Fueling agricultural growth in India: Some reflections

Indian agriculture is experiencing under-performance despite increased attention given to it in the recent past. This paper analyzes the disparities in agricultural growth across Indian states and explores the determinants of agricultural growth, using Panel Corrected Standard Error approach. Analysis using beta convergence shows that the disparities across the state's agricultural growth are narrowing down for the period 1980–1981 to 2011–2012. However, to stimulate growth in the states where agriculture is lagging behind, a higher emphasis on increasing the area under irrigation, expenditure on agricultural research, area under fruits and vegetables, number of regulated markets, length of roads, cold storage facilities and institutional credit for investment purposes is needed. Private sector should be involved in public–private-partnership mode for improving the infrastructure in this sector.     

社会经济调查中整群抽样的应用及误差处理方法

本文从技术上探讨了整群抽样在社会经济调查中的适应性及其基本运用,重点分析了整群抽样在实施过程中的误差问题,指出并分析了总体的变异效应、群体效应、单位比率变异度的效应、群体规模效应和偏差效应等五种因素对整群抽样的误差的影响方式和特点,并分析了各种情况下的具体处理方法。     

我国就业影响因素实证研究——基于JJ协整模型与ECM模型的分析

本文使用索洛模型为基础的变化模型研究我国就业量的影响因素,引入国民生产总值、城市化率、居民消费水平、历年全社会固定资产投资、第三产业增加值为解释变量做实证研究,建立时间序列分析模型,并通过各变量间的JJ协整关系模型与误差修正模型说明各因素对就业的长短期影响,结果表明长期内我国国内生产总值对就业总量有显著地正向拉动作用,城市化率与就业总量有显著地负相关关系,居民消费水平长期内与就业总量成正相关关系,第三产业增加值与就业总量有微弱的负相关关系,短期内我国就业总量受到自身滞后期的正向冲击且需要外力拉动。在此结论基础上本文尝试提出了相关政策建议。     

让民主管理在“两全”工作中发挥积极作用

全面责任管理和全员业绩考核机制（简称“两全”机制）的建立是企业组织、功能、体制、机制中最核心的部分，建立“两全”机制事关企业转方式、调结构、强机制、增效益的大局，是实现企业科学发展上水平、“创先争优”常态化的有机融合，是实现做强做优、创建一流企业的有力保障。文章以大唐岩滩水力发电有限责任公司为例，阐述在“两全”“三定”过程中民主管理工作的重要性。     

忻州市旅游产业集群培育的条件与机制分析

本文以忻州市为例,采用理论与实证相结合的方法,通过对忻州市的旅游产业现状进行分析,得出忻州市培育旅游产业集群的条件与机制,从而有助于忻州市旅游产业集群的发展。     

The Role of Behavioral Survey Methodologists in National Statistical

The expertise of behavioral survey methodologists is needed in national statistical agencies because of the necessity of using theory and research from the social sciences to reduce survey error. In this paper various social science based explanations for measurement error and nonresponse error are described in order to illustrate the conceptual foundations of such error reduction efforts. Three roles for behavioral survey methodologists in national statistical agencies are then discussed. They include: 1) bring an error reduction perspective to bear in an influential way for all aspects of designing and implementing agency surveys; 2) bring theoretical efficiency and effectiveness to experimental tests of alternative questionnaire designs and implementation procedures through the use of theories, concepts and pretests and findings of past behavioral science research; and 3) contribute to the expanding science of survey methodology.     

French multinational companies’ strategies and co-ordination mechanisms: the role of human resource management in Europe and Nigeria

The everchanging European context may well lead to the evolution of MNCs’ strategies in Europe and to the evolution of the control mechanisms within their subsidiaries. The author analyses the issue from the angle of human resources management, considered as an informal control tool that is widely recognized by both scholars and managers. This research therefore aims at analysing whether or not and how HRM systems embody a possible integration process in the European economic space. The methodology is based on a case study from a French multinational company belonging to the automobile industry while the investigation, a comparative analysis of the headquarters-subsidiaries relationships in England, Spain and Nigeria, points out the specificity of the European context regarding corporate strategy orientations, subsidiary roles and personnel transfer policies. The major conclusions from such an analysis suggest a framework that gives prominence to the differentiation of the management process between Europe and Nigeria.

These results confirm previous literature on co-ordination mechanisms in complex business organizations.     

Improved approximations for the aggregate claims distribution of a life insurance portfolio

Abstract

In an earlier paper the author derived a recursion formula which permits the exact computation of the aggregrate claims distribution in the individual life model. This exact procedure requires of course more computing time than approximative methods such as Kornya's algorithm, which seemed to be the best compromise between accuracy and computational effort. In the present paper it is shown that, to save time, the exact formula can be used in an approximative way and that the corresponding error bound is smaller than the one of the Kornya-type approximations.     

汲取金融危机教训 推进资本市场稳健发展

美国推崇的新自由主义经济和金融自由化是这次金融危机形成的根源。我国资本市场建设,既不能脱离国际金融市场搞封闭运行,又不能照抄照搬国外模式;要从我国实际出发,按照邓小平理论,在科学发展观的指引下,坚持改革开放,构建中国特色的资本市场。为此,还要正确处理好三个方面的关系,即大力发展与防范风险的关系、宏观调控与市场机制的关系、发展创新与市场监管的关系。     

Dynamics of Urban Residential Property Prices— A Case Study of the Manhattan Market

In a multivariate vector autoregression framework, this paper investigates the weak efficiency of the urban residential real estate market and the cause of weak efficiency. An error correction model is used to estimate long-term relationships among apartment prices and adjustment speed from disequilibrium to equilibrium. Based on a unique dataset of the Manhattan market, the efficiency of this market, seasonal stationarity of property prices, and the weak exogeneity of leading sub-markets are studied. Our results indicate that, in a market of less heterogeneity and higher transaction volumes, the weak efficiency hypothesis is rejected as in previous studies. This result implies that heterogeneity and lack of transaction information may not be the direct source of market inefficiency. Meanwhile, it is found that there are stable long-term relations among prices of different sub-markets. Interestingly, the price of one-bedroom co-operatives (co-op) is weakly exogenous. This implies that the starting co-op for most home buyers in urban areas is a leading indicator of the entire market, which contradicts the claim that high-end luxury co-op leads the market.