城乡居民消费结构与产业结构、经济增长关联研究——基于VAR模型的实证分析

运用VAR模型对城乡居民消费结构与产业结构、经济增长的关联性进行了实证分析。研究结果显示,城乡居民消费结构与产业结构、经济增长之间均存在长期均衡关系;经济增长能够促进城乡消费结构的升级,但对农村的促进作用要比城市滞后;城市居民消费结构升级对产业结构升级具有较弱的正向诱导效应,而农村居民消费结构则不具备这种效应。     

我国农业支持与农民收入和消费的再思考——基于整体性的多变量协整系统

把农民收入和消费及财政支农和农村金融置于一个框架下进行了考察。基于1978—2008年数据拟合的多变量协整模型较好地反映了我国农村经济的特点,结果表明,农业财政和金融在长期可显著提高农民收入,金融信贷在短期可有效扩大农民消费,并且农村金融体系较好地保证了内源融资的效率;消费方程反映出我国农民消费具有短视性特点,对同期收入过度敏感。     

浅析收入差距产生的不确定性及其对农民消费行为的影响

从农村居民收入差距扩大的角度对农村居民收入的不确定预期进行分析,通过基尼系数对农民消费倾向的影响模型分析,得出收入差距扩大是产生收入不确定性感受增强的一个原因,并且在市场经济体制改革后收入差距的增大对农村居民消费需求产生了负影响。提出相应建议以缩小收入差距,降低农村居民收入的不确定性,扩大农村消费。     

城乡居民消费行为比较研究

笔者以预防性储蓄理论为突破口,将城乡居民消费行为放在同一个理论框架中进行对比研究。结果发现,与城镇居民相比,农村居民的消费更为谨慎,对利率的变动相对不敏感,受不确定性因素影响较大;但消费惯性和制度变迁因素对城镇居民和农村居民消费的影响都不显著。     

城市化与能源消费的动态相关性及其传导机制——基于1978年～2008年的实证研究

笔者依据1978年~2008年时间序列数据,实证分析了我国城市化与能源消费之间的动态相关性,并对城市化与能源消费之间的关联效应及其传导机制进行了考察。结果表明,我国城市化与能源消费存在协整关系,短期内存在误差修正机制;城市化对能源消费的影响主要是通过其规模效应和技术效应表现出来,而第三产业的节能效应尚不明显。     

美国云计算发展现状及趋势

当前新一轮以云计算为中心的IT产业革命已在美国兴起,以云计算为主题的新创公司也像雨后春笋般竞相涌现。本文首先介绍了云计算的概念,云计算实际上是许多技术的大汇总．包括：网格计算、效用计算、虚拟化计算、面向服务体系结构等,然后针对云计算对产业链的影响及其发展成熟度进行分析,最后介绍了云计算产业联盟的各国政府及中国台湾地区对云计算所做的规划,希望为国内云计算研发及产业发展提供参考。     

印度农村科技服务体系建设初探

印度首任总理尼赫鲁说过：“其他事情都可以等,唯独农业不能等”。作为拥有12亿人口的农业大国印度,农业和农村问题对其国民经济发展和国家稳定至关重要。本文对印度农村科技服务体系建设情况,农村科技信息化的发展及其在农村科技服务中的作用进行了介绍．针对印度中央政府、地方政府、非政府组织以及私营企业等各利益攸关方在农村科技服务体系建设中的作用进行了分析,重点研究了印度在现有体制和当前的社会发展现状中如何整合资源、发挥有关各方的积极性,因地制宜地开展农村科技服务工作。     

Materialism and conspicuous consumption in China: a cross‐cultural examination

With the growing rise in consumer spending and economic power in Asian societies, it is increasingly important to explore the implications of these developments on consumer culture. This cross‐cultural study first discusses the rise of materialism and conspicuous consumption in post‐revolution China then examines differences in these phenomena between young adult consumers, aged 18–35, living in urban China and the United States. Utilizing survey data from over 600 respondents, significant differences were found in both materialism and conspicuous consumption, with Chinese young adults scoring higher in both variables. The findings show, that compared with past comparative studies, it appears both materialism and conspicuous consumption are on the rise among urban Chinese consumers.     

Idiosyncratic use of credit facilities by consumers in an emerging economy

A worldwide increase in household debt since the turn of the century has created considerable concern about the indebtedness of households, especially those in emerging economies that have been hit particularly hard by the global economic slump. In this study, the credit consumption of consumers in Swaziland (N = 264) was investigated by means of a survey that aimed to identify and describe factors that encouraged consumers' use of credit, the influence of credit on their buying behaviour when choosing major household appliances or furniture as well as consumers' knowledge of the conditions of credit facilities that were available for their use in retail. Findings revealed that consumers unequivocally appreciate the convenience that is associated with credit, specifically to cope with unexpected purchases, to benefit from special offers and opportunity to afford expensive goods. These advantages apparently negate the negative consequences such as high interest rates and strain on household budgets. Mean scores that were obtained in the knowledge test that only reflected upon credit agreements that respondents have actually entered into in the past, confirmed their ignorance pertaining to their contractual obligations and their consequent vulnerability. Consumers' age and gender seem to have noteworthy consequences for efforts to enhance informed consumer decision‐making. Younger females were significantly better informed that their older counterpart while the reverse was true for males, although differences were not significant. The significant inverse relationship between income and the LS‐means for the credit knowledge test differ from findings in developed countries and provide valuable opportunity for further investigation.     

论物流与电子商务

随着信息化、网络化的普及,网络消费必将成为消费者消费的主流模式。消费者消费模式的改变促进了物流、资金流、信息流在操作利用模式上的独立化,但是三者之间的相互作用表现得越来越明显。有效地将三者结合运用将极大地推动现代消费模式的发展,降低社会物流成本。