从欧洲主权债务危机析我国地方政府债务的安全

本文研究了欧洲主权债务危机的现状与成因,并从比较与借鉴的角度分析了中国地方政府债务的现状与成因,指出中国地方政府由于负债过高因而存在较大的隐性债务风险。研究结果表明,中国地方政府债务与欧洲主权债务有着本质的不同,中国地方政府债务隐性风险尚在可控制范围,中国不会爆发地方政府债务危机。     

Modelling multivariate moments in European Stock Markets

This research extends the results of Mauleón and Perote, and derives analytically a general framework for the multivariate Edgeworth Sargan (ES) density. Its capability to account for multivariate moments beyond correlation is shown–mainly, co-skewness, co-kurtosis and co-volatility. The multivariate ES is then fitted to the residuals of a VAR model applied to three European stock market series of daily data (FTSE, DAX, CAC40), accounting for univariate as well as multivariate departures from normality. The complete model – with nearly 60 parameters – is set up and estimated jointly by maximum likelihood. Two alternative multivariate probability density functions, student's t and the normal skewed, are also estimated and compared to the ES. The empirical results show: (1) in spite of the high nonlinearity and complexity of the model, it is feasible to fit it to empirical data; (2) statistically significant multivariate effects, other than correlations, are found, and (3) the tail fit of the ES is significantly better.     

Exchange rate and inflation risk premia in the EMU

This paper tests the effects of exchange rate and inflation risk factors on asset pricing in the European Union (EU) stock markets. This investigation was motivated by the results of Vassalou [J. Int. Money Finance, 2000, 19, 433–470] showing that both exchange rate and foreign inflation are generally priced in equity returns, and it studies the opportunity of evaluating the causality between these sources of risk after the elimination of the EU currency risks because of the adoption of the single currency. Our results show that both exchange rate and inflation risks are significantly priced in the pre- and post-euro periods. Moreover, the sizes of exchange rate and inflation risk premiums are economically significant in the pre- and post-euro periods. Futhermore, the UK and excluding-UK inflation risk premiums explain, in part, our evidence concerning a large EUR/GBP exchange rate risk premium and the existence of an economically significant domestic non-diversifiable risk after euro adoption. Hence overlooking inflation risk factors can produce an under/overestimation of the currency premiums and a miscalculation of the degree of integration of stock markets.     

Financial literacy and portfolio diversification

We use a survey of individual investors disclosed by the Portuguese Securities Commission (CMVM) in May 2005 to study the impact of investors’ levels of financial literacy on portfolio diversification. We consider distinct aspects of financial literacy, and control for socioeconomic and behavioral differences among individual groups of investors. Our results suggest that investors’ educational levels and their financial knowledge have a positive impact on investor diversification. The information sources used by retail investors to gather information on markets and financial products also have a significant impact on the number of different assets included in a portfolio.     

欧洲银行联盟的设想、争论及前景

2012年以来,欧洲银行联盟作为欧洲应对欧债危机的重要举措被提出,并在几个月内取得显著进展,但目前,围绕欧洲银行联盟作用及相关制度设计还存在较多争论与分歧。文章详细回顾了欧洲银行联盟设想的细化与改进过程,以及各方对重大争议问题的相关看法,指出欧盟各国将会努力推动银行联盟建设,但由于涉及问题的复杂性和艰巨性,银行联盟建设只能分步进行,其长期作用有待观察。     

塞浦路斯银行危机及其引发的思考

塞浦路斯银行危机的爆发使欧洲再次成为世界经济的焦点。近五年来欧元区的灾难没有平息,塞浦路斯银行危机又一次加剧了欧元区的经济动荡,它是欧债危机的延续,塞浦路斯银行危机的发生与希腊债务危机有密切联系。希腊债务危机的教训已刻骨铭心,这次塞浦路斯银行危机更是引人深刻的思考,不仅是在欧元区,在世界的其他国家或地区亦应如此。     

Effects of US interest rates and news on the daily interest rates of a highly indebted emerging economy: evidence from Turkey

It has been widely demonstrated that asset prices react sensitively to macroeconomic news releases both in the industrialized countries and emerging markets. However, there are contradicting results on the effects of changes in interest rates of industrialized countries on asset prices of emerging markets. In heavily indebted economies, in addition to these factors, political news and announcements from international institutions that may increase or decrease concerns about debt sustainability can affect asset prices as well. This potential notwithstanding, there has been relatively limited empirical work on the effects of such variables. The objective of this study is to quantify the impact of all of these factors on interest rates of a highly indebted emerging economy. Using daily post-crisis data of the Turkish economy we show that both good and bad political news, International Monetary Fund announcements, and European Union related news significantly affected secondary market government securities yields, whereas volatility of yields was affected mainly by bad news releases. Changes in US Treasury bond rates and ‘appetite’ for risk of foreign investors did not affect government securities yields in the period analysed.     

提高地方高校精品课程建设质量的实践探索

如何提升高校的教学质量,是高等院校教学改革与发展的永恒主题,也是教育部在＂十一五＂期间实施质量工程一期工程的重大举措,＂十二五＂期间国家加大投入进行教学工程建设。本文针对＂十一五＂期间质量工程项目之精品课程建设情况,结合广西民族大学在精品课程建设过程中取得的经验,对精品课程建设在地方院校如何进行特色建设以及如何真正应用于教学,为提高教学质量服务等问题进行了论述和探讨。以期对地方高校提高精品课程建设质量提供有益的启示。     

Industrial relations in South-Eastern Europe: disaggregating the contexts

This study critically evaluates industrial relations (IR) in South-Eastern Europe and points towards future practical and research-oriented opportunities in the region. A survey of organizational policies and practices has been used to explore the state of IR in both private and public organizations in this region. Specifically, the data, collected in 2009–2010 (including the latest changes due to the economic crisis), cover 840 different organizations located in Slovenia, Serbia, Bulgaria, Greece and Cyprus. We discuss the development of ‘regional-specific’ IR policies, the ‘importing’ of varieties of capitalism models, the diffusion of the European Union social model and the role of foreign MNCs in changing IR in the region.     

质量导向下的中小物流企业联盟收益分配策略

文章以中小物流企业联盟收益分配为研究对象,在阐述中小物流企业联盟的概念、类型以及收益分配的目的和内涵的基础上,针对中小物流企业联盟的三种类型,分析了收益分配模式选择和成员企业收益构成的差异,提出了物流任务分解和以成员企业物流服务质量为导向的收益分配思路,构建了混合模式下的中小物流企业联盟收益分配模型,并以收益分配相对复杂的盟主型联盟为例进行了实例分析,说明了模型的有效性、合理性和创新性。文章提出的收益分配模型基本框架比较完整,基于物流服务质量的收益分配激励方式具有一定的创新性,对现阶段我国中小物流企业联盟实践具有较强的借鉴和指导意义。