旅游业—城市化—经济—交通复合系统的耦合协同演化机制 ——以云南省为例

基于云南省16个州(市)的面板数据,运用ArcGIS空间分析、耦合协调度模型等研究方法,从时空视角对云南省旅游业-城市化-经济-交通四个系统的发展水平及其耦合协调发展状况进行了整体评价。结果显示:云南省旅游业、城市化、经济、交通发展水平整体分别提升了48.15%、47.59%、35.91%、46.89%。2005~2017年,云南省各州(市)旅游业-城市化-经济-交通复合系统的耦合协调度呈上升趋势,但87.50%的州(市)仍处于中度耦合失调水平,且空间分异特征显著,形成以昆明为核心的"核心-边缘"梯度递减的空间结构特征,整体呈滇中>滇东南>滇西南>滇西北>滇东北>滇西的空间分布格局。     

Attitudes,norms and difficulties underlying road sharing intentions as drivers and cyclists: Evidence from the Czech Republic

Cycling-inclusive urban planning is attracting attention worldwide because of the environmental, health, economic, and transport benefits inherent to cycling from the individual and the societal perspectives. The Czech Republic is one of the emerging cycling countries that are trying to promote and support cycling, but cycling mode shares are low because of the poor quality of the scarce infrastructure and the psychological barrier of the perceived lack of safety when cycling in mixed traffic. This study takes a multimodal approach based on the Theory of Planned Behaviour and focuses on the factors underlying the willingness to share the road from the perspective of cyclists and drivers: positive attitudes toward cycling, positive attitudes toward cyclists’ behavior, social norms toward cycling and anxiety to share the road. A web-based questionnaire was tailor-designed and administered in the Czech Republic via social networks, web forums, and the Civinet network, and a hybrid bivariate-ordered model tested the behavioral framework. Results show that the willingness to share the road as a cyclist or as a driver relates positively to positive attitudes towards cycling and cyclists’ behavior, and negatively to the anxiety of sharing the road. Moreover, mediator effects are observed and a clear relation emerges between the experience on the road as both a cyclist and a driver on the willingness to share the road as a cyclist. Lastly, results show that the factors underlying road sharing intentions are related significantly to gender, travel habits, and perceived personal and infrastructure-related barriers to cycling.     

Psychological factors affecting memorable tourism experiences

This study tries to explore psychological components of memorable tourist experience (MTE) that are most likely to recall tourists’ memories. Urban residents from three representative cities in China were selected as research samples, and totally 301 usable questionnaires were used for data analysis. The results showed that the recollection of MTE was positively affected by novelty, involvement and social interaction. It was also suggested that hedonism and novelty had positive effects on the vividness of MTEs significantly. Additionally, in the context of Chinese culture, two new psychological factors, social interaction and perceived serendipity, resulted in different effects on the MTE.     

长三角层级式产业链构筑的路径分析

从价值角度分析,产业链本质上是一种价值的分布,即价值链。在价值分布非均衡状态下,如何占领价值制高点成为长三角今后一个时期产业链整合和提升的基本方向。文章以此为契点,提出长三角产业链整合的基本模式和发展路径。     

实现经济平衡增长的公共支出规模分析

随着政府对经济干预程度的加强,公共支出对经济增长的影响日益提高,成为继劳动、资本、技术之后影响经济增长的又一重要因素。在一定时期、一定条件下,为实现一国经济平衡增长,应合理确定公共支出规模,明确界定公共支出范围,大力压缩公共消费支出,进一步加大预算外资金的管理力度,逐步将预算外资金纳入预算内管理,实现预算的综合与完整。     

中国工业行业能源强度影响因素的实证分析

利用中国31个工业行业1998—2004年面板数据,采用分层聚类方法,按年平均能源强度将31个工业行业分为高能源强度行业和低能源强度行业,并对全工业行业、高能源强度行业和低能源强度行业能源强度的影响因素进行了实证分析。研究结果表明,能源价格上涨对提高工业行业的能源利用效率有显著的促进作用;FDI进入程度的增大提高了工业行业尤其是高能源强度行业的能源强度;进、出口商品结构变化对工业行业能源强度没有显著影响;工业内部的行业结构变化对全工业行业和低能源强度行业的能源强度有显著负的影响,对高能源强度行业没有显著影响;R&D投资强度的增加提高了工业行业特别是高能源强度行业的能源强度。     

专业市场发展与经济增长相关关系的实证探讨

发展专业市场与加快经济增长之间存在紧密的相关关系,发展专业市场有利于促进宏观经济的良性增长。加快中国经济增长,应当同时要注意加快发展专业市场,这样才能更好地促进中国经济的良性增长。     

开放条件下的财政与货币政策效果分析

引入国际经济部门之后,IS—LM模型扩展为IS—LM—BP模型,财政政策、货币政策的效果或被放大,或被抑制,完全不同于封闭经济情形下的分析。以IS—LM—BP模型为切入点,分别对固定和浮动汇率制度下的财政、货币政策效果进行了分析。     

Economic development lessons from and for North American Indian economies*

This paper reviews the literature on economic development as it relates to indigenous people in the United States and Canada, and focuses on how institutions affect economic development of reservation and reserve economies. Evidence shows that strong property rights to reservation and reserve land and natural resources, whether communal or individual, are and always have been important determinants of productivity. Political and legal institutions that are perceived as stable and predictable to tribal members and to non‐Natives also improve economic opportunities for indigenous people living on reservations and reserves. Research reviewed here also shows that culture and acculturation are important in the development process. Although our emphasis is on North America, the findings are applicable to indigenous people in other parts of the world and shed light on growth questions that loom large for developing countries around the world.     

北京“老字号”餐饮企业生存现状分析与成长机制研究

在当前竞争激烈的餐饮市场中,"老字号"餐饮企业既面临严峻的生存考验,又面临难得的成长机遇,如何抓住机遇实现快速成长就成为企业界和理论界共同关心的问题.本文通过SWOT模型分析了北京"老字号"餐饮企业的生存现状,并在此基础上提出了有助于实现"老字号"快速成长的"三元互动"的良性运行机制.从而促进"老字号"餐饮企业生存和成长,并为政府的相关决策提供理论依据.