修辞情景背后的动机说——以尼克松访华系列演说为例

演讲与修辞的渊源关系并未促进修辞视角下的外交演讲研究。就尼克松访华系列演说为例,学术界对其进行的修辞分析有所欠缺。分析尼克松访华演说所面临的修辞形势及其应对策略的同时,重点考察尼克松总统的受众意识。尼克松访华系列演说运用了娴熟的语言手段最大范围地争取了受众的认同、缓解了敌意,进而促使了受众接受访华举措。     

Model-free portfolio theory: A rough path approach

Based on a rough path foundation, we develop a model-free approach to stochastic portfolio theory (SPT). Our approach allows to handle significantly more general portfolios compared to previous model-free approaches based on Föllmer integration. Without the assumption of any underlying probabilistic model, we prove a pathwise formula for the relative wealth process, which reduces in the special case of functionally generated portfolios to a pathwise version of the so-called master formula of classical SPT. We show that the appropriately scaled asymptotic growth rate of a far reaching generalization of Cover's universal portfolio based on controlled paths coincides with that of the best retrospectively chosen portfolio within this class. We provide several novel results concerning rough integration, and highlight the advantages of the rough path approach by showing that (nonfunctionally generated) log-optimal portfolios in an ergodic Itô diffusion setting have the same asymptotic growth rate as Cover's universal portfolio and the best retrospectively chosen one.     

The China model view is factually false

ABSTRACT

Using a cross-regional analysis of China, this article shows that the China model view is factually false and the universal model view is factually true. It is the marketization and development of non-state sectors, rather than the strong power of government and the state sector, that have driven the Chinese economy to grow fast and to be increasingly innovative. If China wants to sustain its economic performance, it must stay on the way to continuing marketization. Otherwise, China will fall into stagnation.     

机关运行经费基金化管理的战略构想

政府机关事务的高绩效管理是维护政府高效有序运行的关键,更是实现政府职能、促进社会经济发展、维护社会稳定和提升政府公信力的重要保障。许多先发国家如美国、英国等对机关运行实行了价值化管理改革,以基金作为撬动政府机关运行资金的杠杆,达到了机关服务高效优质、规范有序、监督有效和战略明确的目标。中国机关事务运行正处于由传统的事务性实物管理向现代化的价值治理转变的关键期,借鉴英美等国的基金管理和运行经验对于中国建立机关运行普遍服务基金制度,提高政府效能,实现国家治理体系和治理能力现代化具有重要意义。     

基于Web服务的异构数据库信息互用系统

异构数据库的集成是数据库界的一个研究热点,根据异构数据库的功能需求自行研制了1个异构数据库信息互用系统。该系统采用以Web服务组件为中心的3层分布式体系结构,Web服务组件完成全局查询语句的分解、翻译等工作,将Web服务引入本系统大大提高了系统的可管理性、可伸缩性和可维护性。     

数字化升级前后万能工具显微镜测量示值误差的不确定度评定与对比

目前我国传统的万能工具显微镜数量极大,很多企业,每个计量所、计量研究院至少有一台,该设备致使工作效率低下,因此急需对它进行技术改造和升级。数字式万能工具显微镜一个明显的标志就是读数的数字化,减少人工读数和计算,提高工作效率。应用计算机接口技术和信号处理的算法,对万能工具显微镜进行数字化改造,实现图像数据的自动采集和处理,大大地提高了工作效率,降低了人为手工操作的出错率和人眼读数带来的误差。在本文中我们将通过对我所目视式万能工具显微镜的数字化改造,实现其的数字化,降低设备更新的成本,提高工作效率,并对比改造前后测量结果准确性及不确定度评定,希望提高数据的准确性,对零件、试验筛的检测实现数字化,克服人眼读数带来的误差,提高计量测试工作的准确性和效率。     

One for all and all for one: privatization and Universal Service provision in the postal sector

Universal Service provision has a special role for the public utilities sector in many Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries. These public utilities have largely been subject to privatization during the last 3 decades. Efficiency effects of privatization are widely documented while the impacts on the quality and accessibility of the Universal Service are not much examined. By using a unique dataset on privatization for 21 countries over the period 1980–2007 for the postal sector, we are able to show that privatization, in particular formal privatization, has led to a decrease in the quality of the Universal Service.     

翻译和谐性的CIN阐释

从认知角度看,翻译实质上是一个建立在多个认知主体(原作者,译者,读者)心理空间之上的心理互动过程。翻译要实现和谐性就必须处理好各认知主体间的互动关系。Fauconnier和Turner提出的CIN(概念整合网络)机制,能较好地解释翻译活动中作者、译者、读者之间的心理互动及整合运作过程。     

团队生产的纳什均衡及合作博弈空间

本文在霍姆斯特姆所做贡献的基础上认为团队生产问题在本质上等同于囚徒困境问题,并指出霍姆斯特姆的实施强制契约的解决方法存在逻辑漏洞,在现实社会中一般是无效的.本文依据社会经济人个人效用最大化的条件定义了团队生产的合作战略博弈空间,合作战略博弈空间的均衡极点(即个人效用最大化点)就是团队生产收益分配博弈的纳什均衡解.如果个人收益的总和等于集体收益的最优值,那么个人理性与集体理性之间就达到统一,处于帕累托最优状态,即不存在道德风险;反之,则说明存在道德风险.并给出了在团队生产中通过改变合作战略博弈空间达到帕累托最优的一个特例,指出了科学合理地改变合作战略博弈空间在社会经济发展中的重要作用     

Growth Optimal Investment Strategy: The Impact of Reallocation Frequency and Heavy Tails

The strategy to maximize the long‐term growth rate of final wealth (maximum expected log strategy, maximum geometric mean strategy, Kelly criterion) is based on probability theoretic underpinnings and has asymptotic optimality properties. This article reviews the allocation of wealth in a two‐asset economy with one risky asset and a risk‐free asset. It is also shown that the optimal fraction to be invested in the risky asset (i) depends on the length of the basic return period and (ii) is lower for heavy‐tailed log returns than for light‐tailed log returns.