抵押物处置与农房抵押贷款困境：基于演化博弈的分析

研究目的:分析农民住房财产权抵押(简称农房抵押)贷款困境的主要原因以及抵押物处置对农房抵押贷款行为的影响机理。研究方法:演化博弈论。研究结果:农房抵押贷款发展面临困境的关键在于金融机构惜贷,而抵押物处置难是激发金融机构惜贷的重要原因,但是降低抵押物处置难度只是推动农房抵押贷款发展的必要而非充分条件。研究结论:要促进农房抵押贷款发展,除了必须降低抵押物处置难度外,还需要构建完善的农房抵押贷款制度体系。     

Does international capital flow lead to a housing boom? A time-varying evidence from China

This paper examines the causal relationship between the housing prices (HP) and the international capital flows (ICF) in China. With structural changes existing, we find that long-run relationship using full-sample data is unstable, suggesting that traditional Granger causality test is not reliable. However, we further find an unstable short-run relationship between ICF and HP when assessing the stability of the parameters and there are bidirectional causal relationships between ICF and HP for several sub-periods. Additionally, our findings indicate both positive and negative bidirectional causal relations between the series. Based on the arbitrage of ICF, the results suggest that the rise of Chinese HP is the underlying force for the inflows of international capital. Meanwhile, a surge in capital inflows may be accompanied by a rise in the price of housing. This confirms the theoretical analysis that there is an interconnected transmission mechanism between the ICF and the HP, which is diverse and depends both on the flow of ICF and on other factors.     

农户语境下的住房财产权与抵押登记问题

研究目的:为国家试点政策"农民住房财产权抵押贷款"的抵押登记落实,解决理论和操作困难,探索可行的操作路径。研究方法:实证分析、历史分析、法律解释。研究结果:(1)以户为单位的宅基地使用权决定着农民住房财产权的归属,家庭户成员对住房财产权享有共有权利;(2)抵押登记是表意行政行为,以形式审查为主。抵押期限、反担保主债权数额、超额抵押等问题属于民事意思自治,行政权不应越界干涉。研究结论:住房财产权抵押登记的诸多困难,需要综合考虑理论与实际,以寻求现实中可操作的方法。     

Being Good Parents or Being Good Citizens: Dilemmas and Contradictions of Urban Families in Middle‐Class Enclaves and Mixed Neighbourhoods in Germany

In recent years, cities have become ever more attractive to middle‐class families. On the one hand, middle‐class families tend to withdraw into (often newly built) socially homogeneous middle‐class neighbourhoods. On the other hand, they are also known to move into inner‐city and socially mixed areas, thus triggering processes of gentrification. Academic literature has often denounced these housing choices as being either ‘separatist’ or ‘revanchist’, more broadly categorized as strategies of ‘middle‐class disaffiliation’. Although there is a grain of truth in these interpretations, the reality is certainly more complicated. In our research on middle‐class parents’ housing and neighbourhood choices as well as their patterns of neighbourhood use, carried out in each of the two types of residential area mentioned above, we have only very rarely found an explicit desire to draw boundaries that exclude those ‘beneath’ them. We rather argue that the housing choices and neighbourhood‐related activities of middle‐class family households are heavily influenced by the specific dilemmas the interviewees face as (working) urban parents. While a significant number of respondents worry about the social sustainability, justice and cohesion of urban society, they are also concerned about the future prospects of their children. Many find it difficult to reconcile these conflicting normative demands under the prevailing circumstances.     

房屋建筑工程监理管理的问题及创新策略试析

近年来,随着改革开放的不断推进,我国的社会发展在不断加快,经济水平越来越高,极大程度的改善了我国人民的生活环境和工作质量。与此同时越来越多的人们将发展的目光投入到房屋建筑工程当中,希望相关工程的整体安全水平能够有效发展,提高安全水平。本文主要针对房屋建筑工程监理管理工作过程中所出现的问题,以及对应的解决措施进行了分析和论述,旨在通过创新的方法来解决实际生活中遇到的问题,以供相关人士交流参考。     

国内外养老地产发展文献综述

在中国人口老龄化加快的背景下,探讨如何建立养老地产体制显得尤为迫切。国外养老地产发展相对较早,有着丰富的经验。文章对国内国外的学者在养老地产方面的研究做一个归纳与总结,试图为国内学者后续研究提供线索和框架,对政府部门和我国养老地产投资者提供理论指导和借鉴。     

价值工程在居住小区开发方案中的应用

在用价值工程原理对优化后的居住小区开发方案与原居住小区开发方案进行比较,验证了居住小区开发方案优化模型的正确性。     

The Media's Role in Influencing Perceptions of Housing Values and the Resulting Impact on the Macroeconomy

The housing market is a major component of the economy and persistent negative media reports can adversely affect perceptions and expectations of homeowners as to the value of their home. As a result, households reduce their expenditures and increase their savings in an effort to rebuild lost wealth. In the short run the economy suffers and the recession is magnified. This paper demonstrates, through an empirical study, how negative media reports regarding the deteriorating conditions of the national housing market affects what households feel their housing is worth.     

房地产开发商经营行为分析

在我国的房地产市场中,消费者的需求越来越多地是被价格的上涨而抑制房价的上涨是与需求的快速增长紧密联系的,同时开发商不愿通过灵活的定价去适应自己的产量的行为也是助推房价的重要原因;另外由于投资资金不足,导致建设资金不能与施工规模同步扩大,这不利于房屋产量的提高,进而不利于房屋价格的稳定。     

Fundamentals or trends? A long-term perspective on house prices

Using a long-term time series covering 350 years of house prices along the Herengracht in Amsterdam, we examine whether a fundamental factor or a trend explains house prices and whether their explanatory power is time varying. We find that agents in the housing market switch in their formation of expectations about future changes in house prices between fundamental and momentum strategies. Specifically, we show that agents base their expectations more on fundamentals during economic slowdowns and more on recent trends or momentum during economic booms.