浅析国际金融危机下中日经贸合作新契机

本文将就金融危机爆发前后中日在贸易额、依存关系及跨国投资方向三方面的变化,分析其产生的经济原因,即合作对等性加强及贸易保护主义抬头,并利用贸易结合度指数论证在新经济形势下中日双边贸易合作的新契机,并对于中日贸易合作前景提出展望。     

金融公司行政托管法律制度的完善——从公司控制权的角度分析

行政托管是我国较有特色的一项处置高风险金融公司的制度,但目前该项制度存在法律依据不足、法律关系不明、法律责任不到位等弊端,从公司控制权的角度看托管人的权责应当匹配,建议将行政托管规定为一种行政处罚措施,分重组式托管与清算式托管进行不同规定,尤其要注意完善托管人义务与责任的相关法律规定,以保障金融市场的稳定与金融消费者的合法权益。     

企业财务管理信息化建设分析

积极推进企业财务管理信息化建设,不但是探索企业资金集中统一管理的有效途径,也是当前加强企业管理、深化企业改革、规范建立现代企业制度过程中的一项重要工作,特别是随着国有企业改革的深化和我国加入世贸组织,积极推进财务管理信息化建设,不仅有助于加强企业内部财务管理与资金监控,从而提高资金使用效率和实现风险控制,而且对于增强我国企业的核心竞争力,积极参与国际竞争有着十分重要的现实意义和深远的战略意义。本文分析了我国企业财务管理信息化建设中存在的问题,提出了加快企业财务管理信息化建设的对策。     

区域经济协调发展的金融法控制研究

随着市场经济制度的不断完善,同时区域经济发展的差距也拉大了,虽然区域经济不协调发展的解决有多种办法,但金融法作为宏观调控居于核心地位。本文首先对区域经济协调发展金融法调控的内涵和相关的理论进行了分析,紧接着指出我国区域经济协调发展金融法调控的现状、存在的问题;最后提出完善我国区域经济协调发展金融调控法律制度的对策建议。     

后危机时代海外共同基金业的发展

共同基金作为历史悠久、运作规范的主流投资品种,在资产管理行业中具有举足轻重的地位。在次贷危机对全球金融业产生严重冲击的背景下,全球共同基金业也未能独善其身。但随着危机热浪退去,海外共同基金业又重新显示出旺盛的生命力。本文梳理了2009年以来海外共同基金的发展状况,从规模、类型、申购、费率、交易自动化等多个角度进行深入分析,从而得出共同基金产业后危机时代呈现出的一些新特点,及其与全球金融市场之间的联动与契合。     

新疆金融结构与经济增长关系的实证分析

本文首先对新疆金融结构与经济增长进行了相关关系、因果关系分析;其次利用协整理论,建立新疆金融结构与经济增长之间的协整方程,以考察新疆金融结构的变化及其对经济发展产生的影响;最后对其实证结果进行解析。     

东道国金融发展对中国企业对外直接投资的影响:二元边际与生产率门槛

文章基于中国上市企业2008-2015年对外直接投资数据,分析东道国金融发展在扩展边际和集约边际上对企业对外直接投资决策以及投资所需生产率水平的影响。研究发现,在不同生产率的企业中东道国金融发展的影响是异质性的。较高的金融发展水平会系统性地降低投资所需的生产率水平,进而促进中国企业对外直接投资的概率、次数和规模。进一步的研究还发现,在经济发展水平比中国高的东道国金融发展的生产率效应更显著,投资所需生产率下降得更多。尽管如此,高经济发展水平东道国的最低生产率门槛仍然高于低经济发展水平的东道国。控制了金融发展指标和企业全要素生产率的内生性后,结果依然稳健。     

Financial crisis,GDP variation and earnings management in Europe

The purpose of this study is to examine the consequences of the financial crisis on the European companies’ in conjunction with earnings management practice. It focuses on financially distressed companies that audited by a big 4 auditor during recession years. The study makes use of discretionary accruals as a proxy for earnings management and studies the influence of big 4 auditor, in order to shed more light on possible causes for shifting earnings. The findings of the study provide evidence that financially distressed companies that audited by a big 4 auditor exhibit lower discretionary accruals. The results reveal that Greek and Spanish companies reduce earnings management manipulation during recession. In contrast, Portuguese, Irish and Italian companies show mixed results. They tend to reduce earnings management practices, but there are reasons that influence managers’ behavior to increase earnings management. The findings of this study can be useful for both investors and standard setting authorities.     

Dynamical macroprudential stress testing using network theory

The increasing frequency and scope of financial crises have made global financial stability one of the major concerns of economic policy and decision makers. This has led to the understanding that financial and banking supervision has to be thought of as a systemic task, focusing on the interdependent relations among the institutions. Using network theory, we develop a dynamic model that uses a bipartite network of banks and their assets to analyze the system’s sensitivity to external shocks in individual asset classes and to evaluate the presence of features underlying the system that could lead to contagion. As a case study, we apply the model to stress test the Venezuelan banking system from 1998 to 2013. The introduced model was able to capture monthly changes in the structure of the system and the sensitivity of bank portfolios to different external shock scenarios and to identify systemic vulnerabilities and their time evolution. The model provides new tools for policy makers and supervision agencies to use for macroprudential dynamical stress testing.     

Bailout uncertainty in a microfounded general equilibrium model of the financial system

This paper develops a micro-founded general equilibrium model of the financial system composed of ultimate borrowers, ultimate lenders and financial intermediaries. The model is used to investigate the impact of uncertainty about the likelihood of governmental bailouts on leverage, interest rates, the volume of defaults and the real economy. The distinction between risk and uncertainty is implemented by applying the multiple priors framework to beliefs about the probability of bailout.Results of the analysis include: (i) An unanticipated increase in bailout uncertainty raises interest rates, the volume of defaults in both the real and financial sectors and may lead to a total drying up of credit markets. (ii) Lower exante bailout uncertainty is conducive to higher leverage, which in turn raises moral hazard and makes the economy more vulnerable to expost increases in bailout uncertainty. (iii) Bailout uncertainty affects the likelihood of bubbles, the amplitude of booms and busts as well as the banking and the credit spreads. (iv) Higher bailout uncertainty is associated with higher returns’ variability in diversified portfolios and higher systemic risks, (v) Pre-crisis expansionary monetary policy reinforces those effects by inducing higher aggregate leverage levels. (vi) The larger the change in bailout uncertainty and the change in aversion to this uncertainty, the stronger the pre-crisis buildup and the deeper the ensuing crisis.A central policy implication of the analysis is that the vaguest is bailout policy prior to a crisis, the lower is the magnitude of investments destroyed or missed due to errors in evaluating bailout and other intervention policies. On the other hand, the clearer is bailout policy upon the eruption of a crisis, the smaller the contraction of credit and the destruction of investment activity.