,因此,必须加强政府机制创新、市场机制创新和社会机制创新,同时加强三大机制的相互制衡机制的构建。"五水共治"需要制度体系的保障。制度体系包括管制性制度、经济性制度和社会性制度。不同制度之间可能存在替代性关系,也可能存在互补性关系。替代性制度要进行优化选择,互补性制度要进行组合强化。"五水共治"的制度创新不仅要加强制度体系的建设,而且要重视实施机制的建设。只有实施机制建设并落实到位,才能发挥制度绩效。因此,必须加强水污染举报机制、水环境监测机制、水生态评价机制、治水绩效考核机制、治水工作奖惩机制等实施机制的建设,并将这些机制逐一付诸实施。     

旅游“零团费”、“负团费”现象的形成机制及对策研究

旅游“零团费”、“负团费”现象是旅游经济发展过程中的特殊产物。本文对旅游“零团费”、“负团费”的概念及其发展现状进行了分析;从经济学的角度,研究探讨了旅游“零团费”、“负团费”的成因,揭示了其经营实质;分析了旅游“零团费”、“负团费”对旅游业的负面影响;从服务标准化、明码标价、合同管理等方面,探讨了促进旅游业健康发展的主要途径。     

城镇“4050”人员的生活困境及其对策

我国社会在体制转型过程中,由于制度安排的脱节,使城镇“4050”人员承受了制度变迁的主要代价,其生活陷于困窘状态。在构建社会主义和谐社会的今天,关注“4050”人员的生存状况,解决他们的实际困难,是实践执政为民理念的必然选择。     

中国社交网络商业模式发展及影响因素分析

在将社交网络划分为以博客为代表的社交网络萌芽阶段,以人人网为代表的社交网络娱乐化阶段,以微博、微信为代表的微信息社交网络阶段,以及代表未来主流发展方向的垂直社交网络应用阶段的基础上,本文以“六要素商业模式”模型为研究视角,并将平台战略中的付费方、被补贴方、同边网络效应、跨边网络效应、转换成本、平台覆盖等概念引入到分析框架中,针对博客、人人网、新浪微博、微信进行定位、业务系统、关键资源和能力、盈利模式、现金流结构、企业价值六个要素的对比,揭示中国社交网络在不同发展阶段商业模式的发展变化,并对可能的影响因素进行分析,对未来发展进行展望。     

Economic Consequences of Armaments Production: Institutional Perspectives of J.K. Galbraith and T.B. Veblen

J.K. Galbraith’s short book, How to Control the Military, boldly championed political and institutional reforms to curb “the military power.” Galbraith stood out among economists for his advocacy of arms reduction negotiations with the Soviet Union. He rejected the hypothesis that the Soviet Union nurtured an aggressive expansionary military policy. At the same time, he maintained that the tenor of national policy and the shaping of national priorities emanated from the Pentagon. Galbraith’s assertion that the military was the dominant force within the “military-industrial complex” was never empirically demonstrated. Nor did he adequately address the crucial role that military outlays played in advancing major technological innovations which underwrote the accumulation process. Veblen offered a more comprehensive analysis of the role of military expenditures, correctly showing that forms of “waste” are highly functional to the institutional and ideological structure of the U.S. economy. Military Keynesianism constituted the evolution of his conceptualization.     

Jan Tinbergen: A Quatitative Economist ∗

This paper sees a systematic unity between Smith's theological view and scientific study of society. Smith's theological outlook as to a benevolent deity is grasped as a metaphysical doctrine in his system of social science. It arises from the fact that while Smith's opinion concerning God's attributes is established, in the first instance, on the basis of his empirical study of nature, it also stands irrespective of other facts which are not in line with the patterns of order and design. Smith's metaphysical proposition as such is methodologically suggestive in that it proposes theoretical possibilities for progress and harmony and rules out the features of conflict at the analytic level. This implies a difficulty in subscribing to a conventional interpretation that introduces the “two Smiths's” view (the duality of his method and vision).