我国境外资源战略及其积极风险管理

本文根据作者亲历或熟悉的国际工程项目经验感悟到我国境外资源战略及其积极风险管理的必要性,认为中国作为世界制造业大国不能以耗尽本国资源为代价。尽管最近5年来以大型国企为主力军实施的国家境外资源战略(是简称为"走出去"发展战略的重要组成部分),在大型能源企业并购、技术或资金换取采矿权、资源当地深加工等方面既取得了显著成绩,但也不时传来非议。与此同时,风险管理日益成为国际工程项目管理界的前沿课题,并被引入我国。该文章对这两者之间可能的矛盾进行了辨析,并提出了"积极的风险管理"理念与操作要点。     

外商直接投资对东道国国内投资的“挤入”与“挤出”效应——来自中国数据的经验证据

本文根据中国1979-2009年的数据,对FDI与中国国内投资之间的关系进行了分析。研究结果表明,FDI与国内投资之间存在着长期稳定的均衡关系;从长期来看,FDI对于国内投资具有一定的挤出效应;而在短期内,FDI对国内投资具有较强的挤入效应,国内投资对FDI也具有较强的挤入效应。     

政府R&D资助对企业R&D经费投入的影响——基于浙江省规模以上工业企业行业面板数据的实证分析

政府对R&D活动的投资将产生双重效应：杠杆效应和挤出效应。现阶段,浙江财政R&D投入对民间R&D投入的激励效应如何？政府资助率为多高时杠杆效应最佳？本文运用浙江省规模以上工业企业2003年行业截面数据和2006-2008年行业面板数据,通过计量分析方法和模型,就政府R&D资助对企业R&D投入的影响进行实证检验。结果表明,在样本期内政府科技投入对企业R&D支出有明显的促进作用,轻工业企业的政府最佳资助率要高于重工业企业,对轻工业的R&D资助产生的杠杆效应大于重工业企业。     

FDI技术溢出与挤出效应——基于DEA与湖北省面板数据的实证分析

首先运用基于DEA的Malmquist生产率指数对湖北省各地区全要素生产率进行测量和分解,然后我们分别建立FDI技术溢出测量模型和扩展Panama Teanravisitsagoo的绝对挤出效应模型,对湖北省各地区的面板数据运用SUR(似然不相关回归)加权的方法,进行广义最小二乘估计。最终分别得出面板数据的技术溢出和挤出效应的变系数模型。通过实证分析,我们可以首次得出湖北省FDI的技术溢出效应不太明显以及FDI对内资的挤出效应具有内在逻辑的一致性。     

我国第三方物流发展刍议

作为一种典型的现代物流运作方式,第三方物流受到了社会各界的密切关注。然而,在我国第三方物流的发展却不容乐观,对此,需方企业必须转变思想,顺应潮流发展;物流供应商应努力提升综合实力,不断增强服务功能,提高服务水平;此外,政府要大力支持、科学调控,唯其如此,第三方物流才能得到快速发展。     

The Antecedents and Consequences of Travelers' Need for Uniqueness: An Empirical Study of Restaurant Experiences

Dining out at a restaurant is one of the most important parts of travelers' tourism experience. The purpose of this research was to examine the antecedents and consequences of travelers' need for uniqueness (CNFU) in their restaurant experiences. Based on a literature review, three theoretical antecedents (perceived firm innovativeness (PFI), perceived firm uniqueness, and brand prestige) and three theoretical consequences (utilitarian value, hedonic value, and behavioral intentions) were proposed. During this process, it was theorized that consumers' uniqueness-seeking behaviors can be strengthened and/or weakened by three psychological moderators: attention to social comparison information (ATSCI), face consciousness, and materialism. By integrating the theoretical arguments, a structural model was proposed. The proposed model was tested using data collected from 379 travelers who had dined out at a luxury restaurant in the past three months. According to the data analysis results, PFI, perceived firm uniqueness, and brand prestige were all confirmed to be important factors in enhancing CNFU. Furthermore, it was determined that CNFU bears a positive impact on behavioral intentions, an impact that is mediated by perceived value. Lastly, the moderating roles of ATSCI and materialism were found to be significant. In the latter part of this research, managerial implications derived from the data analysis results are discussed.     

新经济条件下应对自创商誉进行确认

目前多数国家对外购商誉予以确认,而对自创商誉不予确认,这主要是基于可靠性和稳健性的考虑。随着知识经济的到来,商誉特别是自创商誉在企业资产中的比重越来越大,确认自创商誉无论从促进会计理论发展,还是从提高会计信息质量、提高会计实务水平来看,都是十分重要的。经济的不断发展,使得会计界不得不重新确定一些新的会计确认标准,这为我们解决包括自创商誉的确认问题提供了现实的理论准备。     

Investigation of the “China effect” on crowding out of Japanese FDI: An industry-level analysis (1990–2004)

This paper applies a dynamic panel model to investigate whether China is crowding out Japanese foreign direct investment (FDI) from other economies of Asia. We examined this with industry-level data on Japanese FDI flows into Asian economies. In order to deal with possible problems of serial correlation and endogeneity, we estimated coefficients using a difference and system generalized method of moments to examine the “China effect” on industries. We found a significantly high degree of crowding out effect by China on its Asian counterparts. Among twelve industries, a crowding out effect was found in nine industries, including electrical &; electronics—the biggest industry for Japanese FDI. However, a complementary effect was found in two industries, one of them being transport, which is the second biggest industry for Japanese FDI. We conclude that while China's rise is a prominent threat for the region, it could be transformed into an opportunity in vertically fragmented industries.     

全球应用开发外包项目特点及对接包商项目招聘人员的要求

随着精细化分工的发展,由专业人员或机构来从事专门的业务的方式已经渗透到各个行业,服务外包的发展在各个领域内日趋成熟。IT业务外包作为这股潮流中一个非常重要的部分,在全球内发展迅猛。     

Do development projects crowd-out private sector activities? Evidence from contract farming participation in Northern Ghana

Contract farming (CF) is attractive as a possible private sector-led strategy for improving market coordination and smallholder farmers’ welfare. At the same time, governmental and non-governmental development projects aimed at improving farmers’ welfare continue to be organized. It is not uncommon for CF activities and development projects to take place in the same communities. Yet so far there is no evidence on how development projects affect CF activities. We examine factors affecting entry in and exit from different maize CF schemes in Northern Ghana, and focus specifically on the role of development projects. We find that the presence of agricultural development projects in the community is associated with lower scheme entry, but this not the case for non-agricultural projects. CF exit is more strongly associated with maize projects, but not significantly with non-maize or non-agricultural projects. Thus, our findings do not support concerns of a general moral hazard problem arising from the presence of any development project, but indicate possible negative associations of more closely related agricultural or maize projects with maize CF participation.