基于个体差异的报童群体决策研究

通过实验研究群体决策和大五人格对报童订购的影响。研究表明大五人格中开放性维度能很好地预测个体和群体决策者的订购行为。在个体实验中,开放性越高的个体更不易产生锚定效应,其他四种人格特性与锚定偏差无显著关系;在群体实验中,群体的开放性得分均值、群体中高开放性成员所占的比例与锚定偏差呈负相关关系。通过比较两种实验结果,发现群体锚定倾向明显小于个体锚定倾向,而群体决策并没有优于个体决策。该研究结果对企业人员招聘、构建决策团队及降低决策偏差有一定参考价值。     

全球价值链动力机制与产业发展策略

在经济全球化时代,融入全球分工体系,是避免在全球化进程中被边缘化的前提条件。在搞清楚如何融入全球分工体系和融入该体系后如何发展问题上,就需要对全球价值链的动力机制有一个充分认识。全球价值链片断化的驱动类型有生产者、购买者和混合型等三种动力机制。不同驱动模式下产业集群形成方式、市场竞争规则和升级轨迹等也是不同的。本研究在全球价值链动力机制理论论述中,结合诸多实证分析,探讨了经济全球化过程中中国应该如何在与发达国家之间的分工合作和竞争中谋求产业升级,从而最终步入中上等发达国家行列。     

中国已婚育龄人群避孕措施选择的偏好与影响因素分析

避孕节育是中国计划生育的核心内容之一，也是我国中长期人口发展战略中稳定低生育水平的重要措施之一。选取1988年全国生育节育抽样调查数据，利用多分类Logit模型（MNL）对不同特征育龄妇女避孕措施进行分析。不同生育周期和不同社会特征、子女性别、计划生育政策强度对已婚育龄人群避孕措施的选取有明显的影响。不同孩次的已婚育龄人群在避孕措施选择中都存在一定的避孕偏好，尤其是子女性别不同时呈现避孕措施选择的明显差异，即最小子女为女孩的育龄人群比最小子女为男孩的育龄人群更为倾向于选择避孕套等自控型短效避孕措施，提示避孕措施的选择存在制度内规避行为，并受到一定的性别偏好因素的影响。     

兼容网卡配置服务器对网卡的作用

针对建立 Windows NT无盘工作站中存在的一些问题 ,重点介绍了利用兼容网卡配置服务器对网卡的支持 ,并以实例说明其应用。     

浅谈以绩效激励为核心的人力资源机制的运用

随着我国市场经济发展的不断深入,加入WTO后,通过烟草企业实施战略的调整,采取联合、并购、重组的措施,提高了产业集中度和品牌集中度,增强了核心竞争力。根据有关资料显示,合并重组作为企业向外扩张的重要形式,成功的几率并不理想。因此,合并重组中的人力资源激励问题无疑是影响成功的一个重要因素。     

Cigarette pack and advertising displays at point of purchase: community demand for restrictions

Tobacco promotion influences tobacco consumption. Traditional forms of tobacco promotion have been heavily restricted in response to the harmful effects of tobacco. Tobacco displays at the point of purchase are increasingly important as a means of communicating brand imagery for the tobacco industry, especially when advertising is restricted at these points. Previous research has demonstrated that children exposed to tobacco advertising at the point of purchase have inflated perceptions of availability, use and popularity of tobacco. Internationally, laws are being debated and implemented to prohibit or restrict the display of tobacco at the point of purchase or put tobacco out of sight. Such measures would reduce tobacco product exposure and, hence, tobacco marketing among youth and the community. In South Australia, a ban on all cigarette advertising at the point of purchase was introduced in 2005. This study was designed to assess community support for restrictions on cigarette displays and advertising at the point of purchase. A telephone survey was conducted with a random sample of 2026 South Australian adults (aged 18 years and over) in July 2005. Overall, 63% of the community approved of a hypothetical total ban on cigarette displays at the point of purchase, with over three‐quarters believing this should happen in the next 12 months. A further 24% believed that cigarette displays should be restricted and 82% would approve of a ban on displays in stores that sell confectionary. Only 7% of adult smokers reported making their decision about the brand of cigarettes to buy at the point of purchase and 90% made their decision before they even entered the shop. The results strengthen arguments that cigarette displays are not necessary to maintain brand loyalty or to encourage brand switching of established smokers. Instead, the results make arguments more credible that cigarette displays normalize and promote smoking among young people and may also promote unplanned purchase or increased consumption among less frequent smokers or former smokers. Placing cigarettes out of sight would be unlikely to impact on brand choice for most smokers, who have already made up their mind before they enter the store.     

Adaptation investments and homeownership

This article develops a model where ownership improves the efficiency of the housing market as it enhances the utility of housing consumption for some consumers. The model is based on an extended Hotelling–Lancaster utility approach in which the ideal variant of housing is obtainable only by adapting the home through a supplementary investment. Ownership offers low costs of adaptation, but has high contract costs compared with renting. Consumers simultaneously choose housing demand and tenure, and because of the different cost structure only consumers with strong preferences for individual adaptation of the home choose ownership. This article analyses the consumer’s optimization. The model provides an explanation for the observation that homeowners typically live in larger dwelling units than tenants. It also provides an explanation for a high price of housing services tending to reduce homeownership rates.     

资本结构理论的发展与中外企业融资选择

资本结构理论是基于实现企业价值最大化或股东财富最大化的目标 ,着重研究资本结构的变动对企业总价值的影响 ,通过资本结构理论的研究可以得出企业应遵循的融资规则。分析我国上市公司的融资选择后可以发现 ,当前我国的上市公司普遍存在明显的股权性融资偏好 ,这与资本结构理论的基本准则相悖。纠正这种不良偏好 ,是推进我国上市公司改革与发展的重要环节与内容。     

遗产原真性·旅游者价值观偏好·遗产旅游原真性

本文指出旅游科学的"原真性"概念与遗产科学的渊源;提出应将"authenticity"译为"原真性"的理由;概述了遗产科学对"原真性"概念的认识发展;从旅游价值观偏好层面对当代旅游科学中出现的"客观主义原真性"、"建构主义原真性"、"存在主义原真性"、"后现代主义原真性"诸提法进行了评论;最后,较为概括地辨析了原真性概念在文化和遗产旅游中的具体处置.     

Time preference and international trade

We first consider a closed model, where households' time discount depends on externality in consumption. We can prove that there is a unique steady state, which is a saddle point. Then we extend the model to a two‐country world, and derive the condition on the effects of consumption externality under which there is a unique free trade steady state with saddle‐point stability.