现代市场经济调节的"第三只手"

通常,我们把市场调节比喻为“看不见的手”,把宏观调控比喻为“看得见的手”。同时,可以把文化道德调节作为现代市场经济调节的“第三只手”。有了这三只手,现代市场经济才会健康协调地向前发展。     

促进民间投资的税收政策研究

启动民间投资对促进经济发展具有重要意义,而且在我国民间资本有巨大潜力可挖。税收是国家调节经济的强有力工具。本文着重分析了我国现行税制在促进民间投资的过程中存在的问题以及解决问题的新思路。     

Choosing sides in the trilemma: international financial cycles and structural change in developing economies

ABSTRACT

This paper analyzes the impact of international financial cycles on structural change in developing economies. It is argued that the impact of these cycles depends on the specific combination of macroeconomic and industrial policies adopted by the developing economy. The cases of Brazil and Argentina are contrasted with those of Korea and China. In the Asian economies, macroeconomic policy has been a complementary tool along with industrial policy to foster the diversification of production and capabilities. Inversely, in the case of the Latin American countries, long periods of real exchange rate (RER) appreciation, combined with the weaknesses (or absence) of industrial policies, contributed to the loss of capabilities and lagging behind.     

Simulation Analysis of Public Debt and Fiscal Deficit in Austria – Optimal Economic Policies for the Past and the Future

The macroeconometric simulation model AMOD1 and the optimization algorithm OPTCON are used to evaluate fiscal policies for Austria since the late seventies. In particular, the question of optimal (debt stabilizing) fiscal policies for the past and for the future is analyzed within the framework of a medium-scaled simulation model. The first set of optimization experiments aims to assess optimal fiscal policies for debt stabilization for the historical period 1978–2000 while trying to maintain reasonable growth rates of approximately 2 percent of real GDP. Optimal values of the instruments and the targets are compared to empirical data for Austria. A second set of simulations calculates optimal paths for the fiscal instruments for the period 2001-2010, particularly with respect to the criteria of the Stability and Growth Pact, which is mandatory for member states of the Euro zone.     

把握政策科学 提高政府效率

提高政府效率是我国应对加入WTO带来机遇与挑战的重要环节。政策科学是政府行政的重要理论基础，政府效率首先取决于政策的科学性，政策的有效执行是提高政府效率的关键，政策评估间接促进政府效率提高。各级政府都应加强对于政策科学的研究和掌握，更好地实现有效率的政府管理。     

银行风险监管信息系统的探讨

近年来，商业银行大案要案频频发生，而且越来越严重，这其中，不仅有银行制度不健全、缺乏监管和内部腐败等原因，而且还有技术方面的原因，如信息系统不完善，信息技术利用不充分，数据库建设落后和信息交流共享不畅等。为此，应构建商业银行风险监管信息系统，开发工作由商业银行自主完成，系统开发及维护人员应与业务人员严格分离，系统应具备良好的外部接口，并不断加强对系统的维护。     

货币政策的产业效应分析——基于中国货币政策的实证研究

本文从基于要素密集度不同的两部门例子出发，说明了由于行业自身的异质性，每个行业对同一货币政策冲击的反应各异。接着利用E—G两步法、ADL模型和基于VAR模型的脉冲响应函数分析1995年后中国六个行业对货币政策冲击的反应。结果显示第一、二产业、房地产业对利率政策冲击反应明显，第三产业、餐饮业和批发贸易零售业反应较小。在此基础上简单分析了造成行业反应不同的原因并给出相关的政策建议。     

国际银行业监管标准嬗变途径分析

国际银行业监管标准从旧协议向新资本协议嬗变途径中有两个交叉方向的变化——监管性的资本与经济性的资本、基于规则的监管与面向过程的监管。虽然新协议中保留了一些监管性和规则性的资本监管因素,就象在旧协议中也吸收了经济性和过程性方法的要素一样,但是新协议中监管方式的转变仍然是实质性的和很重要的,并且是同时发生在两方面的转变。     

Transfer sciences: management of distributed knowledge production

This paper is concerned to develop the notion of transfer science to take account of what is perceived to be the emergence of a new mode of knowledge production. The new mode which is characterised by the production of knowledge in the context of application, by transdisciplinarity, by homogeneity and organisational diversity, by enhanced social accountability and reflexivity, and by new forms of quality control. The thrust of the new mode of knowledge production is to call into question conventional notions of knowledge transfer and focuses instead on the organisational and managerial implications of the emergence of a socially distributed knowledge production system. The paper concludes with a brief discussion of the policy implications of the emergence of the new mode of production. Needed in the new mode are science and technology policies which promote institutional permeability and policies which enable governments, acting through their civil service to act as brokers in the new knowledge production process. Such brokerage is necessary to enhance permeability between institutions within a particular country but also to increase co-operation and collaboration between institutions across countries.     

Regulatory ‘Balancing’ and the Efficiency of Green R&D

We identify and analyse several dynamic implications of setting environmental standards such as to balance marginal costs and benefits. The adoption of such a regulatory approach is shown to effect (i) the speed of improvement of abatement technologies; (ii) the direction (in a sense to be defined) of that improvement; (iii) its source and the distribution of the rents from it; and (iv) the rate of development of defensive (averting) technologies. Existing views are thoroughly synthesised in the context of a simple diagrammatic model, several new results are derived and at least one conventional wisdom questioned. The message of the analysis for legislators and regulators is that cost–benefit balancing should be done with care.