国有企业绩效评价体系探讨

随着我国市场经济体制及现代企业制度的建立,按照市场经济的要求建立适合我国国有企业的绩效评价体系,是国有企业体制改革的必然选择,也是参与国际经济竞争的必然要求。要建立适合我国国有企业的绩效评价体系,一个可行的思路就是将发达国家相对成熟的绩效评价体系纳入我国体系框架之中,并结合我国国情,形成适用性、操作性、科学性兼容的国有企业绩效评价体系。     

我国民间审计发展的制约因素刍议

建立和维护社会经济秩序是民间审计的基本职能,我国的民间审计自20世纪80年代恢复以来,经过20年的发展已经初具规模.但与发达国家相比,仍处于初始阶段.为推动民间审计事业的快速健康发展,从我国民间审计的发展现状出发,分析我国民间审计发展的制约因素.     

我国省域视角下经济增长方式的实证分析与对策——基于 1990-2012 年数据

经济发展方式转变是我国现阶段经济发展的必然选择,也是经济增长与自然、社会、人的全面发展相协调的客观要求。我国28个省（市、自治区）1990---2012年数据显示：我国经济增长呈粗放型发展;投资拉动和工业化是经济发展主要依靠,第三产业带动作用不强,人力资本的外溢效应不明显,技术具有正向作用,但科技资本存量的产出弹性较小．,外资和出口具有拉动作用;东部经济增长受出口拉动最为显著但受外资企业出口影响而削弱,合适的政府规模才有利于经济发展和增长。因此,未来我国应在人力资本、新型工业化、转变政府职能、均衡发挥内外生因素等方面转变和加强。     

保险公司偿付能力恶化预测研究

文章在分析公司财务预测研究方法应用前提的基础上,运用MDA模型和Logistic线性回归模型预测方法对我国保险公司偿付能力恶化进行预测研究。结果表明两个主流模型均能在保险公司偿付能力恶化前1~2年较好地进行预测,但是由于两类错估率的不同,MDA模型要优于Logistic模型。     

加强林业技术发展的研究

林业建设的长期实践表明，林业的发展越来越依赖林业技术的进步。本文从宏观、中观和微观各层面分析了林业技术发展对林业发展的重大意义，并在此基础上进一步分析了当前我国林业技术发展的现状——林业技术既取得了巨大发展．但同时又存在很多不足，如林业技术成果转化事低、技术推广效益低、高新技术水平落后于发达国家等。此外．本文还分析了制约林业技术发展的因素：林业技术意识薄弱、投入不足、推广效益低下、自主创新和引进消化吸收能力弱等，并提出了进一步发展我国林业技术的对策。     

螺旋焊缝轨迹跟踪控制算法的分析与研究

分析和研究了超声波螺旋焊缝自动检测的轨迹跟踪控制算法。在对经典PID控制采用参数自整定算法、对模糊控制采用自调整因子算法的基础上,提出了一种新型复合控制算法。该算法结合了比例控制、模糊控制及PID控制,仿真结果表明,其具有响应速度快、超调量小、无静差等优点,提高了轨迹跟踪的实时性及精度。     

Changes in Global Trade Patterns and Women's Employment in Manufacturing, 1995–2011

This study investigates the feminization and defeminization trends in manufacturing employment in thirty countries from 1995 to 2011. Utilizing two separate methods, structural decomposition analysis (SDA) and factor content analysis (FCA), the study identifies the major industries and trade partners behind the structural shifts in trade that have induced changes in employment and thus in the rates of women’s employment. The findings highlight that, as a general trend, defeminization in manufacturing has persisted in the Global North, led by a negative trade impact in low-technology industries. In the Global South, feminization and defeminization trends are not as straightforward. Despite positive changes in women’s share of employment in medium-high- and high-technology industries, negative gender bias effects of trade changes are found particularly in high-technology industries, where occupations are notably gendered.     

黑龙江省农业现代化评价

客观评价现代农业发展水平,是制定区域现代农业发展政策与推进“三农”工作的重要前提。该 文基于现代农业特征构建农业现代化评价指标体系,并依此评价黑龙江省农业现代水平的时空特征,主要 结论如下:黑龙江省现代农业于2010年由起步阶段进入了初步实现阶段;全省农业现代化水平的区域差异 明显,以省会哈尔滨为最高值区,整体呈现出由西南向东北的递减趋势;不同地区在现代农业发展中具有 不同的限制因素和主要矛盾;今后,应进一步针对全省及各区域现代农业发展的“瓶颈”环节制定区域农 业发展政策,促进全省现代农业协调、快速和可持续发展。     

Outcomes of tumor necrosis factor inhibitor cycling versus switching to a disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drug with a new mechanism of action among patients with rheumatoid arthritis

Objectives: To examine treatment patterns, treatment effectiveness, and treatment costs for 1 year after patients with rheumatoid arthritis switched from a tumor necrosis factor inhibitor (TNFi) (adalimumab, certolizumab pegol, etanercept, golimumab, or infliximab), either cycling to another TNFi (“TNFi cyclers”) or switching to a new mechanism of action (abatacept, tocilizumab, or tofacitinib) (“new MOA switchers”).

Methods: This retrospective cohort study used administrative claims data for a national insurer. Treatment persistence (without switching again, restarting, or discontinuing), treatment effectiveness (defined below), and costs were assessed for the 12-month post-switch period. Patients were “effectively treated” if they satisfied all six criteria for a treatment effectiveness algorithm (high adherence, no dose increase, no new conventional synthetic disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drug, no subsequent switch in therapy, no new/increased oral glucocorticoids, and <2 glucocorticoid injections). Multivariable logistic models were used to adjust for baseline factors.

Results: The database included 581 new MOA switchers and 935 TNFi cyclers. New MOA switchers were 39% more likely than TNFi cyclers to persist after the switch (odds ratio [OR]?=?1.39; 95% confidence interval [CI]?=?1.12–1.74; p?=?.003) and 36% less likely to switch therapy again (OR?=?0.64; 95% CI?=?0.51–0.81; p?p?=?.006). New MOA switchers had 16% lower drug costs than TNFi cyclers (cost ratio?=?0.84; 95% CI?=?0.79–0.88; p?p?Limitations: Claims payments may not reflect rebates or other cost offsets. Medical and pharmacy claims do not include clinical end-points or reasons that lead to new MOA switching vs TNFi cycling.

Conclusions: These results support switching to a new MOA after a patient fails treatment with a TNFi, which is consistent with recent guidelines for the pharmacologic management of established rheumatoid arthritis.     

环境约束下的制造业生产率增长分析

本文引入Malmquist-Luenberger生产率指数,对比分析环境约束和无约束情形下的2001-2008年中国制造业28个细分行业生产率增长状况。进一步的,本文分别将行业全要素生产率指数、技术进步指数及技术效率指数作为生产率增长指标,选取资本深化、行业规模、科技投入、环境污染和行业属性作为解释变量,利用面板数据回归模型分析环境约束下生产率增长影响因素。研究发现,忽略环境约束会低估制造业技术效率水平及其指数,但会高估技术进步指数和全要素生产率指数;分析结果表明影响因素对生产率增长均有显著影响。