Screening‐oriented recruitment messages: Antecedents and relationships with applicant pool quality

The ability of firms to attract qualified job applicants is a critical component of the human resource management process. However, while a large body of research has examined the relationship between firm recruitment practices and applicant pool attributes, very little research has investigated what factors are associated with organizational decision makers' utilization of specific recruitment tactics. We draw on labor economics, sociological, and agency theoretical perspectives to make predictions regarding the use of screening‐oriented recruitment messages in actual web‐based job advertisements. Results suggest that perceptions of labor supply, recruiting firm reputation, and the use of quality‐based compensation incentives are associated with use of screening‐oriented messages, which in turn are associated with applicant pool quality. These findings hold important theoretical insights into the factors shaping firm recruitment activity and provide practical strategic implications for managing firm recruitment objectives. © 2012 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.     

基于灰色系统理论的旅游客源预测模型--以中国入境旅游客源为例

本文基于灰色系统理论,以中国1978年以来入境客源为例,建构了旅游客源预测的灰色模型,并与常用的线性模型的预测精度进行了定量对比。所得基本结论为:①旅游系统是灰色系统,灰色系统理论是研究旅游现象的有力工具;②中国入境客源灰色GM(1,1)模型的预测精度高于线性模型;③就灰色预测而言,如果原始数据列较长(例如21年),对原始数据进行平滑处理所得预测模型精度较高,而对原始数据进行取自然对数的处理所得模型预测精度较低;如果原始数据列较短(例如5年),对原始数据进行取自然对数的预处理所得模型预测精度较高。本文所得结论对其他旅游序列预测应该具有一定的借鉴与参考价值。     

Accounting for the business cycle: Nominal rigidities, factor heterogeneity, and Austrian capital theory

An Austrian interpretation of the New Keynesian small menu cost model of the business cycle is proposed. Austrian and New Keynesian business cycle theories share the feature that the cycle is generated by rigidities which prevent the economy from adapting instantaneously to changing conditions. Austrian business cycle theory is capital-based, focusing on credit expansion which artificially lowers interest rates and causes an investment boom and unsustainable business expansion. In contrast, the New Keynesian small menu cost model of the business cycle is based on nominal rigidities which prevent markets from clearing. Small menu costs introduce dichotomous behavior, where firms find it locally optimal to avoid instantaneous output price adjustments in the face of the cost, but this local optimum results in economy-wide output and employment fluctuations which are much greater in relative magnitude. The small menu cost model of the business cycle is extended and reinterpreted in light of Austrian business cycle theory with heterogeneous, multiply-specific capital, thus providing a rigorous formalization of the Austrian business cycle. The Austrian interpretation of this New Keynesian model fortuitously addresses several of its shortcomings. JEL classification B53, E12, E23, E32     

From economic stability to social order: The debate about business cycle theory in the 1920s and its relevance for the development of theories of social order by Lowe,Hayek and Eucken∗

Abstract

The concepts of Adolph Lowe, Friedrich A. Hayek and Walter Eucken play an important role in the discussion of an adequate theory of economic and social order. It is noteworthy that at the beginning of their academic careers, these three economists dealt primarily with questions of business cycle theory. As we will show, this is not coincidental, but can be explained by economic history and the history of theory. Furthermore, all three economists agree that establishing a comprehensive social order would provide the basis for economic stability, although each postulates a different relationship between liberty and order.     

基于“点—轴”理论的我国海洋产业布局研究

市场经济条件下,作为海洋产业布局主体的涉海企业在空间选址上有向中心一"点"集聚的动能.通过对我国海洋产业集中系数指标的研究,得出渔业、滨海旅游和海洋交通运输业具有较高的集中系数,对其它产业具有明显的集聚效应和带动作用.不同的海洋产业,其布局总是多少表现为一定的区住指向,如以港口及滨海公路、铁路、海洋运输等为交通主干线的交汇点.基于此提出依托沿海三大港口群及所在区域中心城市为"点",以海洋运输、临海产业带为"轴"线的我国海洋产业"三点群两轴线"的空间布局体系.     

对"剑桥资本争论"的思考——从马克思的古典一般均衡理论寻求出路

“剑桥资本争论”指出了新古典理论在资本计量、技术再转折和资本倒流等关键问题上所遇到的逻辑悖论。这是由于西方主流经济学将凯恩斯经济学嫁接在新古典的价值和分配理论之上，从而忽视了资本主义所特有的竞争关系。相反，马克思的古典经济学则强调了资本主义所特有的经济关系。因此，只有引入社会关系的古典一般均衡分析，才是解决争论的出路。     

人力资本理论发展综述

人力资本思想起源于对人的经济价值的研究,人力资本概念被正式纳入主流经济学,标志着人力资本理论的形成。随着知识经济时代的来临,人力资本将成为未来经济发展的发动机。     

中国翻译理论的历史沿革

翻译活动作为一种文化交流手段，在中国有着2000多年的悠久历史，在宏观研究上有取之不尽的资源。本文主要概述了中国译论发展的几个重要时期，认为回顾历史对于21世纪中国译学的发展有着积极的作用。     

优劣与替代:比较优势理论在中国

如何结合我国国情正确地理解比较优势论和20世纪80年代兴起的竞争优势论,这是贸易理论和产业理论所要澄清的理论问题。竞争优势论并不能替代比较优势论,比较优势论仍然在我国经济中起作用。劳动力密集型产业不仅现阶段有实际意义,而且可能是我国长期的比较优势产业。我们不能简单化地加以排斥,而要通过长期努力,在培育竞争优势的同时实现比较优势的升级。