从内生动力看ECFA时代两岸经贸关系的发展

基于内生动力的作用,两岸经贸交流发展迅速,但受两岸关系的负面因素影响,经贸合作内生动力受到严重束缚。全面建构和落实两岸经贸合作机制,释放两岸经贸合作的内生动力,是ECFA时代推进两岸经济关系发展的必然选择。     

海峡两岸农产品贸易指标评估

农产品是两岸贸易的重要组成部分,其基本动力来自农业资源禀赋差异和市场竞争因素。本文拟就两岸农产品贸易结合度、贸易竞争力、显示性比较优势等三个指标,对两岸农产品各自市场竞争优势进行技术评估,为探讨两岸农产品贸易前景和贸易政策制定提供参考。     

东亚美元本位制解析

本文分析了东亚美元本位制的实质,界定其内涵、外延及演进逻辑。以此为基础,揭示美国在东亚美元本位制中的货币权力,并选取日本和中国作为分析样本。最后考察了东亚主要经济体所做的去美元化努力,并提出相应的政策建议。     

2011年APEC重要议题评析及中国策略

本文在对APEC合作最新进展进行总结分析的基础上,重点对2011年APEC会议的优先议题,即:供应链连结问题、中小企业参与全球生产链、FTAAP的发展和EGS的贸易自由化和便利化等议题进行了评析;在此基础上提出了中国相应的策略建议。     

论中国企业在中国-东盟自由贸易区中面临的机遇和挑战

中国-东盟自由贸易区的成立为中国企业提供了良好机遇。同时,由于市场特点和自身原因,中国企业也面临着很多问题。通过对中国企业在进入和拓展东盟市场时可能出现的机会和问题的分析,从政府,行业协会和企业三个层面给出相关的对策和建议。     

Trade policy-making in a model of legislative bargaining

In democracies, trade policy is the result of interactions among many agents with different agendas. In accordance with this observation, we construct a dynamic model of legislative trade policy-making in the realm of distributive politics. An economy consists of different sectors, each of which is concentrated in one or more electoral districts. Each district is represented by a legislator in the Congress. Legislative process is modeled as a multilateral sequential bargaining game à la Baron and Ferejohn (1989). Some surprising results emerge: bargaining can be welfare-worsening for all participants; legislators may vote for bills that make their constituents worse off; identical industries will receive very different levels of tariff. The results pose a challenge to empirical work, since equilibrium trade policy is a function not only of economic fundamentals but also of political variables at the time of congressional negotiations — some of them random realizations of mixed bargaining strategies.     

哈牡绥东对俄贸易加工区发展浅析

目前,哈牡绥东对俄贸易加工区健康稳步发展,规划日趋科学,园区内基础设施建设不断增强,初步形成了渐具特色的产业项目集聚效应,境内外的园区"一体"联动发展。但也存在各园区缺乏有约束力的统一发展规划和有效的协调机制,企业实力弱,对俄合作项目层次低,资金缺口与融资难度大的问题。提出大力培育壮大对俄经贸主体,努力破解资金瓶颈,把哈牡绥东对俄贸易加工区打造成中俄自由贸易区先导区等对策建议。     

服务贸易与货物贸易对我国收入差距扩大的影响及比较

改革开放30多年来,伴随对外贸易的迅速发展,我国收入差距尤其是城乡居民收入差距不断扩大。本文利用我国1982-2011年的年度数据、引入多个控制变量的实证分析结果表明:货物贸易的发展会使收入差距先减少后扩大,而服务贸易的发展则使得收入差距先扩大后缩小,同时教育发展水平等因素也对城乡收入差距有显著影响。文章在对研究结论做出成因分析后,提出了部分有针对性的政策建议。     

The Welfare of Nations in a Globalized Economy

Is free trade always good for advanced industrialized countries? Are fears of globalization and outsourcing imaginary, totally unfounded, and misguided? Is the West always going to benefit from technological improvements in the East? This article constructs a few thought experiments to analyze such issues. The article provides some rational insight into the puzzle of why global trade is so controversial. The effects of technological improvements in the East on the welfare of both the East and the West are analyzed. The conclusion highlights some of the less desirable effects of outsourcing in a more globalized world.     

Retail recovery from natural disasters: New Orleans versus eight other United States disaster sites

This study seeks to determine retail recovery patterns after a natural disaster and to provide useful information for areas recovering from a major disaster. The New Orleans metropolitan area serves as the primary area studied in this research due to Hurricane Katrina's status as the most costly natural disaster in the history of the United States. Eight additional cities that were impacted by natural disaster were also investigated in order to compare and contrast the retail recovery rate ofthese cities to New Orleans across 10 retail categories. The Yellow Pages telephone book and the United States Census of Retail Trade were utilized to determine recovery rates and the existence of possible patterns of recovery in each of the 10 retail categories. The analysis also includes a provision for population shifts due to the respective disasters. The results, which demonstrate both consistencies and inconsistencies across the disaster recovery areas, are discussed and future direction for retail recovery research is advanced.