A Sample Selection Model of Consumer Adoption of Computer Banking

We develop a bivariate probit selection model of consumer access and adoption that accounts for the cross equation correlations of the errors. The Survey of Consumers, collected by the University of Michigan, is the database used to estimate the model. We find a significant cross equation correlation between consumers perceived access and their use of computer banking. Based on our results, the bivariate selection model provides asymptotically more efficient estimates than does a single equation model because the bivariate selection model accounts for the sample selection bias associated with access. In addition, the bivariate selection model has a higher percentage of correctly predicted adopters than does the corresponding single equation (univariate) model.     

基于三种因素影响下的消费者对可溯源食品的购买意愿实证分析——以天津市为例

可溯源食品由于其独特的优势成为近些年来食品行业关注的焦点,文章通过在天津市实地调研得到数据,运用因子分析、相关分析、最优尺度回归分析等分析方法研究三种主要因素——消费者的个人与购买决策认知因素、可溯源食品特有的信息因素、影响消费者购买的监管因素等对消费者购买的影响情况.研究结果表明多种情况下的消费者个人因素、基于FRID及二维码等应用技术不断发展的信息因素、政府监管消除外部性等因素均会对消费者购买产生不同的并且显著的影响.进而在实证分析的基础上,对如何解决可溯源食品中存在信息不对称和外部性等情况以及如何加强政府监管提出意见和建议.     

中国居民消费的特点、影响因素以及发展趋势分析

本文采用西方相关文献分析消费问题,首先讨论中国居民的消费概况,然后用凯恩斯理论分析中国人高储蓄率、低消费率的原因,探讨消费信贷在中国的发展,并且对中国私人消费的发展趋势作出客观预测。     

基金产品零售中的金融消费者保护研究

国内金融消费者保护尚处于探索阶段,专项法律和制度规范仍属空白。针对基金产品零售市场各参与主体行为的研究发现:法律制度对于基金零售业中的消费者保护必不可少;基金公司与银行存在相互搭便车的可能,法律制度的设置应以市场福利最大化为目标;惩罚性赔偿体现了法律对金融消费者有效保护的力度和对机构采取不当行为的威慑作用;消费者应对不同购买渠道的选择承担相应责任。两点立法启示:专项法律制度应注重对不同市场主体的利益权衡,以提高市场福利为目标,防止机构间搭便车行为;对于选择不同销售渠道购买基金的消费者,赔偿额应有区别,既要保护消费者合法权益,又要防止对其产生逆向激励。     

Consumer Search,Incomplete Exchange Rate Pass‐Through,and Optimal Interest Rate Policy

This paper studies utility‐maximizing monetary policy in a two‐country economy with consumer search frictions. Search frictions provide a microfoundation for incomplete exchange rate pass‐through and international deviations from the law of one price (LOP). I show that optimal interest rate policy targets deviations from the LOP and acts to mitigate the effect of search frictions. In a quantitative setting, with internationally correlated technology and preference shocks, optimal policy generates positive cross‐country correlation of nominal interest rates.     

LPR改革对居民消费信贷的影响分析

作为利率市场化的关键一步,贷款市场报价利率(LPR)形成机制的改革有助于提高利率传导效率,并以市场化手段推动降低实体经济融资成本。这同样会对居民部门消费需求产生影响。特别是在居民杠杆率增长快、资产流动性不足、信贷渠道发挥的作用相对有限的背景下,以LPR为基础的贷款定价方式改革不仅有助于优化跨期消费决策,缓解偿债压力,强化直接利率效应,还可以通过提升企业经营效率以及居民收入,加强间接收入效应。     

澳大利亚金融消费者保护体系及其借鉴

本文介绍了澳大利亚的金融消费者保护体系。ASIC是澳大利亚的金融消费者保护机构,其职责范围广泛,负责整个金融业监管和金融消费者保护以及征信、破产清算、金融咨询等机构的监管,同时强调信息收集与披露。金融消费纠纷具有多元化的解决方式,并由独立的第三方机构负责处理。金融消费者教育则被纳入澳大利亚国家战略。     

Beyond Time Discounting

The intertemporal tradeoffs made by most persons appear inconsistent when viewed through the lens of the standard time-discounting model. At different times and in different decision contexts, the same individual will often display behavior suggestive of a wide range of discount rates, from strongly positive (indicative of a lack of concern of future consequences) to strongly negative (implying greater concern for the future than the present). We argue that many of these apparent inconsistencies can be attributed to three aspects of time preference that are not part of the conventional model: decreasing impatience, a preference for sequences of outcomes that improve over time, and preference interactions between consumption and payments.