Estimation of the Economic Effect of Treasury Fund --Based on Extensive Multiplier Channel

基于扩展的乘数渠道理论,本文运用协整方法分析了中国国库资金与货币供应、经济增长之间是否具有均衡关系,并构建SVAR模型研究中国国库资金对货币供应和经济增长的动态影响。结果表明：中国国库资金对货币供应量M1与经济增长之间具有均衡效应。国库资金的增加虽然会导致货币供应量减少,但在政府支出财政乘数效应不断形成的作用下,其仍然对中国经济增长具有一定的正向推动作用。鉴于货币政策对经济增长的效应比国库资金变动的综合效应更为强烈和持久,国库资金的业务操作必须考虑如何适度避免对货币政策形成干扰。     

Recent progress in the empirical analysis of multi-unit auctions

I discuss some recent progress in the empirical analysis of multi-unit auctions, through which a number of important commodities (Treasury bills and bonds, electricity, emission permits, monetary infusions by some central banks) are allocated.     

货币发行中买入国债与外汇的不同逻辑含义

买入国债和买入外汇的货币发行都以有价证券为担保,但其经济意义却相去甚远。买入外汇的货币发行能应对我国目前的经济问题,但是,因为采取这种发行方式的计划经济体制已经缺失,继续这种发行方式则会使我国管理层在缓解旧的矛盾的同时,面对新的更为严峻的挑战,所以买入外汇的货币发行方式一定要尽快向买入国债的货币发行方式转变。     

Retail Investors and the Trading of Treasury Securities

I analyze implicit transaction costs of trading government debt securities on the Spanish stock exchanges (SE) electronic trading system. The SE’s multilateral system is used mainly as an outlet for retail investors to liquidate Treasury accounts positions before maturity. I compare identical Treasury security trades on the same day in two different markets: the SE and the interdealer market. By analyzing these yield spreads I learn more about the behavior of the markdowns included in the retail prices from the institutional prices. I find evidence that these yield premia depend on traditional features to explain wholesale market liquidity premia.

The rise and fall of William Bassett Chinnery

The purpose of this article is to explain how William Bassett Chinnery, who was appointed Agent for New South Wales on 1 May 1787, was enabled to embezzle more than £80,000 of Treasury funds prior to his dismissal on 17 March 1812. In this chronicle attention is concentrated on Chinnery's duties and peculation rather than his private life and his love of music which has been exposed elsewhere ( Yim, 2004 ). Attention is paid to accounting and control systems used at the British Treasury and the function and operation of the Audit Office which was established in 1785. In conclusion, it is argued that Chinnery was able to avoid detection because contemporary charge and discharge reporting, cash control and auditing were inadequate.     

有效实现地方国库现金管理的建议

国库现金管理有利于提高财政资金的使用效益,是财政国库管理体系的重要组成部分。地方国库现金管理是指在确保地方国库现金支出需要的前提下,实现地方国库闲置现金余额最小化,投资收益最大化的一系列财政资金管理活动。作为地方国库现金管理工作,应从健全相关法律法规、丰富运作模式、建立现金流量预测机制、调节各部门关系、协调货币政策等多个方面,完善我国地方国库现金管理制度,推进地方国库现金管理改革。     

Information in the U.S. Treasury Term Structure of Interest Rates

We provide evidence of a significant change in the information content of the U.S. Treasury term structure of interest rates over the last 20 years. We apply a regression approach to measure the information in forward interest rates and introduce both a curve fitting method and an alternative data source. We find more information in the recent U.S. Treasury term structure about future interest rates than about expected holding period returns. These results document a significant departure from prior empirical findings.     

Consequences of the Treasury Single Account Policy on the Wealth of Nigerian Commercial Banks’ Shareholders

We examine the impact of the Nigerian government’s Treasury Single Account (TSA) policy to withdraw the funds of Ministries, Departments and Agencies from commercial banks. Following the economic policy uncertainty theory, we use an event study methodology to measure the impact of the TSA policy on the shareholders’ wealth. Our results reveal that the announcements and subsequent final implementation of the TSA policy caused negative abnormal returns and losses on the wealth of the commercial banks’ shareholders. This article contributes to the literature on stock market reaction to policy announcements and the unintended consequences government policy can have in an emerging economy.     

Institutional Cash Pools and the Triffin Dilemma of the U.S. Banking System

Through the profiling of institutional cash pools, this paper explains the rise of the “shadow” banking system from a demand‐side perspective. Explaining the rise of shadow banking from this angle paints a very different picture than the supply‐side angle that views it as a story of banks’ funding preferences and arbitrage. Institutional cash pools prefer to avoid too much unsecured exposure to banks even through insured deposits. Short‐term government guaranteed securities are the next best choice, but their supply is insufficient. The shadow banking system arose to fill this vacuum. One way to manage the size of the shadow banking system is by adopting the supply management of Treasury bills as a macroprudential tool.