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11.
纽约股票市场对中国A股市场的影响 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
首先,本文考察了纽约股市波动对中国A股市场的影响。一般认为,中国的A股市场由于严格的资本控制而免受外国影响。但是,通过月度、每周、每日的样本数据(1992年到2004年),经过季节性调整和汇率变动调整后,我们发现上海和深圳A股市场的变动与美国股票价格指数变动相一致。其次,我们考察国家贝塔值(country beta)在马尔可夫转换误差修正模型中的动态关系。对中国市场来说,国家贝塔值和错误纠正项的重要性紧密相连。在东亚金融危机之前,美国市场对中国A股市场的影响普遍存在,而东亚金融危机产生后,则是通过国家贝塔值来影响中国股市的收益。 相似文献
12.
Bayesian MCMC Mapping of Quantitative Trait Loci in a Half-sib Design: a Graphical Model Perspective
N.A. Sheehan B. Gulbrandtsen M.S. Lund D.A. Sorensen 《Revue internationale de statistique》2002,70(2):241-267
Graphical models provide a powerful and flexible approach to the analysis of complex problems in genetics. While task-specific software may be extremely efficient for any particular analysis, it is often difficult to adapt to new computational challenges. By viewing these genetic applications in a more general framework, many problems can be handled by essentially the same software. This is advantageous in an area where fast methodological development is essential. Once a method has been fully developed and tested, problem-specific software may then be required. The aim of this paper is to illustrate the potential use of a graphical model approach to genetic analyses by taking a very simple and well-understood problem by way of example. 相似文献
13.
《Journal of International Economics》2003,59(1):137-159
Using an optimizing model of a small open economy, this paper studies the macroeconomic effects of PPP rules whereby the government increases the devaluation rate when the real exchange rate—defined as the price of tradables in terms of nontradables—is below its long-run level and reduces the devaluation rate when the real exchange rate is above its long-run level. The paper shows that the mere existence of such a rule can generate aggregate instability due to self-fulfilling expectations. The result is shown to obtain in both flexible- and sluggish-price environments. 相似文献
14.
This paper deals with the problem of implementing the Walras correspondence via Nash equilibria, in exchange economies with infinitely many commodities and finitely many households with possibly non-ordered
preferences. We explicitly construct a feasible mechanism enjoying some features, which have natural economic meanings. Under
a fairly weak boundary condition, this game fully implements the Walras equilibria. If this condition is not fulfilled, our
mechanism nevertheless implements the constrained Walras equilibria.
Received: 11 December 2003, Accepted: 29 July 2005
JEL Classification:
D41, D43, D51
We thank (without implicating) Prof. Jean-Marc Bonnisseau and Cuong Le Van for helpful comments. The views expressed in this
paper reflect those of the authors and not necessarily those of Calyon. 相似文献
15.
D.A. Overdijk 《Statistica Neerlandica》1984,38(4):261-272
For an arbitrary subset A of the finite state space 5 of a Markov chain the so–called embedded matrix P A is introduced. By use of these matrices formulas expressing all kinds of probabilities can be written down almost automatically, and calculated very easily on a computer. Also derivations can be given very systematically. 相似文献
16.
The Theory of Socially Embedded Games: Applications and Extensions to Open and Closed Games 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
An earlier article, drawing on the mathematical theory of rules and rule complexes, extends and generalizes game theory (GGT). The theory has been used to conceptualize and analyze diverse social relationships, roles, and games as particular types of rule complexes.For instance, a social role, as a major basis of a parent's action in a game, consists of at least four key components – which are mathematical objects – in the determination of action: value complex, model of reality (including beliefs and knowledge bases), a repertoire of acts, routines, programs, and strategies, and modality, a role-specific algorithm for determining or generating action in game settings. This article applies and extends GGT in analyses of a market bargaining game (a type of open game) and of the classical game of prisoners' dilemma (a type of closed game). The applications show the concrete effects of social embeddedness on game structuring, game interaction patterns and outcomes, and social equilibria. 相似文献
17.
Klaus Adam George W. Evans Seppo Honkapohja 《Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control》2006,30(12):2725-2748
Earlier studies of the seigniorage inflation model have found that the high-inflation steady state is not stable under learning. We reconsider this issue and analyze the full set of solutions for the linearized model. Our main focus is on stationary hyperinflationary paths near the high-inflation steady state. These paths are shown to be stable under least-squares learning if agents can utilize contemporaneous data. In an economy with a mixture of agents, some of whom only have access to lagged data, stable hyperinflationary paths emerge only if the proportion of agents with access to contemporaneous data is sufficiently high. 相似文献
18.
R&D externalities can imply ranges of aggregate increasing returns to scale in R&D. As a consequence several equilibria can exist involving different numbers of firms and different R&D investment levels. In a theoretical model the equilibrium dynamics are analyzed, showing that cyclical fluctuations of the number of firms and R&D investment may be expected, and that the long-run equilibrium is highly sensitive to investors' initial beliefs. The model is tested empirically using a unique database comprising competing firms in various R&D races. 相似文献
19.
20.
我国中小企业财务管理战略思路探讨 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
程军 《山西经济管理干部学院学报》2005,13(3):31-32,56
本文从我国目前中小企业财务发展现状入手,着重分析了作为中小企业,在当今市场经济大潮下,如何制定企业财务战略,并从六个方面进行了深入论证,提出了中小企业财务战略发展总体思路.为中小企业提升企业财务管理水平,参与国际竞争,奠定良好的企业管理基础. 相似文献