Analysis and Forecast of the State of Environmental Protection in Russia

The main purpose of the present study is to analyse the emission dynamics of atmospheric and water pollutants in Russia and cost of their removal in the 1980s and early 1990s, and to forecast them by means of a Dynamic Input–Output Model according to different scenarios of future economic development till 1998. Main results of the work are:– methodological principles have been elaborated for singling out the environmental protection sector within the national economy;– a method has been offered for including the ecological block into a Dynamic Input–Output Model of the Russian economy;– a method of data preparation has been elaborated for the ecological block of the above-named model, the data base which characterizes the ecological situation in Russia has been formed and analysed;– calculations for 1994–1998 have been executed for forecasting the economic and ecological development of Russia using the above-mentioned model and the results obtained have been analysed. The results showed that if the existing tendencies towards low environmental protection capital costs remain the same, then the negative environmental impact will increase. In order to implement ecological programs and international agreements, to increase the proportion of removed pollutants, it is necessary to increase substantially expenditures on purifying water and air resources. The proportion of environmental protection investments in the total amount of the national economy capital costs should increase by up to 12–40% according to different scenarios of the economic development and different purposes of the environmental protection policy.     

探索云南生态省建设与生物资源开发

云南气候类型复杂多样,多样化的气候孕育了种类繁多的生物种群。在这个“生物资源王国”和“生物基因宝库”建设生态省,根本目的就是要通过这样一个载体把自然和人力资源整合在一起,将生态产业开发、生态人居和生态文化建设结合起来,积极促进经济、社会与环境之间的协调发展,统筹规划,并逐步走上生产发展、生活富裕和生态良好的文明发展道路,实现可持续发展。     

提高钻井机具产品质量的可靠性技术

钻井机具产品的设计质量和应用质量是影响钻井顺利施工的主要因素，从产品的设计到现场应用全过程的质量监控和可靠性实时评价保证了机具产品质量。通过砂泵和减振器的设计制造分析、应用过程、质量管理和风险评估，说明提高该类产品质量的可靠性技术的普遍性。     

钻机钻进过程人机系统可靠性分析

在全面分析钻井机械的组成、钻进过程的特点和人的特性的基础上，建立钻机钻进过程人机系统可靠性模型。整个系统由人的行为、钻进参数采集、井喷预兆监测、钻进参数调节和井喷控制5个子系统，通过人机接口构成。根据人的感知、判断决策、执行操作行为进程．引入行为形成因子和差错纠正能力，构成人的行为模式，导出人的行为可靠度，进而得出钻机钻进过程人机系统的可靠度。     

Economic contribution of essential air service flights on small and remote communities

The Essential Air Service Program (EAS) has attracted considerable criticism and has been a target for either modification or complete termination almost since its inception through the Airline Deregulation Act in 1978. Although its opponents emphasize the program's inefficiency, its supporters claim that the program is crucial to accessing small and remote communities, which helps them develop economically and socially. This paper demonstrates the economic contributions of EAS flights to small and remote communities. Using a two-stage least squares estimation, the major findings indicate that a 1% increase in air passenger traffic in EAS airports with a minimum annual air passenger traffic of 1000 likely leads to a 0.12% increase in per capita income of the community served by that airport. Our results also suggest that EAS communities that are able to sustain their subsidized flights experienced higher per capita income growth in the 1999–2011 period than did ex-EAS communities that lost their flights as a result of non-eligibility.     

Natural and anthropogenic influences on the year-round temperature dynamics of air and water in Postojna show cave,Slovenia

Air and groundwater temperatures were measured in a rimstone pool in Postojna Cave, to advise evaluation of the impact of natural and anthropogenic influences related to heat being initially transmitted into cave air by visitors. Such heat can accumulate both in the rock mass and in water. Results show that attention must be paid to temperature changes of rimstone pool water rather than those of cave air, especially during the winter. Thanks to good ventilation deep inside the cave, short-term air temperature increases related to higher visitor numbers have not influenced flowstone precipitation or the cave fauna. However, this situation might change if winter visitor numbers increased greatly. This study does not support a suggested increase in winter visits (currently the tourism low-season) and reduction of summer visits (currently the tourism high-season).     

Do constraints created by economic growth targets benefit sustainable development? Evidence from China

An economic growth target is a declaration by policy authorities of commitment to that target and the corresponding allocation of resources. The constraints created by economic growth target are an important economic management method in China, which has helped China's economy to achieve remarkable achievements. However, it has also brought about serious environmental problems, threatening China's sustainable development. Using the data about economic growth targets in the work reports of 30 Chinese provincial governments from 2006 to 2017, this paper constructs several spatial measurement methods, such as the spatial Durbin model, to examine the constraints created by economic growth target's impacts on air pollution. The main conclusions are as follows. First, a significant “U-shaped” relationship exists between the constraints created by economic growth targets and air pollution. Second, the spatial Durbin model analysis revealed that PM_2.5 across China's provinces display significant positive spatial spillover effects and spatial agglomeration characteristics. Third, the direct, indirect, and total effects of constraints created by economic growth targets on air pollution are all statistically significant and depict a “U shape.” Finally, the constraints created by economic growth targets have an apparent threshold effect on air pollution, and the inhibiting effects increase with human capital and industrial restructuring. However, with the increase in foreign direct investments, constraints created by economic growth targets may increase air pollution. The conclusions of this paper are of great significance for improving the management of local government economic growth targets and sustainable development.     

关于美国战争费用的启示

本文以本次局部战争为案例,根据目前披露出来的一些数据进行初步的分析,希望能够为我们了解美国战争费用的总体情况提供参考。     

300MW循环流化床锅炉NO_x控制分析

本文从300MW循环流化床锅炉燃烧控制和烟气排放现状出发,对300MW循环流化床锅炉NOx排放超标的原因、现状进行深入分析,探讨了控制NOx达标排放的措施,从而为300MW循环流化床锅炉的安全运行、环保达标排放控制提供参考和积累经验。     

卷烟厂车间空气加湿方式的分析

对于卷烟企业而言,生产环境的空气相对湿度是十分重要的参数之一,它直接影响着最终的产品质量。本文通过对等温、等焓加湿中几种常见加湿方式的优缺点进行比较分析,并结合卷烟厂车间生产工艺与负荷特点,提出了适合卷烟企业的加湿方式。