深圳社会组织管理体制改革的经验和借鉴

我国社会组织实行的双重管理体制,限制了社会组织的发展。深圳于2004年开始改革社会登记管理制度。2006年底实现了行业协会直接登记,2008年开始对工商经济类、社会福利类、公益慈善类社会组织实行直接登记。深圳的实践表明了政府对社会组织监管方式的理性回归,也为我国社会组织管理体制改革提供了经验。     

干部经历会影响农户选择电商销售渠道吗?——基于荔枝种植户的实证分析

基于印记理论,选取2020年广东和广西两省荔枝主产区的964户种植户作为调研对象,运用logit模型进行实证分析,探索干部经历对农户选择电商销售渠道的影响。结果显示:干部经历对荔枝种植户采用电商销售具有显著的正向影响,而农户自身具有的销售渠道资源也是荔枝种植户选择电商销售的动力之一,其与干部经历带有的政治资本共同推动种植户选择电商销售。因此,要发挥具有干部经历的农户在农产品电商发展中的带头人作用,培育当地的销售服务团队与提供更多的销售渠道资源,并联合社会多方力量加大对农产品电商销售的培训力度。     

基于用户体验的农村旅游厕所管理研究——以广东省为例

农村旅游厕所是我国厕所革命的短板,存在重建设轻管理等问题,下一阶段厕所工作重点在于如何"管好"、"用好"上。基于用户体验逻辑的实证研究有助于为农村旅游厕所提升公共服务质量和运营管理水平提供参考借鉴。本文运用权重综合评价方法,构建了用户体验评价指标体系,选取广东省农村旅游厕所206座进行实地评测,结合大众用户对农村旅游厕所的体验偏好调查,利用IPA方法分析农村旅游厕所用户体验评价指标的重要程度和实际表现感知,提出丰富用户体验、加强卫生保洁、创新经营模式等政策建议。     

体验旅游与济南历史文化名城景观塑造问题的思考

随着生活水平的提高,现代人的旅游模式已进化到"体验旅游"这一高级阶段,针对体验旅游的特征,本文对济南的城市景观进行了思考,分析目前存在的不足,并提出了强化易识别的城市景观结构;营造多样性的城市景现环境体验氛围;突出差异性的城市景观元素;完善参与性旅游的互动平台的相应解决策略.     

Testing time-homogeneity of rating transitions after origination of debt

When modelling rating transitions as continuous-time Markov processes, in practice, time-homogeneity is a common assumption, yet restrictive, in order to reduce the complexity of the model. This paper investigates whether rating transition probabilities change after the origination of debt. Accordingly, we develop a likelihood-ratio test for the hypothesis of time-homogeneity. The alternative is a step function of transition intensities. The test rejects time-homogeneity for rating transitions observed over 7 years in a real corporate portfolio. Especially 1-year transition probabilities increase over the first year after origination. This time effect suggests that banks should manage their credit portfolios with respect to the age of debt.      

体验经济下许昌八柏冢景区发展规划探讨

许昌市是一个悠久的历史文化名城,八柏冢景区像一块幽静的处女地镶嵌在许昌市区城北,整个景区既有幽静的环境、庄严的寺庙、雄伟的冢墓,又有优美的传说和葱郁、古老、奇特的树木,是精华荟萃的休闲胜地。对八柏冢景区的旅游资源优势进行分析的基础上,同时结合体验旅游的大趋势和八柏冢景区的实际特点,提出了八柏冢景区旅游发展定位及资源开发策略。     

Assessing preferences of potential visitors for nature-based experiences in protected areas

Visitor experiences have been identified as critical for the sustainable management of tourism destinations. However, researchers have given limited attention to how to measure visitor preferences for different, newly proposed experiences, especially in nature-based tourism contexts. This paper aims to capture potential visitors' preferences for nature-based visitor experiences that would alleviate pressure on the iconic summit of Mount Warning, Australia. Findings reveal a preference for passive rather than active experiences. Consistency between the four measurement approaches used was high. Future studies should consider adopting multiple measures to underpin evidence-based management that informs the design of nature-based tourism experiences.     

DETERMINANTS OF SOVEREIGN BONDS RATINGS: A ROBUSTNESS ANALYSIS

Several studies have attempted to deduce the determinants of sovereign bond ratings. In this study, Extreme Bounds Analysis is applied to approximately 30 factors proposed by the literature in order to assess their robustness with a focus on the relative importance that economic and political variables receive in the shaping of the ratings. We find that policies that constrain the public sector are among the most robust. Variables such as rule of law, openness to economic flows, central bank independence, and market friendly policies are found to be more robustly correlated with the ratings than foreign reserves, fiscal deficit, sovereign bond yields, and economic growth.     

创业教育内容对学生创业意愿的影响

本文从创业教育内容的视角,研究学生在校经历、创业知识和创业能力对大学生创业意愿的影响。研究发现,学生的个人特质（本研究采用前瞻性人格）对创业态度的影响显著,学生在校经历、创业知识和创业能力对创业意愿的标准化总效应依次为0．254、0．098和0．197。由此建议创业教育须有针对性地培养大学生创业方面的人格特质;或者甄别出具有前瞻性人格特质的学生进行专门的指导和教育。     

高管法律执业经历、内部控制与上市公司违法行为研究

许多上市公司拥有法律从业背景的董事、监事、高管,知法懂法的他们可能会更加依法办事,但也有可能因为对法律的了解以及应对法律问题的自信而进行更多操控,导致公司更易卷入诉讼案件中。本文使用Logit模型,将上市公司按照是否存在内控缺陷进行分组,检验具备法律执业背景的高管所在公司是否更容易被卷入诉讼纠纷。实证和稳健性检验的结果均显示,管理层拥有法律执业经历人员比例越高的上市公司反而越容易卷入被起诉纠纷,但是更好的内部控制会削弱这种情况的发生。本文丰富了高管特质与企业表现相关研究,也为上市公司审慎选择公司高管、加强内部控制、规范经营行为提供了有益启示。