Pricing of the time-change risks

We develop an equilibrium endowment economy with Epstein-Zin recursive utility and a Lévy time-change subordinator, which represents a clock that connects business and calendar time. Our setup provides a tractable equilibrium framework for pricing non-Gaussian jump-like risks induced by the time-change, with closed-form solutions for asset prices. Persistence of the time-change shocks leads to predictability of consumption and dividends and time-variation in asset prices and risk premia in calendar time. In numerical calibrations, we show that the risk compensation for Lévy risks accounts for about one-third of the overall equity premium.     

The Environmental Benefits of Organic Wine: Exploring Consumer Willingness-to-Pay Premiums?

Consumers and the producers have shown interest in organics, but there exist gaps in their common interest. Producers require premiums for their products based on the peculiarity of their production circumstances and the perceived benefits inherent in their products. Predicting consumer willingness to pay a premium for the environmental benefits of organics (WTPe) is a challenge and is of interest in this study. The contingent valuation method was used to gather information on WTPe from a sample that yielded 2,099 surveys. The econometric test ordered probit regression and other analyses were carried out. On average, respondents indicated WTP 23% premium. The proposed hypotheses were tested, and all were accepted except social demographic variables that presented a mixed outcome. The results have implications for consumer sensitization and enlightenment programs of the wine industry, wine market segmentation, and government’s climate change policy. This study is exploratory and has presented a snapshot scenario. Confirmatory and longitudinal studies are recommended to validate this study’s outcomes.     

Trading-up on unmet expectations? Evaluating consumers’ expectations in online premium grocery shopping logistics

Geography and retail store locations are inherently bound together; this study links food retail changes to systemic logistics changes in an emerging market. The later include raising income and education, access to a wide range of technologies, traffic and transport difficulties, lagging retail provision, changing family structure and roles, as well as changing food culture and taste. The study incorporates demand for premium products defined by Kapferer and Bastien [2009b. The Luxury Strategy. London: Kogan Page] as comprising a broad variety of higher quality and unique or distinctive products and brands including in grocery organic ranges, healthy options, allergy free selections, and international and gourmet/specialty products through an online grocery model (n?=?356) that integrates a novel view of home delivery in Istanbul. More importantly from a logistic perspective our model incorporates any products from any online vendors broadening the range beyond listed items found in any traditional online supermarkets. Data collected via phone survey and analysed via structural equation modelling suggest that the offer of online premium products significantly affects consumers’ delivery logistics expectations. We discuss logistics operations and business management implications, identifying the emerging geography of logistic models which respond to consumers’ unmet expectations using multiple sourcing and consolidation points.     

Emptying the future: On the environmental politics of anticipation

Anticipation may be seen as structured by images and representations, an approach that has informed recent work in science and technology studies on the sociology of expectations. But anticipation, as a capacity or characteristic, is not solely manifested in the form of representations, even where such representations of the ‘not yet’ are performative in nature. It also comprises material capacities, technological, biophysical and affective in nature. The politics of anticipation is shaped by how these symbolic and material capacities, and the forms of agency they make possible, are distributed. As anticipation is an environmentally distributed capacity, it is suggested that the politics of anticipation is also an environmental politics. A conceptual framework for analysing anticipation as comprised of environmental capabilities is introduced, and fleshed out using a case study of energy infrastructure planning from the UK. Key elements of this framework include the concepts of anticipatory assemblages and future horizons or ‘styles’ of anticipation. Working through the case study as an empirical example of a conflict concerning the politics of anticipation and of ‘environments’, it is demonstrated how the relationships between styles of anticipation are materially constitutive of such conflicts.     

宏观经济不确定性与股票超额收益：来自中国A股市场的证据

宏观基本面冲击作为股票市场波动的重要原因被广泛认可,但从宏观经济不确定性视角探讨其对中国市场股票超额收益率影响的研究却相对缺乏。利用中国宏观经济和金融的多指标数据,构建2002—2022年中国宏观经济不确定性指数,考察其对A股超额收益率的影响。研究发现宏观经济不确定性暴露的负向溢价显著存在,即具有负的宏观经济不确定性贝塔股票的未来超额收益率更高;不过这种溢价在不同股权性质、规模和行业的股票中存在差异,并且相对于经济上行时期,经济下行时期的宏观不确定性贝塔(beta)溢价更为显著,凸显其异质性和状态依赖性。本研究对于理解宏观经济不确定性对股票市场的影响以及构建相应的资产组合来应对宏观不确定性冲击具有一定的理论意义和现实价值。     

企业应对劳动力成本增加的品牌战略研究

我国城乡居民人均收入将于2020年翻一番,由此引发的问题是劳动力成本的快速提高。文章在品牌经济学的框架下,分析指出通过品牌战略建设提高产品溢价能力,是企业应对劳动力成本上升的有效手段。通过构建引入选择成本的需求函数,证明了品牌溢价能力与其品牌信用度呈正比关系。在理论分析的基础上,文章提出了应对收入倍增的品牌战略路径,主要包括自主品牌-自主品牌、自主品牌-他人品牌、他人品牌-自主品牌、他人品牌-他人品牌等四种方式。企业可根据实际情况,选择合适路径实现从无品牌到弱势品牌,再到强势品牌的转变。