Per capita output convergence across Asian countries: Evidence from covariate unit root test with an endogenous structural break

This study investigates long-run convergence of per capita output across ten Asian countries over 1960 to 2014 by taking advantage of possible economic growth determinants, which may be responsible for setting Asian countries on a long-term steady-state growth path. We simultaneously examine the presence of output convergence in the region, as well as the statistical significance of these economic growth determinants, by using a unit root test with a stationary covariate. In addition, the study allows for the presence of endogenous structural changes in the time series under investigation in order to capture sharp drops in per capita outputs, which may be brought about by influential economic events, such as serious economic slumps in domestic economies or the global financial crises in 1997–98 and 2008–09. The limiting distribution of the covariate unit root test that permits structural breaks is also derived. The results show significant evidence to support the convergence hypothesis. In particular, asymptotically absolute convergence holds among Hong Kong, Korea, Singapore, and Taiwan. In addition, Thailand shows a convergence tendency in terms of asymptotically relative convergence toward Singapore. Malaysia, Indonesia, and India also turn out to converge toward Hong Kong in an asymptotically relative sense. Certain potential growth determinants, such as the trade/GDP ratio, inflation rate, government expenditure/GDP ratio, and quality of human capital, may help these countries achieve and maintain the long-run convergence process toward the reference countries in the region.     

Performance of periodic time series models in forecasting

The paper provides a comparison of alternative univariate time series models that are advocated for the analysis of seasonal data. Consumption and income series from (West-) Germany, United Kingdom, Japan and Sweden are investigated. The performance of competing models in forecasting is used to assess the adequacy of a specific model. To account for nonstationarity first and annual differences of the series are investigated. In addition, time series models assuming periodic integration are evaluated. To describe the stationary dynamics (standard) time invariant parametrizations are compared with periodic time series models conditioning the data generating process on the season. Periodic models improve the in-sample fit considerably but in most cases under study this model class involves a loss in ex-ante forecasting relative to nonperiodic models. Inference on unit-roots indicates that the nonstationary characteristics of consumption and income data may differ. For German and Swedish data forecasting exercises yield a unique recommendation of unit roots in consumption and income data which is an important (initial) result for multivariate analysis. Time series models assuming periodic integration are parsimonious to specify but often involve correlated one-step-ahead forecast errors. First version received: April 1996/final version received: January 1998     

论地勘单位财务风险管理

财务风险是资本价值经营的必然产物,地勘单位的财务风险主要是由于地勘单位的财务管理面对复杂多变的宏观环境及地勘单位财务风险的微观因素而产生的。地勘单位加强财务风险管理要采取建立健全财务风险预警机制、充分运用金融衍生工具、做好预算管理、加大内部控制力度、加强财务管理人员财务风险意识等措施。     

浅析地勘单位人力资源的管理与开发

当前人才已成为地勘单位最重要最稀缺的资源。由于受计划经济的影响,地勘单位职工平均主义思想严重,就业观念陈旧,人才资源流失严重,缺乏有效激励机制,职工培训方式陈旧落后,人力资源管理人员素质不高。为适应市场竞争和企业化经营的需要,地勘单位必须建立新的人力资源管理与开发体系,要以人为本合理设置岗位,发挥人力资源管理部门的作用,建立有效的激励机制,提高员工的整体素质,实行民主管理,引导员工认同单位价值理念。     

试论地勘单位面临的形势和任务

无论是当前地矿业发展总趋势,还是国家在矿政管理、整装勘查、体制机制、地勘单位改革等方面的相关文件精神,都昭示着地勘单位在2010年将面对风险与机遇同在、优势与挑战并存的新形势。目前,地勘单位的主要任务应是:认真领会、贯彻政府关于地矿业发展的方针政策,抓住机遇,不断增强找矿能力和综合实力;立足国内,拓展境外,找大矿、找好矿,为社会经济发展提供强有力的资源保障。具体地质工作任务可概括为:"项目、矿权(即矿业权简称)、境外、服务"。     

地勘单位要加强人力资源的开发与管理

文章对人力资源开发和管理的必要性进行了论述,并从6个方面提出了对策和措施.     

最低工资对我国就业性别差异的影响研究——基于中国省际面板数据和行业面板数据的分析

文章基于中国1996-2012年省际面板数据和城镇单位行业面板数据,在控制了教育、劳动供给、经济开放、经济发展、就业环境和时间等因素后,考查了相对最低工资和绝对最低工资的提升对城镇单位就业性别差异的影响。结果表明,最低工资对就业性别差异的影响存在自我修正机制,当期影响与滞后影响方向相反;相对最低工资的综合影响以正向为主,但影响较微弱,绝对最低工资的影响主要体现在滞后效应中,综合影响以负向为主;在高工资行业和女性就业集中度较低的行业中,相对最低工资的当期影响存在一致的负向性、滞后影响以正向为主,绝对最低工资的当期影响以负向为主、滞后影响以正向为主;在女性就业集中度较高的行业中绝对工资的滞后影响以负向为主。     

地方政府土地市场行为的经济学分析

当前,城市非理性扩张、房价不断攀升、土地市场秩序混乱等问题日益凸显,这离不开地方政府的土地市场行为。文章重点分析了地方政府的土地征购、出让定价、实物地租转嫁以及协议出让等行为,指出中央——地方的财政竞争以及地区之间的平行竞争是其深层次的制度根源,而中国土地制度的产权缺陷决定地方政府对土地市场的“事实垄断”为其提供了现实基础。因此,规避地方政府行为对经济的不利影响,必须明确地方政府土地市场的监管职能,深化土地市场改革,充分发挥市场机制的基础性作用。     

关于建筑施工单位的施工技术资料管理

随着社会的发展建筑施工单位为获取高质量的施工技术资料,建立健全档案资料的搜集与管理制度是很有必要的。对施工技术资料的作用、基本要求、存在问题进行论述,并提出了解决问题的建议。