房地产经济与国民经济协调发展速度预测

采用线性规划与投入占用产业模型相结合的方法,把国民经济划分为25个部门,以投入占用产出模型为基础,附加约束条件,形成综合数学规划模型,作为增长速度的预测模型。     

Strategies to prevent economic recessions from causing business failure

An average of more than 500,000 businesses failed in the United States during each of the 10 recessions that have occurred since the end of World War II. Yet, scholar and practitioner understanding of how to prepare for and respond to the challenges of an economic downturn remains extremely limited. This article analyzes and synthesizes the information from academic theory and business experience on managing through an economic recession. To assist firms in successfully navigating economic recessions, we suggest a program that involves positioning by investing in multiple markets and geographies, planning by developing a turnaround plan for facing sharply declining sales, promoting by maintaining marketing initiatives, and preparing by acting in anticipation of economic recovery.     

经济全球化下跨国资本流动的新趋势与对策

经济全球化下,跨国资本流动产生了有别于传统的新趋势。以控制海外企业所有权的对外直接投资已成为跨国资本流向的主要形式。外资控股对产业结构会带来一定的影响,跨国资本出于全球战略考虑,会强化资本输入国产业畸形发展,对我国产业结构调整和升级带来不利影响。因此,对于跨国资本流动新趋势和作用应从经济全球化和国家战略发展的维度来思考对策。     

我国外汇储备过多的风险及管理对策

按照外汇储备适度性标准,我国过度持有的外汇储备高达1万多亿美元。过度持有外汇储备面临泡沫经济风险和外汇储备稳定性风险。如何控制外汇储备的超常增长,开拓有效使用外汇储备的渠道,就成为我国经济运行中急待解决的问题。本文对各国外汇储备管理制度加以概括,并在此基础上提出了构建新的管理模式、监控和打击投机资本、弥补养老金和社会保障缺口、提高外商直接投资准入门槛、推动外汇储备投资多元化和拓宽政策性金融业务等有效使用外汇储备的思路和对策。     

浅析体育无形资产与我国物流经济发展的关系

随着我国物流经济的发展和完善,推动体育经济进一步发展,加快了体育产业化进程。体育无形资产作为重要的体育经济资源,对体育的发展具有重要作用。对体育无形资产进行深入研究,广泛及合理地开发体育无形资产,用好和管理好无形资产,对于加快我国体育事业的发展有着至关重要的意义。本文通过对我国体育无形资产的特点的分析与研究,揭示体育无形资产与物流经济发展的关系,来探索如何提高体育无形资产的开发与利用,从而振兴体育产业,发展体育经济。     

大力发展低碳经济是解决经济发展与环境保护问题的有效途径

发展低碳经济是解决经济发展与环境保护问题的必然选择和有效途径,其具有降低碳强度、实现低碳生活、加大能源替代、发展低碳能源和无碳能源控制经济体的碳排放弹性三大关键要素,以及经济性、技术性两个重要特征。应提高资源、能源的利用效率,促进我国经济结构和工业结构的优化升级,遏制奢侈浪费现象,在城市化过程中大力推广低碳理念,建立应对气候变化的法律法规,以大力发展低碳经济,有效解决经济发展与环境保护问题。     

A pragmatic service typology: capturing the distinctive dynamics of services in time and space

Many service classifications have provided helpful yet partial perspectives on the heterogeneity of services. This paper reconciles and integrates different earlier classifications into a new holistic typology of the service economy which is based on detailed statistical service sectors. Moreover, the paper assesses the empirical value of this taxonomy to capture the diversity of services development in time and space. A regional analysis of employment data in Germany provides evidence that knowledge intensive as well as business services follow very different sectoral and spatial dynamics than operational and consumer services. This typology yields differential insights in longitudinal and comparative regional analysis of the service economy.     

Exchange rate versus inflation targeting: a theory of output fluctuations in traded and non-traded sectors

This paper develops a basic model for output fluctuations in traded and non-traded sectors under two alternative monetary policy regimes; exchange rate targeting (or monetary union) and inflation targeting. The conventional wisdom from one-sector models says that inflation targeting gives better output stabilization than exchange rate targeting when demand shocks occur, but the opposite when supply shocks occur. In a model with a traded and a non-traded sector, we show that the conventional wisdom holds for the non-traded sector. However, for the traded sector, we show that inflation targeting destabilizes output compared with exchange rate targeting when both supply and demand shocks occur. The only shocks where inflation targeting provides the better output stability for the traded sector are shocks to world market prices. The two-sector structure introduces new mechanisms that may turn around earlier results for aggregate production. For instance, a demand shock may induce higher aggregate output fluctuations with inflation targeting than with exchange rate targeting. Furthermore, a positive demand shock may prove to be contractionary under inflation targeting.     

The Concept and Application of Managerial Competence in Developed and Developing Economies: A Two Country Analysis

Abstract

This paper reviews the concept of managerial competence as applied in transportation management in developing and developed economies, using Boyatzis' (1982) model of effective job performance. Boyatzis postulated that effective performance of a job is the attainment of specific results or outcomes required by the job through specific actions while maintaining or being consistent with policies, procedures, and conditions of the organizational environment. Literature search and interviews with managers with extensive experience in Nigeria and the United Kingdom reveal that Boyatzis' constructs are valid within the developed economies. However, within the developing economies, it is found that modifications are required to accommodate cultural and socio-political realities and to match the skills of individuals with their current and future roles in an organization. The study also found that there are similarities in competency requirements between the two countries. It is concluded with a recommendation that management methods be adapted rather than adopted, via such strategies as the community concept approach which emphasizes, for example, on the job training with formal theoretical reinforcement at later stages, and that practical universality of management strategies may be a myth.     

我国区域间产业竞争力比较研究

产业竞争是市场经济和区域竞争最基本的表现之一，具有竞争优势的产业或产业群的形成是区域经济发展的核心，区域产业结构调整的最终目的是为了提高在区域间的产业竞争力。本文通过研制的区域间投入产出联结模型，比较和分析了我国各区域各产业在各区域市场中的占有率情况，以揭示我国当前区域间产业竞争力的总体状况和表现。