贯彻以人为本理念,做好校园安全稳定工作

学校是社会的重要组成部分,校园安全稳定工作事关千家万户的幸福,是维护社会稳定,推进学校素质教育顺利实施的重要因素,是培养社会主义事业接班人的重要阵地。     

高校辅导员队伍稳定性建设研究

本文首先阐述高校辅导员队伍稳定性与辅导员队伍职业化建设的内在联系,指明当前高校辅导员队伍呈现出高流动性、低稳定性的特点;接着探析造成当前高校辅导员队伍稳定性缺失的原因;最后提出应如何切实维护辅导员队伍稳定性,为辅导员的职业化建设奠定良好的基础。     

民用建筑火灾CFAST模拟及分析

运用CFAST6.0区域火灾模拟软件,针对一个典型的民用建筑起火房间进行火灾模拟计算,得出着火房间上层烟气温度、走廊烟气层高度、走廊下层烟气温度及走廊中CO浓度等随时间变化的火灾参数,运用Origin软件对各参数进行数据处理得出相应的变化曲线,并结合曲线进行了详细分析。     

Financial amplification of foreign exchange risk premia

Theories of financial frictions in international capital markets suggest that financial intermediaries' balance sheet constraints amplify fundamental shocks. We present empirical evidence for such theories by decomposing the U.S. dollar risk premium into components associated with macroeconomic fundamentals, and a component associated with financial intermediary balance sheets. Relative to the benchmark model with only macroeconomic state variables, balance sheets amplify the U.S. dollar risk premium. We discuss applications to financial stability monitoring.     

金融稳定分析的宏观模型综述及展望

金融系统的稳定性水平是金融功能是否有效发挥的反映,加入WTO后中国政府对经济系统进行了诸多方面的改革,金融系统的稳定性得到明显提升,但也存有压力与风险。金融稳定分析的宏观模型包括扩展的宏观经济模型、动态随机一般均衡模型和网络模型。其中,动态随机一般均衡模型具有较好的现实拟合度,应用性较强。应根据中国的社会背景和特殊的金融制度,构建中国特色的动态随机一般均衡模型。     

中国股市β系数稳定性研究

β系数是证券或证券组合与市场相互关联的一个概念和参数,它是衡量证券系统风险的重要指标,β系数的稳定性也一直是学术界和投资者特别关注的焦点。本文通过中国股票市场的31个行业数据的研究,得到中国股市样本β值在单位β值(1.00)附近上下波动并呈正态分布;也可以得到组合的β系数还是有较好的稳定性结论。     

MACROECONOMIC UNCERTAINTY AND CONDITIONAL STOCK MARKET VOLATILITY IN SOUTH AFRICA*

This paper analyses how systematic risk emanating from the macroeconomy is transmitted into stock market volatility using augmented autoregressive Generalised Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedastic (AR‐GARCH) and vector autoregression (VAR) models. Also examined is whether the relationship between the two is bidirectional. By imposing dummies for the 1997‐1998 Asian and the 2007‐2009 sub‐prime financial crises, the study further analyses whether financial crises affect the relationship between macroeconomic uncertainty and stock market volatility. The findings show that macroeconomic uncertainty significantly influences stock market volatility. Although volatilities in inflation, the gold price and the oil price seem to play a role, it is found that volatility in short‐term interest rates and exchange rates are the most important, suggesting that South African domestic financial markets are increasingly becoming interdependent. Finally, the results show that financial crises increase volatility in the stock market and in most macroeconomic variables, and, by so doing, strengthen the effects of changes in macroeconomic variables on the stock market.     

价值工程在特大型不锈钢封头制造中的应用

在对太空模拟训练仓中的特大形不锈钢封头制造中,运用了价值工程手段,并创新采用近似椭圆参数(R=0.8415D和r=0.1285D)和椭圆形封头顶圆的足球瓣结构,产品质量满足要求且降低了成本。     

China's macroeconomic stability – an empirical study based on survey data

A complete financial stability analysis should include investigation on macroeconomic stability since macroeconomic development and potential imbalance can increase the financial instability and trigger a financial crisis. Survey data of rating on China's macroeconomic stability is analyzed by estimating an ordered logit model with random effect. Among the candidate macroeconomic indicators, we found that inflation is the key variable that determines China's macroeconomic stability, followed by the change in budget balance and GDP growth gap.