DEFAULT RISK AND DIVERSIFICATION: THEORY AND EMPIRICAL IMPLICATIONS

Recent advances in the theory of credit risk allow the use of standard term structure machinery for default risk modeling and estimation. The empirical literature in this area often interprets the drift adjustments of the default intensity's diffusion state variables as the only default risk premium. We show that this interpretation implies a restriction on the form of possible default risk premia, which can be justified through exact and approximate notions of "diversifiable default risk." The equivalence between the empirical and martingale default intensities that follows from diversifiable default risk greatly facilitates the pricing and management of credit risk. We emphasize that this is not an equivalence in distribution, and illustrate its importance using credit spread dynamics estimated in Duffee (1999) . We also argue that the assumption of diversifiability is implicitly used in certain existing models of mortgage-backed securities.     

乡镇财政困难：现状、原因、出路——以安徽省为例

乡镇财政困难主要有收入下降、支出膨胀以及债务负担沉重等方面的表，就其原因从其关联性有根本原因、主要原因、重要原因、直接原因以及导火索等五个方面。对此，笔者认为解决乡镇财政困难的出路可以在分析原因的基础上，结合其表现来具体分析。     

Use of Statistics in the Monetary Policy of the Czech National Bank: The Case of a Country in Transition

In the presented text the authors judge the importance of statistics in the monetary policy of the Czech National Bank (CNB) over the course of the economic transformation process, with particular consideration of changing statistical needs and the possibilities and limits of statistical data exploitation in the monetary analyses. The importance of statistics lies on the level of collection and processing of statistical information and on the level of use of statistical methods to analyse data. Since the start of the 1990s the requirements for statistics were significantly influenced by monetary policy. In the period 1990–1997, monetary targeting was the primary influential factor. Since 1998, the monetary policy is influenced by inflation targeting. Statistical priorities switched from monetary data to economy and financial market data. Much progress has been made in the use of statistical methods for analysing data. Statistics available at present cover the CNB's standard monetary-policy requirements and are on par with those in developed countries. Its further development will reflect the standard changes taking place in the more advanced countries.     

Asymptotic expansion of S-estimators of location and covariance

By means of a straightforward application of empirical process theory, we show that S-estimators of multivariate location and covariance are asymptotically equivalent to a sum of independent vector and matrix valued random elements respectively. This provides an alternative proof of asymptotic normality of S-estimators and clearly explains the limiting covariance structure. It also leads to a relatively simple proof of asymptotic normality of the length of the shortest α-fraction.     

Provision of Human Resources for Water Resources and Hydropower Projects——A case of CGGC

1.Management of Human Resources in ChinaGezhouba Construction Group Corporation1.1Brief Introduction of CGGCChina GeZhouBa Construction Group Corporation(hereinafterreferred to as CGGC)is a super huge enterprise subordinatedto StateAssets Supervision and Administration Commission of PRC.It main-ly conducts water conservancy project,hydropower project,thermalelectric power project,nuclear electric power station,industrial andcivil works,as well as other works state-ratified.It is fa…     

搞好中小城市绿化建设的几点思考

作者根据自身的实践 ,认为中小城市绿化建设应树立四种意识 :一是树立“规划见绿”理念 ,对城市绿化也要编制总体规划和详细规划 ,并构思布局一批特色绿化工程 ;二要强化“空间绿化”意识 ,以城市道路轴线 ,构建绿化网络 ,扩展绿色绿量 ;三要树立“精品绿化”意识 ,提高绿化质量 ,打造草坪、花坛、公园、街道等名牌 ,四要树立“市场经营”意识 ,建立起多元联动、全社会参与的城市绿化投融资新机制。     

南京市重大危险源监管体系中的物流对策分析

根据南京市重大危险源普查报告,分析了南京市重大危险源的基本状况和监管中存在的问题,以提高应急物流反应能力为目标,分别从监管模式的改进、监管政策保障措施建设和重大危险源监管体系建设等三个方面提出了提高南京市重大危险源监管水平的对策措施。     

企业并购会计处理方法的研究

伴随着市场经济的发展成熟,市场竞争日益加剧和激烈,而作为市场主体的企业欲在激烈的市场竞争中生存和发展,一般通过内部扩充和外部扩张而运行,而并购则是企业外部扩张最迅速、最典型、最重要的方式。而全球经济一体化的加速发展,中国的企业并购也愈来愈频繁。本文拟对企业并购传统会计处理方法及其新理论作初步的探讨。     

我国财务会计概念框架重要性和可行性探讨

本文从各国财务会计概念框架的实践现状和会计准则的概念框架特征入手,对我国建立概念框架的重要性、可行性进行分析,同时对我国准则制订机构和制订程序的优化提出了初步的建议。     

中国城市可持续发展的国际借鉴

随着世界各国城市发展不断地向前推进,然而把发展目标具体化为追求GNP的增长而忽略社会和环境方面的指标,导致城市的可持续发展面临社会和环境问题的尴尬。为此,本文从制定和执行可持续发展政策的角度,举例美国旧金山、加拿大柏林顿城市的可持续发展实施概况,从中探索城市可持续发展的一般规律,寻求中国城市最优化可持续发展模式。