防御性现实主义:进攻性现实主义时代的悲剧

作者旨在回答一个重要的问题:防御性现实主义在进攻性现实主义时代的命运如何?这个问题可以分解为两个小问题:进攻性现实主义时代下的防御性现实主义国家面临哪些生存压力?这些生存压力对防御性现实主义国家会造成哪些影响?作者认为,在进攻性现实主义时代,防御性现实主义国家面临五种生存压力:防御性现实主义国家是进攻性现实主义国家进攻的诱因;防御性现实主义国家经常遭遇进攻性现实主义国家的攻击;防御性现实主义国家被进攻性现实主义国家包围;防御性现实主义国家几乎无法和进攻性现实主义国家合作;防御性现实主义国家的军力通常在整体上或在关键指标上落后于进攻性现实主义国家。在这些生存压力之下,防御性现实主义国家的生存质量堪忧,在重要的物质利益和国家的自主性两项指标上的表现难如人意。作者采取了案例分析的方法,以中国宋朝和波兰为例,论证了进攻性现实主义时代的防御性现实主义困境。     

李斯特贸易保护主义理论管窥

李斯特以“生产力论”为核心,宣扬“国家经济学说”,强调贸易保护对建立和发展民族经济的积极作用,反对英法古典经济学所倡导的自由贸易理论,主张在德国推行贸易保护政策,集中体现了处于上升时期的德国资产阶级要求在国家的扶持下,发展民族经济的强烈愿望。     

Changes in tourists’ perception of well-being based on their use of emotion regulation strategies during vacation

ABSTRACT

Based on the theoretical foundation of emotion regulation, this exploratory study aimed to examine changes in tourists’ perceived well-being and to determine whether these changes were due to use of emotion regulation strategies (ERSs) during their vacation. This study used travel diaries to record tourists’ use of ERSs on a daily basis, and also measured tourists’ perceived well-being one day before and after their vacation. Results indicated that tourists had significantly higher perceptions of well-being after vacation, and those who used ERSs were more likely to indicate a higher sense of well-being after vacation. The results provide new insight into which aspects of tourists’ subjective and psychological well-being can be boosted by taking vacations and how these aspects may be enhanced by using different ERSs.     

A push to cycling—exploring the e-bike's role in overcoming barriers to bicycle use with a survey and an intervention study

In Norway, as in many countries, there is a political goal to increase bicycle use. The electric bicycle (e-bike) is a promising tool for achieving this goal, given the hilliness of the country. However, little is yet known about the deterrents of cycling in Norway in general, and in particular how the purchase of an e-bike could be stimulated.

In the current study, 5500 respondents from a convenience sample among car owners were asked about their perceptions of bicycling in general, and of e-bikes in particular as well as their willingness to pay (WTP) for an e-bike. Randomly selected participants (N = 66) were given access to an e-bike for a limited time (2 or 4 weeks). A second questionnaire captured the same perceptions and WTP post-intervention. The results were compared with a control group (N = 214).

The results showed that those who cycle the least were most interested in buying an e-bike and that prior knowledge of the e-bike corresponded with a higher desire to buy one. Pro-environmental values did not predict interest in e-bikes, neither did norms and attitudes toward cycling. The WTP for an e-bike increased after having experienced the benefits for those who used an e-bike compared to those who did not. Price reduction of the e-bike (e.g. VAT exemption), spread of knowledge among the wider population, and actions to offer an e-bike experience may therefore be effective strategies for further expansion of the e-bike in the transport system and thereby to increase bicycle use in Norway.     

The impact of mood states and surprise cues on satisfaction

Mood effects have been studied in consumer behavior literature, but prior research investigating the joint impact of mood and surprise on satisfaction is scant. To bridge this gap, this study examines the relationship among these three constructs. We manipulated customers’ pre-consumption mood and provided surprise cues with hypothetical scenarios in a 2 by 2 factorial design in a restaurant setting. The results show that a positive surprise yields high satisfaction without a significant effect from customers’ pre-consumption mood. Conversely, with a negative surprise, customers in a negative pre-consumption mood indicate lower satisfaction than those in a positive mood.     

中国崛起的认识论及其叙事衍生

从自我认同与群体归属两种需要的分析视角,作者得出了四种观察中国与非中国之间关系的视野:国家、亚洲、文明与天下。其中,从中国的角度出发,观察非中国的视野主要是国家与天下。如果继续按照自我认同与群体归属两种需要的区分,我们可得出国家权力、霸道、主权身份以及中心-边陲四种叙事的文本。简言之,看待中国崛起不是一件纯粹的客观之事,而是涉及观察者的群我关系之深层需要。中国研究不仅是一个应该适应国情并随之调整的方法论问题,而且它还涉及知识形成的前提,亦即中国与非中国关系所涉及的群我关系。群我关系的形成与认知须靠文化形塑,进而使行为主体形成对中国崛起的认识角度与文本选择。     

中国旅行社业发展现状与发展对策研究

在对中国旅行社20年来产业化、市场化、企业化和法制化进程做了系统梳理和综述的基础上，课题组重点研究了我国旅行社的产业现状和即将来临的机遇与挑战。最后，分别从产业政策、分工体系、企业制度、行业管理、经营策略、借鉴国外经验等6个方面对面向21世纪的中国旅行社业提出了具体的发展对策。     

LIBERAL ECONOMICS AND THE RISE OF LAISSEZ‐FAIRE ECOLOGY

The shift in thinking about how to manage national economies and economic systems in the 1980s was part of a broader revolution in intellectual thought. This is seen in ecology, where a shift in thinking about how to manage environments took place at the same time. Traditionally, the environment was viewed in determinist (structuralist) terms, as a system which was susceptible to management and manipulation. Ecosystems were thought to evolve through predictable stages, reaching a climax state. From the late 1980s, ecologists became increasingly convinced that ecosystems, like economic systems, are complex. They argued that while human intervention is often necessary, wherever possible it should be replaced with more natural controls, which can often fulfil policy aims as well if not better than deliberate intervention. Like economies, the best ecosystems are those which largely manage themselves.