论技术性贸易壁垒对我国经济的双重影响

改革开放以来,我国对外贸易取得了巨大的成就,到2005年底对外贸易总额猛升到14221.2亿美元,对我国经济的发展起到了重要的作用。然而国外的技术性贸易壁垒却越来越多,成为制约我国产品出口的一个重要因素。技术性贸易壁垒除了影响我国产品的出口之外,其实它对我国经济的发展也有着一定的促进作用,这是我们不能忽视的。     

深港两地服务贸易比较分析

香港经济体系以外向型及服务业为主,香港目前不仅是全球重要的货物贸易中心,更是重要的服务贸易中心。为借鉴香港服务贸易发展经验,文章从深港两地服务贸易的发展规模与速度、管理体制、主要服务贸易领域和统计指标体系4个方面进行比较分析,进而为深圳市服务贸易发展提供有益借鉴。     

ACFTA货贸物易协议之保障措施条款研究

《中国-东盟全面经济合作框架协议货物贸易协议》是建立中国-东盟自由贸易区（ACFTA）的基础性法律文件。其第九条规定了保障措施。与WTO保障措施规则略有不同，ACFTA的保障措施条款在其启动条件、期限、实施形式、磋商机制和争端解决等方面均有一些特殊的规定，在解决与此相关的贸易争端时必须加以高度重视。     

The Gravity Equation in International Trade in Services

The main purpose of this paper is to assess the impact of various factors on bilateral services trade, relative to that on bilateral goods trade. To accomplish this purpose, using the standard gravity model, we ran regressions on bilateral services trade and goods trade between 10 OECD member countries and other economies (including OECD member and nonmember countries) for the years 1999 and 2000. One main and interesting result is that services trade is better predicted by gravity equations than goods trade. Another interesting result is that there is a complementary relationship between goods exports and services imports. JEL no. F10, F20, L51, F80     

Increasing returns, multinationals and geography of preferential trade agreements

This paper uses a model of horizontal multinational enterprises to explore the relationship between transportation costs and trade policy cooperation. Tariffs have the effect of attracting foreign direct investment to the benefit of consumers in the host country. As transport costs fall, the incentive to impose tariffs falls and the benefits to cooperation rise. Thus, in a repeated game in which cooperation is limited by a self-enforcement constraint, a reduction in transport costs facilitates free trade. This logic is applied to a three-country model to examine preferential trade agreements. It is found that if any country is too distant from the others, then global free trade is not attainable. Rather, if two of the countries are within a critical distance of each other and distant from the third country, then the unique outcome is an exclusive free trade agreement between the two adjacent countries. Thus, the model predicts a strong regional bias in preferential trade agreements.     

江苏加工贸易产业升级效应研究

本文对江苏省的加工贸易的产业分布和产品性质进行了动态考察和调研分析,指出江苏的加工贸易目前已进入由劳动密集型向技术密集型产业升级换代的阶段,其在国际分工中的地位已得到显著提升。通过对影响加工贸易升级换代诸因素和产业升级效应的分析,本文对江苏省加工贸易发展提出了相应的政策建议。     

Cooperative and Non-Cooperative R&D Policy in an Economic Union

What are the consequences of decentralized R&;D policies within an economic union? Do non-cooperative policies generate too high R&;D subsidies? To address such questions, we construct a simple model where firms invest in quality-improving R&;D. With goods produced in different countries within an economic union, we compare non-cooperative and cooperative R&;D policies. We show that non-cooperative policies imply too small R&;D subsidies for horizontally differentiated goods and too high subsidies for close substitutes. Furthermore, small countries have less incentive to subsidize R&;D than large countries, resulting in an unwarranted vertical product differentiation between goods produced in different countries.     

上合组织自贸区经济效应的前瞻性研究--基于GTAP模型的模拟

文章在分析中国同上海合作组织成员国贸易现状的基础上,运用GTAP模型实证研究了建立上合组织自贸区可能带来的经济影响。研究发现建立自贸区虽然在短期内可能存在一定的困难和冲突,但是符合各成员国的长远利益。具体结论如下:从短期来看,大部分成员国贸易放大效应较为明显;各成员国会扩大对比较优势产品的出口,增加对比较劣势产品的进口;各成员国贸易条件和福利水平变化不一,一些小国和落后国家贸易条件恶化,福利水平下降。从长期来看,自贸区的建立能有效拉动各成员国经济增长;随着区域内分工纵深发展,各国产业结构均出现调整。总体来说,完全自由贸易情形下的经济效应要大于设置关税减让例外情形。     

战略贸易政策的批评性回顾及其在中国的适用条件判断

本文从战略贸易政策的理论经典模型入手,对西方战略贸易政策理论的内涵、形成和最新理论观点进行了批评性回顾,并分析了战略贸易政策的适用条件及其在中国的可能应用,最后提出中国使用这一政策的具体建议.     

The Spanish Tomato Export Sector of the Almeria Region: An Econometric Approach

This article analyzes the current situation of the tomato export sector of Almeria, the principal exporting province of Spain. First, a critical view is presented relating to the internal organization of this sector; the most important problem observed is the marketing system which is atomized, heterogeneous and significantly difficult for raising funds from the individual partners in order to begin innovative projects. Second, to establish whether this area is losing market share, the sector is compared to the other principal tomato suppliers of the European Union (the Netherlands, Morocco, and other areas of Spain). The analysis shows Almeria has defended its market share in the most recent years. Finally, the most influential variables in the commercial process are analyzed by a tomato export model that shows there are substitution effects of the Almerian tomato for products from others origins, mostly the Netherlands.