A Closer Look at the Relation between GARCH and Stochastic Autoregressive Volatility

We show that, for three common SARV models, fitting a minimummean square linear filter is equivalent to fitting a GARCH model.This suggests that GARCH models may be useful for filtering,forecasting, and parameter estimation in stochastic volatilitysettings. To investigate, we use simulations to evaluate howthe three SARV models and their associated GARCH filters performunder controlled conditions and then we use daily currency andequity index returns to evaluate how the models perform in arisk management application. Although the GARCH models produceless precise forecasts than the SARV models in the simulations,it is not clear that the performance differences are large enoughto be economically meaningful. Consistent with this view, wefind that the GARCH and SARV models perform comparably in testsof conditional value-at-risk estimates using the actual data.     

An introduction to rural and agricultural development in the digital age

This special issue contributes to the development economics literature by highlighting the role of information communication and technologies (ICTs) in supporting rural and agricultural development. It is comprised of nine papers. Key findings from this special issue include: (1) internet use increases rural consumption diversity and agricultural productivity; (2) smartphone use empowers rural women in household decision-making and off-farm work participation; (3) smartphone-based agricultural extension services boost rural income growth; (4) a lack of ICT infrastructure and inadequate skills to use digital technologies are two key factors that lead to digital poverty traps for smallholder rural farmers; (5) ICT adoption increases the probability of rural households' access to credit and empowers rural women and farm households in relatively less developed regions to access credit; (6) digital financial inclusion reduces farmers' vulnerability to poverty; and (7) e-commerce adoption increases both sales prices and marketing costs, but the magnitude of increasing the former is higher than the magnitude of increasing the latter, which finally contributes to a higher gross return. This special issue also proposes practical instruments and implications for advancing the application of ICTs in rural areas to accelerate rural and agricultural development in the digital age.     

中小物流企业融资模式的创新研究——基于物流金融

近年来,物流金融作为一个金融创新业务在我国发展迅速,已成为物流企业和金融机构拓展发展空间、增强竞争力的一个重要领域,也为中小企业提供了新的融资渠道.中小物流企业在日常运营流动资金、应收账款账期、设施设备的资金投入等方面都面临着相应的资金压力.但由于中小物流企业经济效益较低、装备落后、规模小、可供抵押资产少、信用较低等问题,中小物流企业面临的融资渠道十分狭窄,为了解决中小物流企业的融资困境,需要在物流金融条件下对中小物流企业融资模式进行创新.联保融资、池融资和供应链金融三种创新性的中小物流企业融资模式不失为十分理想的选择,也为中小物流企业解决融资难问题提供了理论依据.     

供应链合作伙伴的逆向选择问题

供应链合作关系中存在不少风险。合作企业之间的信息不对称,未来事项不确定性和复杂性和因此造成的合同不完全性,使道德风险和逆向选择问题在合作中难以避免。文中从解决逆向选择问题角度,研究供应链合作伙伴选择问题。     

供应链节点企业的贡献度和关联度评估

定量地分析节点企业对供应链的贡献大小及其与其他节点企业联系的紧密程度是供应链研究的一个难点。文中采用多属性的模糊关系矩阵建模方法,以光伏行业为例,评估各个节点企业的贡献度和关联度。     

基于信息共享的供应链定价策略及利润增值研究

基于单一制造商和单一零售商构成的供应链系统,在非线性市场需求的前提下,应用博弈理论对供应链系统的定价策略进行了分析,分别得出信息共享时的博弈均衡解和信息不共享时的博弈均衡解;进一步分析了信息共享程度的大小与批发价、零售价以及双方利润之间的关系,得出信息共享程度越高,制造商和零售商的利润越大,信息共享实现了帕累托改进。最后,通过实例对结论进行了验证。     

服装供应链管理的研究现状及其发展趋势

从服装供应链的快速反应、库存优化、信息共享及战略合作伙伴关系四个方面,综述了服装供应链管理的研究现状,指出了服装供应链管理存在的不足、特点及发展趋势。     

高层公寓楼的给水和消防设计

城市用地的紧张促使高层建筑越来越多,而高层建筑的给水和消防对住户而言越来越重要,因此在设计中应摆脱以往小高层和多层的固有设计思路和方法。文章从实际案例出发,简述在高层公寓楼给水和消防设计中应注意的问题。     

集群式供应链的竞争力及培育分析

集群式供应链是产业集群和供应链之间的藕合组织形式。本文对集群式供应链这种新型的组织形式和集群式供应链的概念进行了阐述,并对其竞争力及其培育进行分析,为集群式供应链这种新型组织方式的构建研究奠定了基础。     

“绿色矿业”的逻辑机理、实践探索与推进策略

发展“绿色矿业”是人类进入生态文明社会的必然选择,绿色发展理念指导下的“绿色矿业”发展具有主旨统一性和实践多样性、国家主导性和企业渐进性,需要完善的理论指导、体系构建和政策支持。“绿色矿业”的运行体系是由相关主体（绿色政府、绿色企业、绿色社会、绿色市场）及其功能共同形成的网络结构,各主体多元化、多维度的相互作用共同促进“绿色矿业”的有序发展,最终实现“矿业经济发展、生态环境良好、发展成果共享”的目标。我国发展“绿色矿业”的实践取得了显著成效,各地不同的发展模式既有目标的同一性,又有方式的差异性。当前,我国“绿色矿业”发展还存在标准体系不健全、政策法规不完善、发展格局不协调、协同监管不到位等问题,需要进一步发挥政府的主导作用、企业的主体作用、行业协会及社会的协调支撑作用,并构建和优化“绿色矿业链”和“绿色矿业区域板块网络”,推动“绿色矿业”健康有序发展。