城市化与能源消费的动态相关性及其传导机制——基于1978年～2008年的实证研究

笔者依据1978年~2008年时间序列数据,实证分析了我国城市化与能源消费之间的动态相关性,并对城市化与能源消费之间的关联效应及其传导机制进行了考察。结果表明,我国城市化与能源消费存在协整关系,短期内存在误差修正机制;城市化对能源消费的影响主要是通过其规模效应和技术效应表现出来,而第三产业的节能效应尚不明显。     

增强应对气候变化的能力：世界各国的战略选择

全球气候变暖是全人类共同面临的巨大挑战,维护气候安全是国际社会的共同目标。气候变化会导致自然灾害频发、经济下滑、农业减产以及气候移民等一系列问题。应对气候变化,发展低碳经济是现在时代的要求,也是全社会的责任。全球范围多发的自然灾害给人类经济生活到底会带来什么样的危害,已成为人们普遍关心的话题,无论是哪个国家和地区发生严重自然灾害都会引起国际社会强烈关注。为此,世界各国提出了自己未来的战略重点：日本提出了低碳社会行动的线路图,印度出台了一系列的国家行动计划,中国香港将重点放在建筑节能上,美国通过了《美国清洁能源安全法案》,欧盟大幅削减温室气体排放量。     

On the forecasting of the challenging world future scenarios

Logistic and power law methodologies for both retrospective and prospective analyses of extended time series describing evolutionary growth processes, in environments with finite resources, are confronted. While power laws may eventually apply only to the early stages of said growth process, the Allee logistic model seems applicable over the entire span of a long range process. On applying the Allee logistic model to both the world population and the world gross domestic product time series, from 1 to 2008 AD, a projection was obtained that along the next few decades the world should experience a new economic boom phase with the world GDP peaking around the year 2020 and proceeding from then on towards a saturation value of about 142 trillion international dollars, while the world population should reach 8.9 billion people by 2050. These results were then used to forecast the behavior of the supply and consumption of energy and food, two of the main commodities that drive the world system. Our findings suggest that unless the currently prevailing focus on economic growth is changed into that of sustainable prosperity, human society may run into a period of serious economical and social struggles with unpredictable political consequences.     

浅谈高层楼宇建筑中的电气节能技术

能源的日益紧张,要求在日常的生活中要应用节能技术,高层楼宇是人们日常生活工作的主要场所,如何应用节能技术降低高层楼宇资源消耗,更高效率地利用高层楼宇的内部资源,是现阶段高层楼宇节能技术深入研究的重要领域。本文以高层楼宇建筑电气节能设计的原则以及目前高层电气节能技术的现状为阐述点,探讨了高层楼宇电气节能技术的具体应用。     

An empirical analysis of air pollution emissions policy for the U.K. residential sector

In this paper an analysis of the U.K. government's air pollution emissions policy for the residential sector is undertaken. The analysis covers emissions arising from water and space heating, electric appliances and cooking appliances. Using an integrated economic-engineering model, the effects of the Energy Savings Trust and the imposition of Value Added Tax on residential fuel will be evaluated in terms of energy consumption and pollution emissions. It is found that the initial proposed policy was not sufficiently stringent to meet the government's environmental objectives, and that subsequent events have undermined the government's programme even further. Unless alternative policies are introduced, emissions from the residential sector will play an important role in jeopardizing the ability of the U.K. government to meet its international obligations.     

谈计量工作是水泥生产中节能减排的重要手段

我国水泥行业在肩负发展循环经济和环境保护方面的任务极其重要,而计量工作是水泥生产中节能减排的重要手段。     

中美新能源汽车产业政策解析

燃油供求矛盾和环境污染问题日益突出的今天,发展新能源汽车已经成为国家战略之一。本文通过解读中美新能源汽车产业政策,对现今我国新能源汽车政策之不足进行分析并提出对策,为推进我国新能源汽车产业发展提供借鉴。     

新能源世博用车示范运行行驶工况研究

新能源汽车由于具有明显的节能和环保优势而成为各国汽车工业研究开发的热点。2010年上海世博会为新能源汽车提供了规模宏大的示范运行机会,本文通过项目研究阐述了新能源世博用车示范运行行驶工况的建立,并为形成一套完整的电动汽车行驶工况构建规范方法提供了技术支持。