长三角地区产业结构高级化及影响因素

本文根据三次产业结构比重,构造了长三角江浙沪三地的产业结构层次系数,对三地产业结构高级化变动进行了分析,发现产业结构高级化存在区域差异和趋势趋同特征,继而使用1990—2008年面板数据对影响产业结构高级化的影响因素进行了实证检验。结果发现:科技创新和政府规模对于产业结构高级化有正向作用,进出口贸易对于产业结构升级产生负向作用,FDI和社会投资作用则不太明显。其政策含义在于,在长三角产业结构升级化进程中,更应该注重科技创新和技术进步来推动产业结构高级化发展,从而实现产业结构调整和经济发展转型。     

沂蒙山区的蜜源植物

沂蒙山区主要蜜源植物有 1 3科 ,1 8种 ;辅助蜜源植物有 63科 ,1 46种 ;有毒蜜源植物 2科 ,2种。介绍了其分布、保护和开发利用状况     

田园·生态·城乡绿化融合发展——以许昌城乡统筹发展推进区生态绿地系统规划为例

在城乡一体化发展的新阶段,按照统筹城乡发展和社会主义新农村建设的战略部署,许昌市城乡统筹发展推进区生态绿地系统规划坚持区域整体发展、可持续发展、田园城市等的规划理念,按照<许昌市城乡统筹发展推进区总体规划>所确定的组团式空间布局和紧凑型节点走廊发展模式,以双向思维的方式,充分利用本土景观空间形态,以农田、河流、花木基地等生态因子为组成要素,对各类资源加以保护、开发,构成城乡空间的绿心、绿带、绿道,形成绿色生态网络,与许昌市中心城区、长葛市区一起,形成连续的连接城乡、形态丰富、功能互补、有机融合的城乡生态绿地系统.在区域层次上进行大地园林化探索,为城市化发展新时期的城乡绿色空间规划建设进行有益的尝试.     

面向CRM的数据挖掘应用

近几年来，信息在企业发展中的关键地位得到了越来越多的关注，赢家往往是那些能成功收集、分析、理解信息并根据信息决策的企业，而新型电子商务的关键是它与消费者之间的关系。本文研究了数据挖掘技术在客户关系管理（CRM）中的运用，讨论了企业如何理清和客户之间的关系。     

Assessing the historical role of credit: Business cycles,financial crises and the legacy of Charles S. Peirce

This paper provides a historical overview of financial crises and their origins. The objective is to discuss a few of the modern statistical methods that can be used to evaluate predictors of these rare events. The problem involves the prediction of binary events, and therefore fits modern statistical learning, signal processing theory, and classification methods. The discussion also emphasizes the need for statistics and computational techniques to be supplemented with economics. The success of a forecast in this environment hinges on the economic consequences of the actions taken as a result of the forecast, rather than on typical statistical metrics of prediction accuracy.     

Gold dinar for the Islamic countries?

The Malaysian state of Kelantan has made a historical launch of Gold Dinar and Silver Dirham on 12th August 2010. For the first time in almost 100 years since the fall of the Ottoman Caliphate, a Muslim government introduces Shariah currency. In the eyes of many Muslim scholars, the present interest-based fiat monetary system is flawed as it is incompatible with the objectives of the Islamic law or the Shariah. There have been calls for the resurgence of Islamic Gold Dinar (together with the silver dirham) as it is deemed to be the most appropriate medium of exchange to be used in the Islamic economies. Using data from 1970 to 2007, this paper assesses the empirical desirability of the Organization of Islamic Conferences (OIC) countries to an alternative monetary system (Islamic Gold Dinar) that can potentially enhance the exchange rate stability and credibility. The Structural Vector Autoregression (VAR) method is employed to assess the nature of macroeconomic disturbances among the OIC countries. Specifically, the symmetry in macroeconomic disturbances of the OIC economies is examined as satisfying one of the preconditions for forming an Optimum Currency Area (OCA). In addition, this paper also investigates the output and price responses of OIC countries of the underlying structural shocks used to shed light on the suitability of these countries to form a monetary union. The preliminary findings of this study suggest the lack of broad linkages within the entire OIC, although there exists scope among some smaller clusters for potential monetary integration based on the symmetry of their business cycles.     

乡村体验旅游开发探讨--以辽东山区为例

乡村体验旅游是未来旅游发展的重要趋势，辽东山区景观生态的多样性和民俗文化的多彩性为当地发展乡村体验旅游提供了丰富多彩的“场景”。体验设计将成为乡村体验旅游重要的开发措施，体验营销将成为体验旅游重要的营销手段。     

Enlarging the EMU to the east: what effects on trade?

The purpose of this article is to assess the implications of the Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) accession of eight Central and Eastern European Countries (CEECs) on their share of EMU-12 imports. Overcoming biases related to endogeneity, omitted variables and sample selection, our results indicate that the common currency has boosted intra-EMU imports by 7%. Under the assumption that the same relationship between the explanatory variables and imports will hold for EMU-CEEC trade, we intend to predict the future impact of the Euro. Our findings suggest that except for the least integrated countries, Poland, Latvia and Lithuania, all CEECs can expect increases in the EMU-12 import share.

天津滨海新区区域经济特点、问题与对策

开发滨海新区是天津市经济发展的重大战略决策。经过7年的高速发展滨海新区已经形成了经济区的基本框架,成为天津市经济的龙头。本文综合分析了滨海新区的区域经济特点及其在发展过程中存在的矛盾和问题,在此基础上提出了加强区域经济持续发展能力建设的对策和建议。     

基于Supermap和Google earth的城中村改造面积估算——以广州市海珠区为例

城中村多存在于经济发达的城市,广州是珠三角地区的发达城市之一,在广州市区内,共存在138个城中村。城中村的存在为广州市内广大的外来工作人员提供了价格低廉的住房。可是,近10年来,城中村的问题日益凸显,促使广州市政府对城中村进行大规模的整治和改造。对广州城中村的面积进行估算,能够得到广州城中村的面积、区位等数据。本文对广州城中村的面积估算方法进行探讨,并使用Supermap Deskpro软件和Google earth软件对广州市海珠区的城中村面积进行估算,从而了解广州城中村的规模、分布区位及其分布特征,为城中村的改造和整治提供基础数据。