银行监管的微观基础和战略监管体系选择

本探讨了银行监管的微观基础，认为在信息不对称以及银行业不完全竞争的作用下，银行业具有内在的不稳定性，需要外部监管力量的支撑来维护稳健经营，但是政府机构监管作为监管垄断力量会引发一系列新的道德危害从而导致监管失灵。中详细分析了各种重要的监管措施带来的正负影响，在此基础上提出监管的战略体系至少应当包括监管、激励结构、市场约束和公司治理。     

中国金融垄断的一个例证--实际利差扩大化

随着股份制商业银行的壮大和中小金融机构的兴起以及外资银行的进入，我国国有商业银行一统天下的局面有了很大改观，但是国有商业银行的垄断地位却没有发生根本性改变。国有商业银行依然凭借其垄断地位，直接或间接地获取垄断利润。本从国有商业银行存贷款利差分析入手，阐述了实际利差扩大化的产生机理，指出国有商业银行垄断地位是实际利差扩大化的制度基础，从而表明实际利差扩大化正是我国金融垄断的一个有力证据。     

The macroeconomic determinants of technology stock price volatility

Stock prices reflect the value of anticipated future profits of companies. Since business cycle conditions impact the future profitability of firms, expectations about the business cycle will affect the current value of firms. This paper uses daily and monthly data from July 1986 to December 2000 to investigate the macroeconomic determinants of US technology stock price conditional volatility. Technology share prices are measured using the Pacific Stock Exchange Technology 100 Index. One of the novel features of this paper is to incorporate a link between technology stock price movements and oil price movements. The empirical results indicate that the conditional volatilities of oil prices, the term premium, and the consumer price index each have a significant impact on the conditional volatility of technology stock prices. Conditional volatilities calculated using daily stock return data display more persistence than conditional volatilities calculated using monthly data. These results further our understanding of the interaction between oil prices and technology share prices and should be of use to investors, hedgers, managers, and policymakers.     

Knowledge transfer costs and dependence as determinants of financial reporting

Abstract This paper examines the circumstances in which financial reporting exists. Jensen and Meckling (1995 ) observe that where there are high knowledge transfer costs, then decentralisation is necessary; and that where decentralisation occurs there is a control problem, which can be addressed by providing a control system. I predict that where there are high knowledge transfer costs there will be a control system; if the control system uses financial reports, these will occur for activities with high knowledge transfer costs. The ability to decentralise is reduced where dependence makes it potentially costly to allow a subordinate to make decisions about the activity. The paper predicts that high dependence will be negatively associated with the existence of financial reports. The results confirm the predictions that financial reports are positively associated with knowledge transfer costs and negatively associated with dependence.     

县乡财政:困境与出路

近年来,我国的财政收入以年均20%的速度增长。但在财政收入总量增长的同时,基层财力不足问题严重。主要表现为县乡财政困难和庞大的债务问题。据不完全统计,目前我国县乡政府的债务总规模在4000亿元到1万亿元之间。县乡财政困难不仅严重影响基层经济的发展和公共物品的提供,同时也制约了我国社会整体发展水平的提高,更不利于全面建设小康社会。解决县乡财政困难问题已刻不容缓。本文在考察了县乡财政困难具体情况的基础上,从我国现行财税体制、经济和社会因素等方面进行了多角度的原因分析,力图为县乡财政解困提出一些切实可行的政策建议。     

政府主导还是市场主导--我国转轨金融运行机制的评价研究

转轨过程中,我国金融运行机制是采取政府主导还是市场主导模式是经济学界争论的焦点,文章应用ARCH类模型对我国金融运行机制进行实证研究,结果表明我国金融运行机制与西方市场经济国家存在显著区别。在我国转轨的特定阶段,金融系统无法依靠自身的力量达到稳定状态,只有靠外部力量的非市场干预才能实现金融系统的平稳运行。目前在金融系统自身不具备自我稳定的功能条件下,政府的外部干预是金融系统平稳运行的前提,否则会导致金融系统陷入剧烈的波动之中。     

金融风险管理的演进:动因、影响及启示

近半个世纪以来,无论是金融风险管理的理念和组织架构,还是金融风险管理的具体内容和方法,都发生了巨大的变化。本文从金融机构对自身利益的追逐、外部环境的复杂多变、金融理论与技术的进步以及人们对重大损失性事件的反思等方面,深刻地揭示了推动金融风险管理演进的主要因素,沿着这一思路,本文进一步分析了这一演进给金融领域带来的深远影响及其对我国金融业发展的启示意义。     

可持续增长率与财务管理目标相关性分析

可持续增长率是企业现有财务资源所能够支持的销售收入的最大增长率,代表企业最适宜的增长速度。企业的财务管理目标是企业价值最大化,而决定企业价值的重要因素是由销售收入增长所带来的未来现金流量。企业以可持续增长率作为销售增长目标,有利于企业价值的持续增加;而将企业价值最大化作为财务管理目标又有利于企业的可持续增长,可持续增长率与财务管理目标密切相关。本文将以可持续增长率与财务管理目标的相关性作为研究起点,试图从财务管理目标的角度来进一步认识可持续长率。     

中国农村金融体系的资金配置功能分析

按照金融功能观,资金配置是金融体系最重要的功能.中国农村金融体系未能有效地发挥资金配置功能,是因为过去的农村金融改革主要遵循金融机构观.金融机构观使得农村金融体系不能适应外部环境,从而也就不能满足农村经济发展的需要.     

Monetary Policy and Financial Markets

Monetary policy and financial markets are intrinsically linked. Central banks conduct monetary policy by influencing financial market prices. Financial market prices reflect the expectations of market participants about future economic and monetary developments. Monetary policy works primarily through expectations. Transparency and credibility render monetary policy more effective. However, they are no substitutes for action. If a credible central bank uses words with the explicit aim of substituting them for action, it will risk losing credibility. To avoid what has been described as “the dog chasing its tail” problem, central banks must exercise caution in basing their monetary policy decisions on financial market information. The information about expected future developments reflected in market prices must be continuously cross-checked against economic and monetary indicators in what amounts to a “checks and balances” approach to monetary policy.