我国地方政府绩效管理的行政生态学分析

我国地方政府开展的政府绩效管理实践存在着理论范式的形式完美主义、评估体系的＂官本主义＂、实践过程的简单主义的问题。运用行政生态学理论来分析,可以发现我国政府绩效管理处于独特的内外生态系统中,只有深入认识和揭示内外生态系统内涵及其关系,才能有效推动地方政府绩效管理改革。     

Reputation,risk-taking,and macroprudential policy

This paper examines the role of macroprudential capital requirements in preventing inefficient credit booms in a model with reputational externalities. In our model, unprofitable banks have strong incentives to invest in risky assets when macroeconomic fundamentals are good in order to avoid the stigma of being assessed as low ability by the market. We show that across-the-system countercyclical capital requirements that deter such gambling are constrained optimal when fundamentals are neither extremely weak nor extremely strong.     

Too-Big-To-Fail: Why Megabanks Have Not Become Smaller Since the Global Financial Crisis?

ABSTRACT

More than ten years after the global financial crisis, what has happened to the ‘too-big-to-fail’ (TBTF) banks whose reckless behavior was among its preconditions, but which received public support and guarantees in the midst of that crisis? Insofar as this too-big-to-fail status helped create the crisis and then imposed costs on the rest of society, we would expect these banks to have shrunk. We investigate the evolution of 31 global-TBTF banks and find that their overall size has hardly recorded any substantial change. However, there is no sense of urgency in the flourishing post-crisis literature on TBTF banks about the need to contain their size; the prevalent view therein is that if properly regulated, the risks that arise from a financial system dominated by TBTF banks are manageable. This view rests on the same overly narrow theoretical underpinnings whose flaws were exposed in the crisis. We argue that too-big-to-fail banking is embedded in a set of self-reinforcing policies—consolidation, balance-sheet support through quantitative easing, favorable regulations, bank lobbying, and geo-economic and geo-political considerations—which explain why these banks have not shrunk and why they remain a threat to financial stability, well after the lessons of the crisis should have been learned.     

以廉政勤政简政为指引全面提升政府公信水平

近年来,我国政府公信力建设取得了巨大的成就,但也存在政策之间的协调性和行政体制的结构矛盾十分突出、政府公共服务和信息公开不能满足民众要求等问题. 要全面提升政府公信水平,就要深化行政体制改革,建立政府信用水平评价体系,推进政府信息透明化,完善政府对自身债务的管理,积极引导网络舆情.     

Liquidity risk and policy options

On the basis of a liquidity management model, liquidity risks, defined as the probability of payment failures in a real-time gross settlement (RTGS) payment system, may either stem from liquidity management inefficiencies or insufficient cash balances. I will show that penalties charged on the amount of payment failures minimise liquidity risks without interfering with the bank’s technology preferences. I will instead show that liquidity requirements, although as effective as penalties to contain the risk of liquidity shortage, may distort the bank’s technology preferences and cannot stem liquidity management inefficiencies. I will also show that liquidity risks within RTGS payment systems are potentially smaller because they depend more on the liquidity management efficiency than on the randomness of cash inflows and outflows.     

生态建设与环境保护的政府投资战略研究

作者认为，政府投资于生态建设和环境保护的动力受其两类投资战略是否确定的影响：一是受生态安全投资战略是否确定的影响，二是受生态与环境经济投资的乘数效应战略是否确定的影响。本文探讨了政府对生态建设和环境保护的这两种投资战略和有机结合的三种方式及其相应的投资力度等问题。     

国外房地产宏观调控政策借鉴与启示

世界各国在经济发展过程中几乎都面临过或正面临着“房价过高”、“市场失灵”的难题。本文对美国、英国、俄罗斯等10多个国家的房地产市场调控政策进行了总结,指出了我国房地产市场宏观调控面临的困难与挑战,并结合国外房地产宏观调控的成功经验,就我国房地产市场宏观调控政策提出了自己的观点。     

Connecting National Safety Nets: The Dialectics of the Basel II Contracting Process

Basel II consists of supervisory guidelines negotiated by representatives of central banks and national regulatory commissions that were members of the Basel committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS). The BCBS is itself a regulatory response to globalization, which is connecting national safety nets in market-driven ways. A country’s financial safety net is a social contract established by short-lived agents for principals in long-lived economic sectors. Restraints placed on the authority of the BCBS members to contract for their principals by domestic politics explains: why Basel II authorizes individual countries to implement the agreement in markedly different ways; why US implementation of Basel II ran into so much doubt, controversy, and delay; and how the implementation debate set small and large banks and the Federal Reserve and other federal regulators against one another.

和谐社会视角下的公共服务型政府建设

当前的中国正处于经济转轨和社会转型的关键时期,构建和谐社会是进一步推动和保持经济高速发展的决定性因素,而建设一个定位准确的公共服务型政府是实现和谐社会的重要保证.建设公共服务型政府必须结合我国政府改革和社会发展的实际,转变观念,正确定位,深化改革,强化服务职能,建立中国特色的公共服务模式与体系.     

地方政府规模影响因素实证分析

本文从公共服务需求角度出发,运用中国31省面板数据检验了地方政府规模的影响因素。研究发现：（1）我国地方政府规模发展趋势符合瓦格纳法则,同时满足对外经济的效率假说和补偿假说;（2）民族多元化对地方政府规模有显著的正向影响;（3）上期政府收入对政府支出有很大的正向影响,说明二者之间互为因果关系。