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31.
This paper presents rent models for retail and office property in the United Kingdom. Panel data are used covering eleven regions for 29 years, enabling us to overcome the limitations of a relatively short time series. We use an error correction model (ECM) framework to estimate long-run equilibrium relationships and short-term dynamic corrections. The combination of panel data and an ECM is an innovative approach that is still being developed in economics. We construct new supply series that combine infrequent stock data with more frequent construction data. Separate regional models are estimated for retail and office properties. The regions are then combined into a number of panels on the basis of the income and price elasticities in the long-run and short-run models. Unlike previous studies, we find no evidence of a board north–south divide between low growth and high growth regions. Like these studies we do find a London effect: in London, demand elasticities for space with respect to both price (rent) and income are much lower in magnitude. We conclude that, while the economic drivers may vary, there is no evidence of differences in the operation of the regional property markets outside London. Elasticities for retail and office are similar. Our final models are parsimonious with single measures of economic activity and of supply and always support the use of an ECM.  相似文献   
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33.
This paper compares the forecast performance of automatic leading indicators (ALIs) and macroeconometric structural models (MESMs) commonly used by non-academic macroeconomists. Inflation and GDP growth form the forecast objects for comparison, using data from China, Indonesia and the Philippines. ALIs are found to outperform MESMs for one-period-ahead forecasts, but this superiority disappears as the forecast horizon increases. It is also found that ALIs involve greater uncertainty in choosing indicators, mixing data frequencies and utilizing unrestricted VARs. Two ways of reducing the uncertainty are explored: (i) give theory priority in choosing indicators, and include theory-based disequilibrium shocks in the indicator sets; and (ii) reduce the VARs by means of the general-to-specific modeling procedure.  相似文献   
34.
郇红艳 《特区经济》2007,225(10):171-173
本文对阜阳市固定资产投资与经济增长之间的关系进行了定量分析,通过建立误差修正模型来反映二者之间长期均衡和短期波动关系,分析固定资产投资对当地经济增长的贡献水平,结果表明固定资产投资能有效的拉动当地经济增长。  相似文献   
35.
This paper supplements aggregate time-series analysis of the speed of employment adjustment with evidence from firm panel and flow data for two countries – Portugal and Germany – sharing unenviable labor market reputations. The Portuguese labor market is often portrayed as terminally inert, while that of Germany as badly ailing. We report broad consistency in the results across data sets in favor of Portugal. In benchmarking Portugal against Germany, the adverse reputation of the former – if not necessarily that of the latter country – may have been exaggerated in contemporary policy debate.We thank, without implicating, two anonymous reviewers of this journal for their helpful remarks on an earlier version of the paper.  相似文献   
36.
在分析江苏自主创新现状的基础上,运用协整检验、误差修正模型和Granger因果检验等计量方法,对江苏自主创新能力与经济增长之间的关系进行了实证研究。结果表明:二者之间存在长期稳定的均衡关系,自主创新能力是江苏经济增长的Granger原因。江苏应采取相关对策,促进自主创新能力的提升。  相似文献   
37.
Abstract. This paper reviews the literature on measurement error in the major US price indexes—the Consumer Price Index (CPI), the Producer Price Index (RPI), and the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) deflators. We take as our point of departure Triplett's, 1975, survey and focus on the studies of measurement error that have appeared since then. We review the problems of substitution bias, quality bias, new goods bias, and outlet substitution bias that are generally considered to be the main sources of error in price indexes. The bulk of the paper is devoted to problems in the CPI and PPI, as the GDP deflators tend to be based mainly on the components of these series. We find that there has been surprisingly little work on the problem of overall measurement error in any of these price indexes, and we conclude that there is very little scientific basis for the commonly accepted notion that measured inflation at 2 to 3 percent a year is consistent with price stability.  相似文献   
38.
敬军 《国际商务研究》2006,46(6):161-163
方位零值标校是识别器设邸统标校的一项重要内容。针对机动平台识别器设备进场安装,提出了几种标校方法,旨在解决机动平台识别器的方位零值标校问题。  相似文献   
39.
一种实用的无线信道纠错方法   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
核心竞争力是企业适应市场的潜力。中国某些企业由于缺乏核心竞争力而使其市场份额逐渐缩小。为了适应国际市场竞争的形势,发展企业核心竞争力是重中之重。为此,除了企业加强自身建设以外,政府应该利用法律和政策,充分利用加入WTO以后宝贵的“缓冲期”,使国内市场尽快完善,促进企业核心竞争力的不断提高。  相似文献   
40.
本文论述了中国实行对外开放是邓小平和中国人民把握历史和时代发展规律作出的战略抉择并取得了巨大成就;分析总结了中国入世前对外开放的基本特征及其原因;重点探讨了中国入世后对外开放的新阶段、新特点及其应对措施,推动对外开放新阶段和开放型经济新发展。  相似文献   
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