关于梧州市林业产业发展的调查与思考

梧州市森林资源丰富,是广西乃至全国重要的木材生产和林产林化工业基地。近年来,梧州市林业产业发展较快,但与先进地区相比,还有相当大的差距和发展空间,金融对林业产业发展的支持力度也有待进一步提高。为此,本文通过对梧州市林业产业发展以及金融支持情况进行深入调查,探索运用经济、金融等手段引导各类资源优化配置、突破瓶颈,努力促进梧州林业产业从特色产业发展成为支撑地方经济腾飞的支柱产业。     

Patterns and drivers of post-socialist farmland abandonment in Western Ukraine

Farmland abandonment restructures rural landscapes in many regions worldwide in response to gradual industrialization and urbanization. In contrast, the political breakdown in Eastern Europe and the former Soviet Union triggered rapid and widespread farmland abandonment, but the spatial patterns of abandonment and its drivers are not well understood. Our goal was to map post-socialist farmland abandonment in Western Ukraine using Landsat images from 1986 to 2008, and to identify spatial determinants of abandonment using a combination of best-subsets linear regression models and hierarchical partitioning. Our results suggest that farmland abandonment was widespread in the study region, with abandonment rates of up to 56%. In total, 6600 km² (30%) of the farmland used during socialism was abandoned after 1991. Topography, soil type, and population variables were the most important predictors to explain substantial spatial variation in abandonment rates. However, many of our a priori hypotheses about the direction of variable influence were rejected. Most importantly, abandonment rates were higher in the plains and lower in marginal areas. The growing importance of subsistence farming in the transition period, as well as off-farm income and remittances likely explain these patterns. The breakdown of socialism appears to have resulted in fundamentally different abandonment patterns in the Western Ukraine, where abandonment was a result of the institutional and economic shock, compared to those in Europe's West, where abandonment resulted from long-term socio-economic transformation such as urbanization and industrialization.     

Marketing capabilities: Antecedents and implications for B2B SME performance

The study provides a new perspective on SME marketing strategies in the B2B context. Using a resource-based view of the firm, the study develops a structural model linking marketing capabilities and marketing performance. A study of 367 SME Australian firms reveals that two key marketing capabilities, namely branding and innovation, have major performance outcomes in the SME B2B context. This is the first SME study to evaluate concurrently the contribution of innovation and branding marketing capabilities, with innovation capability the strongest determinant of SME performance. The study also finds market orientation and management capability act as enabling mechanisms for building marketing capabilities. Disaggregation tests indicate that the same findings apply to three size categories denoting micro firms (less than 20 staff), small firms (20-99 staff) and medium-sized firms (100-499 staff).     

定向增发公告效应及长期市场反应研究

文章以2006-2012年A股成功实施定向增发的上市公司为研究样本,从定向增发认购者角度出发,充分比对预案公告日、增发公告日前后的短期公告效应以及长期市场反应。从长短期市场反应的分析中探究短期公告效应与长期市场反应的相关性,大股东、机构投资者在定向增发中的监督与合谋效应以及大股东参与定向增发对上市公司的支持与侵占作用。结果发现,短期公告效应尤其是预案公告日前的公告效应与长期收益相关性显著;机构投资者认购比例的提高增强了对大股东、管理层的监督效应,向市场传递了正向信息,短期公告效应较好;大股东认购比例与长期收益正相关,大股东参与定向增发起到了较好的支持作用。     

中小微企业授信模式创新思考

从近几年国内一些银行发展中小微企业贷款的实践情况看,中小微企业市场给银行带来了丰厚利润和转型机遇,是银行未来需要重点开拓的领域.学界关于中小微企业融资研究问题的文献可谓汗牛充栋,然而很多基于纯理论所提出的政策建议给人隔靴搔痒的感觉.本文以银行如何从中小微企业贷款中获益并控制风险的视角出发,借鉴西方经济发达的国家和国内先进银行管理经验,结合银行实务操作,试图探索高效开拓中小微企业信贷市场的方法和路径.     

International Channels of Distribution and the Role of Comparative Marketing Analysis

To enter international markets successfully, firms need to secure adequate distribution channels for their products in the targeted markets. But gaining access to, as well as developing and maintaining marketing channels in foreign markets requires substantial knowledge of the distribution structures and patterns in thos markets. This follows because the so-called standardized (globalized) approach to international marketing strategy does not apply to distribution strategy in foreign markets. Comparative marketing analysis can provide international marketers with the means for obtaining the knowledge needed by providing (1) a substantial literature on distribution in different countries, (2) a variety of methodologies that can provide insights into foreign distribution structures, and (3) by sensitizing international marketers to changing patterns of distribution around the world.     

A robust support vector regression model for electric load forecasting

Electric load forecasting is a crucial part of business operations in the energy industry. Various load forecasting methods and techniques have been proposed and tested. With growing concerns about cybersecurity and malicious data manipulations, an emerging topic is to develop robust load forecasting models. In this paper, we propose a robust support vector regression (SVR) model to forecast the electricity demand under data integrity attacks. We first introduce a weight function to calculate the relative importance of each observation in the load history. We then construct a weighted quadratic surface SVR model. Some theoretical properties of the proposed model are derived. Extensive computational experiments are based on the publicly available data from Global Energy Forecasting Competition 2012 and ISO New England. To imitate data integrity attacks, we have deliberately increased or decreased the historical load data. Finally, the computational results demonstrate better accuracy of the proposed robust model over other recently proposed robust models in the load forecasting literature.     

关于加强对保障性住房建设金融支持的建议

保障性住房建设是关系人民群众切身利益和经济社会发展大局的重大民生工程。但当前金融支持保障性住房建设还面临着许多问题和制约因素。有效解决这些实际问题,更好地发挥银行信贷和金融服务在保障性住房建设中的资金融通作用,对于促进保障性安居工程的顺利实施具有极其重要的意义。     

金融支持吉林珲春国际合作示范区建设中存在的问题及对策

为发现问题、寻求对策、深化工作,有效提升吉林省珲春市金融支持服务实体经济的现实能力,切实助推国际合作示范区建设,中国人民银行珲春市支行开展了金融工作深入服务国际合作示范区建设专题调研。通过调研发现,珲春市金融工作在推动国际合作示范区建设中发挥了良好作用,但同时也存在一些问题。     

金融支持农业产业化发展的制约因素分析——以吉林省白城市为例

农业产业化是促进区域农业结构调整、农业增效、农民增收、农村经济快速发展的现实选择,而农业产业的快速发展离不开金融的大力支持。本文以白城市为例,经过深入调查研究,就金融如何更好地支持农业产业化发展提出一些探索性的对策和建议。